{"id":48608,"date":"2019-06-13T00:57:05","date_gmt":"2019-06-13T07:57:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=48608"},"modified":"2019-06-13T01:01:41","modified_gmt":"2019-06-13T08:01:41","slug":"cocoas-price-surge-confirmed-by-historic-supply-coordination","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/06\/13\/cocoas-price-surge-confirmed-by-historic-supply-coordination\/","title":{"rendered":"Cocoa’s Price Surge Confirmed By Historic Supply Coordination"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Two years ago<\/a>, I wrote about the announcement from the International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) indicating that cocoa-growing countries would coordinate production of cocoa to better support their economies. That news was soon followed by a recommendation from the African Development Bank (AfDB)<\/a> to cocoa producers to find ways to control the supply of cocoa. At the time, the AfDB recommended building large storage facilities to control the supply of cocoa in the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The following year, on March 28, 2018, Ghana and the Ivory Coast signed a cocoa cooperation agreement called the \u201cAbidjan Declaration.\u201d The related press release from the Presidency of the Republic of Ghana<\/a> included this firm determination:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“… \u00a0the Declaration is aimed at ‘better defending the interests of cocoa producers, as well as the economies of both countries.’<\/p>


To this end, President Akufo-Addo and President Alassane Ouattara have reaffirmed their commitment to define a better, common strategy and a sustainable solution for the improvement of prices for cocoa producers, in their respective countries.<\/p>


They also committed themselves to harmonizing their cocoa marketing policies, and agreed to announce, every year, in a concomitant manner, and before the beginning of the campaign, the price to cocoa producers.” <\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Another year later, on June 12, 2019, the plans of the two countries are finally coming to fruition. The price of cocoa jumped about 1.4% after they announced the establishment of a price floor<\/a> of US$2,600 that buyers agreed to pay after a 2-day meeting. Until implementation details get settled, the two countries suspended the forward sales of the 2020\/2021 cocoa season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The price gains helped push the iPath Bloomberg Cocoa SubTR ETN (NIB) further into a breakout above a cap that held for the past 11 months.. In July, 2018, NIB broke down below support at its 200-day moving average (DMA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The
The iPath Bloomberg Cocoa SubTR ETN (NIB) began its price run-up at the beginning of June. This week’s continuation confirmed last Friday’s breakout.
Source: FreeStockCharts<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

The chart above indicates that traders well anticipated the coordinated action on price. With the price action stretched so far, I expect some selling on the news. I am a buyer on the dips with the expectation that support at the ascending 50DMA should hold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Joseph Boahen Aidoo, the chief executive of the Ghana Cocoa Board, called the coordination of cocoa producers “historic.<\/a>” This moment should indeed mark a significant turning point in the cocoa market that will strengthen my perma-bull stance on the price of cocoa and NIB by extension.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Full disclosure: no positions<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Miss<\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Two years ago, I wrote about the announcement from the International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) indicating that cocoa-growing countries would coordinate production of cocoa to better support their economies. That news was soon followed by a recommendation from the African Development Bank (AfDB) to cocoa producers to find ways to control the supply of cocoa. At … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1226,673,482,62],"tags":[1322,2209,1401,1551,1827,1323],"class_list":["post-48608","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-africa","category-agriculture-2","category-breakout","category-technical-analysis","tag-cocoa","tag-cocobod","tag-ghana","tag-ipath-bloomberg-cocoa-subtr-etn","tag-ivory-coast","tag-nib"],"yoast_head":"\nCocoa's Price Surge Confirmed By Historic Supply Coordination - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/06\/13\/cocoas-price-surge-confirmed-by-historic-supply-coordination\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Cocoa's Price Surge Confirmed By Historic Supply Coordination - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Two years ago, I wrote about the announcement from the International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) indicating that cocoa-growing countries would coordinate production of cocoa to better support their economies. 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