{"id":48499,"date":"2019-06-03T01:03:02","date_gmt":"2019-06-03T08:03:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=48499"},"modified":"2019-06-03T01:04:38","modified_gmt":"2019-06-03T08:04:38","slug":"forex-critical-safety-trade-drives-swiss-franc-near-2-year-milestone","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/06\/03\/forex-critical-safety-trade-drives-swiss-franc-near-2-year-milestone\/","title":{"rendered":"Forex Critical: The “Safety Trade” Drives the Swiss Franc Near A 2-Year Milestone"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

While the volatility index (VIX) is only reluctantly responding to the latest turmoil in financial markets, other safety trades are moving in full steam. The “safety trade” I left out of my last post covering the stock market<\/a> was the Swiss franc (FXF). At the time of writing the Swiss franc fell to a near 2-year low against the euro (FXE). EUR\/CHF finally broke through the low last set in March of this year which itself was a marginal break of support that held even during the massive sell-off in financial markets late last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"EUR\/CHF
EUR\/CHF sold off sharply in May and is starting June under fresh downward pressure. EUR\/CHF last traded at current levels in July, 2017.
Source: <\/strong>TradingView<\/strong><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

The above chart shows that EUR\/CHF has now effectively trended downward since it hit the important 1.20 milestone back in April, 2018. At that time I heralded the completion of a 3+ year reversal<\/a> from the chaos of the Swiss National Bank’s capitulation on its EUR\/CHF 1.20 floor. The brief time at those heights flags the on-going economic pressures besetting the eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The recent strength in the Swiss franc even drove USD\/CHF below 1.0. I have been looking for such a sell-off to get long again. I am anticipating an eventual rebound driven by a strengthening dollar; I am content to collect carry while I wait.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Full disclosure: long USD\/CHF<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

While the volatility index (VIX) is only reluctantly responding to the latest turmoil in financial markets, other safety trades are moving in full steam. The “safety trade” I left out of my last post covering the stock market was the Swiss franc (FXF). At the time of writing the Swiss franc fell to a near … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[483,20,511,62],"tags":[385,28,459,333,460],"class_list":["post-48499","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-breakdown","category-forex","category-support","category-technical-analysis","tag-eurchf","tag-euro","tag-fxf","tag-swiss-franc","tag-usdchf"],"yoast_head":"\nForex Critical: The "Safety Trade" Drives the Swiss Franc Near A 2-Year Milestone - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/06\/03\/forex-critical-safety-trade-drives-swiss-franc-near-2-year-milestone\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Forex Critical: The "Safety Trade" Drives the Swiss Franc Near A 2-Year Milestone - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"While the volatility index (VIX) is only reluctantly responding to the latest turmoil in financial markets, other safety trades are moving in full steam. 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