{"id":49030,"date":"2019-07-14T18:18:31","date_gmt":"2019-07-15T01:18:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=49030"},"modified":"2019-07-14T18:34:32","modified_gmt":"2019-07-15T01:34:32","slug":"bitcoin-faces-important-price-test-as-sentiment-wanes-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/07\/14\/bitcoin-faces-important-price-test-as-sentiment-wanes-again\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Faces Important Price Test As Sentiment Wanes Again"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>As Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) pulls back again to the $10,000 level, there is a lot of news swirling to explain the sell-off. <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/06\/30\/how-to-use-google-trend-momentum-check-with-bitcoin-prices\/\">Google Trends still works as a way to cut through the haze on Bitcoin<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fresh Validation for <strong>The Google Trend Momentum Check<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>When Bitcoin ended its last parabolic run on June 26, Google Trends on the search term &#8220;Bitcoin&#8221; broke out alongside price. At the time, <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/06\/30\/how-to-use-google-trend-momentum-check-with-bitcoin-prices\/\">I used the Google Trend Momentum Check (GTMC)<\/a> to conclude that Bitcoin had likely topped out at least for the short-term. That assessment on market sentiment allowed me to wait for a pullback to enter a fresh tranche of trades. When Bitcoin rallied off the lows of that pullback, I took profits and waited to see whether Bitcoin could make a new high and reset the GTMC clock. It didn&#8217;t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1320\" height=\"883\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/190714_BTCUSD.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) faces down an important test of its uptrending 50DMA right at the round-number $10,000 level.\" class=\"wp-image-49050\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/190714_BTCUSD.png 1320w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/190714_BTCUSD-768x514.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1320px) 100vw, 1320px\" \/><figcaption>Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) faces down an important test of its uptrending 50DMA right at the round-number $10,000 level.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<br><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-layout=\"in-article\" data-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1196033822186410\" data-ad-slot=\"3478942445\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script><br>\n\n\n\n<p>Note that Bitcoin is now tapping its 50-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since it broke out above its 50DMA on February 18th. The current pullback then becomes an important test of the uptrend off the lows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I took my profits from my Bitcoin trades and bought into this pullback. I am looking to add longer-term holdings in the $6000 to $7500 range (if it ever comes!)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the meantime, Google Trends shows how interest quickly waned off the June 26th surge. The Google Trend search index did not break the last low; so for now, I think the Bitcoin uptrend is intact. However, if interest wanes further, I fully expect a deeper pullback in BTC\/USD to ensue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"362\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/190714_GoogleTrends-Bitcoin.png\" alt=\"Google Trends for Bitcoin shows quickly waning interest in the cryptocurrency off the recent peak. Search interest remains &quot;comfortably&quot; above the relative disinterest that preceded the Bitcoin breakout of April.\" class=\"wp-image-49046\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/190714_GoogleTrends-Bitcoin.png 800w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/190714_GoogleTrends-Bitcoin-768x348.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><figcaption>Google Trends for Bitcoin shows quickly waning interest in the cryptocurrency off the recent peak. Search interest remains &#8220;comfortably&#8221; above the relative disinterest that preceded the Bitcoin breakout of April.<br><strong>Source: <\/strong><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"Google Trends (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/trends.google.com\/trends\/explore?date=2019-01-01%202019-07-14&amp;geo=US&amp;q=bitcoin\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Google Trends<\/strong><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Peak Mining Cost<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The main story that caught my interest in the midst of the sell-off was <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"a post from Coindesk (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/bitcoin-hash-rate-new-record\" target=\"_blank\">a post from Coindesk<\/a> describing the latest surge in the cost of mining Bitcoin. The late June price surge accompanied a similarly parabolic run-up in the cost of mining. The cost reached a new record. I do not have the data to correlate peaks in Bitcoin with peaks in mining cost, but the potential association intrigues me as a data series that could strengthen the usefulness of the GTMC. Mining costs are likely highly correlated with market sentiment since Bitcoin mining gets more difficult as the price of Bitcoin increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Full disclosure: long Bitcoin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) pulls back again to the $10,000 level, there is a lot of news swirling to explain the sell-off. Google Trends still works as a way to cut through the haze on Bitcoin. Fresh Validation for The Google Trend Momentum Check When Bitcoin ended its last parabolic run on June 26, Google Trends &#8230; <a title=\"Bitcoin Faces Important Price Test As Sentiment Wanes Again\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/07\/14\/bitcoin-faces-important-price-test-as-sentiment-wanes-again\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":49050,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1974,20,511,62],"tags":[602,1958,1164,2222,2223],"class_list":["post-49030","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency-forex","category-forex","category-support","category-technical-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc-usd","tag-google-trends","tag-google-trends-momentum-check","tag-gtmc"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Faces Important Price Test As Sentiment Wanes Again - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/07\/14\/bitcoin-faces-important-price-test-as-sentiment-wanes-again\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Faces Important Price Test As Sentiment Wanes Again - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"As Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) pulls back again to the $10,000 level, there is a lot of news swirling to explain the sell-off. 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