{"id":47869,"date":"2019-04-11T21:02:44","date_gmt":"2019-04-12T04:02:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=47869"},"modified":"2019-04-11T21:33:48","modified_gmt":"2019-04-12T04:33:48","slug":"home-builder-index-achieves-a-major-milestone","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/04\/11\/home-builder-index-achieves-a-major-milestone\/","title":{"rendered":"Home Builder Index Achieves A Major Milestone"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The iShares US Home Construction ETF (ITB) has essentially reversed its entire breakdown that began in October.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/190411_ITB.png\" alt=\"The iShares US Home Construction ETF (ITB) gained 1.0% and closed at a 7-month high. ITB finally reversed the October breakdown.\" class=\"wp-image-47870\"\/><figcaption>The iShares US Home Construction ETF (ITB) gained 1.0% and closed at a 7-month high. ITB finally reversed the October breakdown.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>ITB is now up 24.4% for the year and up 30.9% from the December low. These gains outpace the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s (SPY) rebound of 15.2% for the year and 22.8% since the December low. This out-performance means that the seasonal trade that favors home builders over the S&amp;P 500 from November to March\/April is alive and well (note <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/04\/10\/t2108-update-190409\/\">I remain bearish<\/a> on the overall market).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/04\/07\/housing-market-review-march-2019\/\">I closed out my last trade on the seasonality of performance for home builders last week<\/a>, I am still holding other housing-related positions that I have discussed across various posts. I took profits on one of those positions yesterday: Redfin (RDFN). Recall that RDFN provided <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/08\/13\/redfin-waves-red-flag-at-housing-market\/\">the early warning on the breakdown in the housing market<\/a>. The company also provided <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/02\/18\/redfin-lowers-its-red-flag-warning-on-the-housing-market\/\">an early, albeit tentative, &#8220;all clear&#8221; signal<\/a> in February. Needless to say, I now watch this company closely. Still, I decided to take profits because I did not like the way the stock sold off from the latest peak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/190411_RDFN.png\" alt=\"Redfin (RDFN) earlier hit an 8-month high which represented a 62.8% year-to-date gain. \" class=\"wp-image-47877\"\/><figcaption>Redfin (RDFN) earlier hit an 8-month high which represented a 62.8% year-to-date gain. <\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>I am still holding Zillow Group (ZG), a RDFN competitor, even after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2019\/04\/09\/cramer-zillows-home-flipping-plan-is-too-risky-even-with-a-new-ceo.html\">Jim Cramer panned the stock<\/a> earlier this week. The stock completely reversed a nice post-earnings gain from February, but I decided to ride on the large insider buying in November. The trader in me cringed at allowing those profits to evaporate&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/190411_Z.png\" alt=\"Zillow Group (Z) is pivoting around its 50-day moving average (DMA) after a post-earnings surge failed definitively at 200DMA resistance.\" class=\"wp-image-47876\"\/><figcaption>Zillow Group (Z) is pivoting around its 50-day moving average (DMA) after a post-earnings surge failed definitively at 200DMA resistance.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-align:center\"><strong>Source for charts: FreeStockCharts<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<center><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"560\" height=\"349\" src=\"https:\/\/player.cnbc.com\/p\/gZWlPC\/cnbc_global?playertype=synd&amp;byGuid=7000074226\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"\" webkitallowfullscreen=\"\" mozallowfullscreen=\"\" oallowfullscreen=\"\" msallowfullscreen=\"\"><\/iframe><\/center>\n\n\n\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Full disclosure: long Z<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The iShares US Home Construction ETF (ITB) has essentially reversed its entire breakdown that began in October. ITB is now up 24.4% for the year and up 30.9% from the December low. These gains outpace the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s (SPY) rebound of 15.2% for the year and 22.8% since the December low. This out-performance means that &#8230; <a title=\"Home Builder Index Achieves A Major Milestone\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/04\/11\/home-builder-index-achieves-a-major-milestone\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[2015,95,1206,2057,2151,977,2152],"class_list":["post-47869","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-housing","tag-home-builders","tag-housing-market","tag-itb","tag-rdfn","tag-redfin","tag-z","tag-zillow-group"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Home Builder Index Achieves A Major Milestone - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2019\/04\/11\/home-builder-index-achieves-a-major-milestone\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Home Builder Index Achieves A Major Milestone - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The iShares US Home Construction ETF (ITB) has essentially reversed its entire breakdown that began in October. ITB is now up 24.4% for the year and up 30.9% from the December low. These gains outpace the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s (SPY) rebound of 15.2% for the year and 22.8% since the December low. This out-performance means that ... 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