{"id":45259,"date":"2018-09-25T21:46:30","date_gmt":"2018-09-26T04:46:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=45259"},"modified":"2018-09-25T21:46:30","modified_gmt":"2018-09-26T04:46:30","slug":"general-electric-do-not-argue-with-sellers-celebrate-with-buyers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/09\/25\/general-electric-do-not-argue-with-sellers-celebrate-with-buyers\/","title":{"rendered":"General Electric Edition: Do Not Argue With Sellers \u2013 Celebrate With Buyers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>General Electric (GE) dropped 4.0% for a fourth straight day of high volume selling. At $11.27\/share GE sits at a stomach-churning 9-year low.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_45260\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-45260\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/180925_GE.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/180925_GE.png\" alt=\"General Electric (GE) still can&#039;t find a bottom. The last three trading days have delivered fresh 9-year closing lows.\" width=\"550\" height=\"424\" class=\"size-full wp-image-45260\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-45260\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">General Electric (GE) still can&#8217;t find a bottom. The last three trading days have delivered fresh 9-year closing lows.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/gekGIRLj\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">TradingView<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>GE&#8217;s early June expulsion from the Dow Jones Industrial Index seemed like such natural ignition for a bottom that even <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/07\/08\/low-risk-way-to-play-cramer-bottom-in-general-electric\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">CNBC&#8217;s Jim Cramer got off the fence to declare the stock a buy<\/a>. At the time I proposed a lower risk method of playing a potential bottom using call options. The call option configuration certainly helped ease the pain of the recent 9-year lows. Still, with selling accelerating, the temptation to consider the conditions for a bottom is too great to resist. Sure enough, Guy Adami on Fast Money offered his keys for determining whether GE (or any stock) has indeed finally reached bottom:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A new 52-week low on heavy [trading] volume: this action can indicate a wash-out of sellers.<\/li>\n<li>Management is up-front and addressing the problems with the business: hope remains the company figure things out.<\/li>\n<li>The company remains in a viable industry: the business and economic environment still gives the company time to turn things around.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><center><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">If GE&#39;s drop makes you want to buy the dip, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GuyAdami?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@GuyAdami<\/a> has tips on when to catch a falling knife. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24GE&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$GE<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/a8mvRTdH7p\">pic.twitter.com\/a8mvRTdH7p<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; CNBC&#39;s Fast Money (@CNBCFastMoney) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBCFastMoney\/status\/1044703725539995648?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 25, 2018<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>I like Adami&#8217;s points. However, the title &#8220;how to catch a falling knife&#8221; is telling. Traders and investors should not actually reach out to catch a falling knife. Instead, they should step in when the <strong>risk<\/strong> of catching a knife is sufficiently low to make the risk worthwhile. In other words, I prefer to wait for &#8220;confirmation&#8221; that the falling knife has finished falling; I want the ground to catch the knife, not me.<\/p>\n<p>Two years ago, I described this confirmation process in a piece titled &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/12\/16\/anatomy-of-a-bottom-do-not-argue-with-sellers-celebrate-with-buyers\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Do Not Argue With Sellers \u2013 Celebrate With Buyers<\/a>.&#8221; When sellers have firm control of a stock, I want to wait for <strong>some<\/strong> sign of buying &#8211; like a trading day with a gain. A stronger confirmation occurs after buyers manage to establish control of the trading with a complete reversal of the most concentrated part of the sell-off. My only rare exception to the confirmation rule occurs when I have a strong conviction from some data or analysis that puts me in accumulation mode. <\/p>\n<p>In the case of GE, a close above $11.80 would deliver the first potential sign of a washout and exhaustion of sellers. A close above $12.71 would signal high odds of a complete washout. Since I already have a position in play, I am content to wait for this more definitive confirmation. Shorter-term traders should stop out of their long positions if GE manages to close below the latest low of $11.27. If GE closes at fresh lows, then the first signal of seller&#8217;s exhaustion adjusts downward to whatever closing price clears the intraday high of the last day of high-volume selling.<\/p>\n<p>GE will continue to capture the imagination given its iconic status as a symbol of America&#8217;s industrial past. Now we wonder whether the future is waiting for GE as it sinks in stark contrast to the strength of the American economy and the near relentless up-trend of the S&#038;P 500 (SPY).<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long GE call options<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>General Electric (GE) dropped 4.0% for a fourth straight day of high volume selling. At $11.27\/share GE sits at a stomach-churning 9-year low. Source: TradingView GE&#8217;s early June expulsion from the Dow Jones Industrial Index seemed like such natural ignition for a bottom that even CNBC&#8217;s Jim Cramer got off the fence to declare the &#8230; <a title=\"General Electric Edition: Do Not Argue With Sellers \u2013 Celebrate With Buyers\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/09\/25\/general-electric-do-not-argue-with-sellers-celebrate-with-buyers\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1303,483,43,62,1210],"tags":[837,836,2089],"class_list":["post-45259","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bottom","category-breakdown","category-industrial-sector","category-technical-analysis","category-trading-model","tag-ge","tag-general-electric","tag-guy-adami"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>General Electric Edition: Do Not Argue With Sellers \u2013 Celebrate With Buyers - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/09\/25\/general-electric-do-not-argue-with-sellers-celebrate-with-buyers\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"General Electric Edition: Do Not Argue With Sellers \u2013 Celebrate With Buyers - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"General Electric (GE) dropped 4.0% for a fourth straight day of high volume selling. At $11.27\/share GE sits at a stomach-churning 9-year low. Source: TradingView GE&#8217;s early June expulsion from the Dow Jones Industrial Index seemed like such natural ignition for a bottom that even CNBC&#8217;s Jim Cramer got off the fence to declare the ... 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