{"id":48207,"date":"2019-05-14T22:32:39","date_gmt":"2019-05-15T05:32:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=48207"},"modified":"2019-08-18T15:40:23","modified_gmt":"2019-08-18T22:40:23","slug":"bitcoin-price-extreme-relative-to-surge-in-interest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/05\/14\/bitcoin-price-extreme-relative-to-surge-in-interest\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Price Gets Extreme Relative To A Surge In Interest"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) is putting <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/tag\/google-trends\/\">the Google Trends indicator<\/a> to the test. The price of Bitcoin is surging at the same time this key indicator of sentiment is also surging (on a relative basis). Per the Google Trends hypothesis <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/tag\/google-trends\/\">I have demonstrated over time<\/a>, this surge in excitement is signaling an imminent reversal in the parabolic price run as sentiment and price combine to stretch to unsustainable extremes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1320\" height=\"883\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/190514_BTCUSD.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) at one point surged right through the $8000 mark. The parabolic run-up over the past few days has delivered a 129% year-to-date gain.\" class=\"wp-image-48209\"\/><figcaption>Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) at one point surged right through the $8000 mark. The parabolic run-up over the past few days has delivered a 129% year-to-date gain.<br><strong>Source: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/WTseq4e2\/\"><strong>TradingView<\/strong><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Google Trends is the indicator I wrote about as <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/05\/10\/bitcoin-hits-milestone-yet-one-indicator-looms-as-an-end-to-price-surge\/\">the one thing I would watch to determine any next steps<\/a> for my holdings in Bitcoin. Yet, after the cryptocurrency surged through the $7250 level, well above its upper Bollinger Band (BB), I decided to take profits on my Bitcoin ahead of assessing the data in Google Trends. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-twitter aligncenter wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Today\u2019s surge looks (short-term) unsustainable so I sold my holdings a lot earlier than I expected! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTCUSD&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTCUSD<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#bitcoin<\/a><br>BTC-USD $7,338.68 (+15.41%) on Yahoo Finance <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/9BK0UsECH9\">https:\/\/t.co\/9BK0UsECH9<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Dr. Duru (@DrDuru) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrDuru\/status\/1127351050707525638?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 11, 2019<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>It typically takes 1-3 days to get a sense of the Google Trends data, but the hourly data suggested to me that Google search interest was on its way to surging. Sure enough, Google search interest now matches levels last seen during the breakout where I started accumulating Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2199\" height=\"1002\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/190514_GoogleTrends-Bitcoin.png\" alt=\"Google search interest in Bitcoin his on the move again.\" class=\"wp-image-48210\"\/><figcaption>Google search interest in Bitcoin his on the move again.<br><strong>Source: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/trends.google.com\/trends\/explore?date=today%203-m&amp;geo=US&amp;q=bitcoin\"><strong>Google Trends<\/strong><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>If I held as much Bitcoin as I had planned before prices took off from the initial breakout, I would have just sold half and sat on the rest. If I instead decided to hold my smaller position over the weekend, I would definitely have sold by today. Now, I am just watching to see how sentiment unfolds in parallel with price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Google Trends is not the only indicator of greatly improved sentiment. CNBC&#8217;s Fast Money is back on the case actively monitoring the Bitcoin trading action. For example, the Bitcoin &#8220;bug&#8221; is back on the screen tracking every tick. When Bitcoin punched through the $8000 level, Fast Money breathlessly reported on the &#8220;Bitcoin Boom!&#8221; and even joked about marking a top in Bitcoin. Karen Finerman speculated that Chinese buyers were eagerly buying Bitcoin as a way to sneak money out of China during increased trade tensions with the U.S. Consensus on the show approved of Bitcoin&#8217;s chart pattern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-twitter aligncenter wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin soared back above $8,000, marking an 110% rally this year. Can the crypto comeback last? <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/TVbGR10cMi\">pic.twitter.com\/TVbGR10cMi<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC&#39;s Fast Money (@CNBCFastMoney) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBCFastMoney\/status\/1128057914084732929?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 13, 2019<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The next day, Fast Money brought <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Melt_Dem\">Meltem Demirors<\/a> from CoinShares on the show to talk about the price action. Demirors provided three explanations for the move higher after proclaiming victory for Bitcoin over other cryptocurrencies or alt-coins:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Global macro unrest and volatility in tech stocks<\/li><li>Privacy, including the potential break-up of Facebook (FB) and Apple (AAPL) anti-trust suits<\/li><li>Tech IPOs which have under-performed<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Put together, Bitcoin has become attractive for investors looking for innovation and high-growth. I am skeptical that trading and investing alternatives explain the renewed interest. Combining privacy concerns and AAPL anti-trust suits surprised me. Regardless, the reason for Bitcoin&#8217;s parabolic move matters little for now. Google Trends confirms the renewed interest even as it signals the current price extreme is coming to an end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-twitter aligncenter wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin has doubled this year, coinshares&#39; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Melt_Dem?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@Melt_Dem<\/a> says there&#39;s one key reason why <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1DqTWn2PCA\">pic.twitter.com\/1DqTWn2PCA<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC&#39;s Fast Money (@CNBCFastMoney) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBCFastMoney\/status\/1128420612697882624?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 14, 2019<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Even if THIS time FINALLY turns out to be the episode where the Google Trends indicator fails, my next entry in Bitcoin will occur on a dip in order to manage downside risks. I am still convinced that the recent price and sentiment action established <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/04\/07\/bitcoin-reawakens-price-search-trends-signal-bottom\/\">a sustainable bottom for Bitcoin<\/a>, but I am just as wary of parabolic moves in Bitcoin as I am in any other financial asset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Full disclosure: no positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) is putting the Google Trends indicator to the test. The price of Bitcoin is surging at the same time this key indicator of sentiment is also surging (on a relative basis). Per the Google Trends hypothesis I have demonstrated over time, this surge in excitement is signaling an imminent reversal in the parabolic &#8230; <a title=\"Bitcoin Price Gets Extreme Relative To A Surge In Interest\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/05\/14\/bitcoin-price-extreme-relative-to-surge-in-interest\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[584,1974,62,1210],"tags":[602,1957,1958,1100,1164,129,2188,1816],"class_list":["post-48207","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bollinger-band","category-cryptocurrency-forex","category-technical-analysis","category-trading-model","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-btc-usd","tag-fast-money","tag-google-trends","tag-market-sentiment","tag-meltem-demirors","tag-parabolic"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Price Gets Extreme Relative To A Surge In Interest - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/05\/14\/bitcoin-price-extreme-relative-to-surge-in-interest\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Price Gets Extreme Relative To A Surge In Interest - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) is putting the Google Trends indicator to the test. The price of Bitcoin is surging at the same time this key indicator of sentiment is also surging (on a relative basis). Per the Google Trends hypothesis I have demonstrated over time, this surge in excitement is signaling an imminent reversal in the parabolic ... 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The price of Bitcoin is surging at the same time this key indicator of sentiment is also surging (on a relative basis). Per the Google Trends hypothesis I have demonstrated over time, this surge in excitement is signaling an imminent reversal in the parabolic ... 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The parabolic run-up over the past few days has delivered a 129% year-to-date gain."},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/05\/14\/bitcoin-price-extreme-relative-to-surge-in-interest\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Bitcoin Price Gets Extreme Relative To A Surge In Interest"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/#website","url":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/","name":"ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets","description":"Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/#\/schema\/person\/d9569fde6c701b021a8d958f775be9a0"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":["Person","Organization"],"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/#\/schema\/person\/d9569fde6c701b021a8d958f775be9a0","name":"Dr. Duru","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/cropped-masthead-header.jpg","url":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/cropped-masthead-header.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/cropped-masthead-header.jpg","width":900,"height":100,"caption":"Dr. Duru"},"logo":{"@id":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/cropped-masthead-header.jpg"},"sameAs":["http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/onetwentytwo","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/drduru_market_breadth\/","https:\/\/x.com\/drduru"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48207","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48207"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48207\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":49582,"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48207\/revisions\/49582"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48207"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48207"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48207"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}