{"id":50010,"date":"2019-09-18T22:41:51","date_gmt":"2019-09-19T05:41:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=50010"},"modified":"2019-09-18T22:41:52","modified_gmt":"2019-09-19T05:41:52","slug":"heavy-insider-selling-muddles-the-message-in-toll-brothers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/09\/18\/heavy-insider-selling-muddles-the-message-in-toll-brothers\/","title":{"rendered":"Heavy Insider Selling Muddles the Message In Toll Brothers"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>While the market was <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/09\/17\/the-message-in-toll-brothers\/\">going wild buying call options<\/a> in Toll Brothers (TOL), insiders were selling large quantities of shares. <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"SEC filings (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sec.gov\/cgi-bin\/own-disp?action=getissuer&amp;CIK=0000794170\" target=\"_blank\">SEC filings<\/a> reveal almost $2.8M in share sales. Here is a summary with emphasis on the CEO and President (note I mainly care about the sales transactions of C-level executives and SVPs and not board members): <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"Sep 16 (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sec.gov\/Archives\/edgar\/data\/794170\/000112760219028579\/xslF345X03\/form4.xml\" target=\"_blank\">Sep 16<\/a>: 1,964 shares at $40.7169 = $79,968  &#8211; McDonald John K., SVP, General Counsel<\/li><li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\" (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sec.gov\/Archives\/edgar\/data\/794170\/000112760219028582\/xslF345X03\/form4.xml\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Sep 16<\/strong><\/a><strong>: 40,119 shares at $40.4766 = $1,623,881 &#8211; Hartman Richard T., President<\/strong><\/li><li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"Sep 16 (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sec.gov\/Archives\/edgar\/data\/794170\/000112760219028588\/xslF345X03\/form4.xml\" target=\"_blank\">Sep 16<\/a>: 4,000 shares at $40.94 and 4,000 shares at $39.94 = $323,520 &#8211; Connor Martin P., Chief Financial Officer<\/li><li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"Sep 17 to Sep 18 (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sec.gov\/cgi-bin\/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&amp;CIK=0000794170\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Sep 16<\/strong><\/a><strong>: 25,000, shares at $41.0554 = $1,026,385 &#8211; Yearley Douglas C. Jr., Chief Executive Officer<\/strong><\/li><li> <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\" (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sec.gov\/Archives\/edgar\/data\/794170\/000112760219028725\/xslF345X03\/form4.xml\" target=\"_blank\">Sep 17<\/a>: 1,000 shares at $40.96 = $40,960 &#8211; Grubb Michael J., Chief Accounting Officer<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Some of these sales look like the result of cashing out of stock options that were acquired on the same day of the sale. Also, executives have recently sold shares once a quarter and sometimes in the same quantities. As a result, I assume much, if not all, of this selling was pre-planned. So even with the near $2.8M in sales, I normally would have considered this activity unremarkable. Except in THIS case it happened to coincide with a buying spree that quickly fizzled once the SEC filings were released. TOL tumbled  3.7% on the day and is now close to reversing all of Monday&#8217;s surge. (Compare to the 0.6% GAIN in the  iShares Dow Jones Home Construction ETF (ITB)).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/190918_TOL.png\" alt=\"Toll Brothers (TOL) cooled off quickly from Monday's surge. The stock closed right at the previous high for 2019.\" class=\"wp-image-50011\"\/><figcaption>Toll Brothers (TOL) cooled off quickly from Monday&#8217;s surge. The stock closed right at the previous high for 2019.<br><strong>Source: FreeStockCharts<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Monday&#8217;s call option activity resulted in an increase of open interest in the   October $40, $41, $42, and $43 strikes from 11,019 to 31,844, a tripling. The open interest in the Oct $41 call went from 11 to 15,203. So much of the trading in Monday resulted in new positions. However, the stock&#8217;s cooling slashed the value of underlying October call options. For example, the October $41 call options lost almost half their value. I am inclined to treat this setback as a buying opportunity created by an over-reaction to the news of insider selling and that the original catalyst, whatever that might be, remains <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dictionary.com\/browse\/salient\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"salient (opens in a new tab)\">salient<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As I noted in <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/09\/05\/housing-market-review-august-2019\/\">my last Housing Market Review<\/a>, the rally in the shares of home builders looks real. I am more inclined to treat dips as buying opportunities even though the seasonally strong period for home builders does not begin until October\/November. Toll Brothers has moved from a lukewarm earnings report, to a bullish breakout from the May to August downtrend, to what was a 16-month high on the heels of heavy call buying. For now, the stock sits in a solid buying zone for me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Full disclosure: long ITB call options<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>While the market was going wild buying call options in Toll Brothers (TOL), insiders were selling large quantities of shares. SEC filings reveal almost $2.8M in share sales. Here is a summary with emphasis on the CEO and President (note I mainly care about the sales transactions of C-level executives and SVPs and not board &#8230; <a title=\"Heavy Insider Selling Muddles the Message In Toll Brothers\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/09\/18\/heavy-insider-selling-muddles-the-message-in-toll-brothers\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,32],"tags":[2015,1205,1206,37,148],"class_list":["post-50010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-housing","category-options","tag-home-builders","tag-ishares-dow-jones-us-home-construction-index-fund","tag-itb","tag-tol","tag-toll-brothers"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Heavy Insider Selling Muddles the Message In Toll Brothers - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/09\/18\/heavy-insider-selling-muddles-the-message-in-toll-brothers\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Heavy Insider Selling Muddles the Message In Toll Brothers - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"While the market was going wild buying call options in Toll Brothers (TOL), insiders were selling large quantities of shares. 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