{"id":44763,"date":"2018-08-12T14:33:00","date_gmt":"2018-08-12T21:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=44763"},"modified":"2018-08-12T15:02:50","modified_gmt":"2018-08-12T22:02:50","slug":"forex-critical-mexican-peso-weakens","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/08\/12\/forex-critical-mexican-peso-weakens\/","title":{"rendered":"Forex Critical: Mexican Peso Weakens As Traders Bail on Emerging Market Risks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/08\/11\/t2108-update-180810\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">my post reviewing the strength in the U.S. dollar index<\/a> (DXY), I neglected to note a related weakening in the Mexican peso. On Friday, USD\/MXN rallied into its 200-day moving average (DMA) and faded. <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/08\/01\/us-dollar-idles-while-rate-hike-odds-creep-trade-pressures-creep-higher\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Per my plan<\/a>, I faded USD\/MXN at the 200DMA. Much to my surprise, USD\/MXN readily backed off 200DMA resistance. I decided to take quick (albeit small) profits as traders elsewhere were still bailing on other emerging market plays.<\/p>\n<p>Today (Sunday), trading opened with USD\/MXN popping right back to the 200DMA. I am going to try another fade but at a slightly higher point given the apparent higher risks. Moreover, I no longer have a long U.S. dollar position to hedge, so my short USD\/MXN position size will be very small to start! (As a reminder, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/3-reasons-why-the-selloff-in-turkeys-lira-matters-to-global-markets-2018-08-10?siteid=yhoof2&#038;yptr=yahoo\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a plunge in the euro (FXE)<\/a> drove a big breakout in the U.S. dollar index. I do not want to chase that move to start my next phase of dollar longs. I am now patiently waiting for a pullback in the dollar).<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_44764\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-44764\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/180812_USDMXN.png\" alt=\"Traders are backing away from the Mexican peso as fears elevate over emerging markets. USD\/MXN is now wrestling with its 200DMA.\" width=\"550\" height=\"425\" class=\"size-full wp-image-44764\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-44764\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Traders are backing away from the Mexican peso as fears elevate over emerging markets. USD\/MXN is now wrestling with its 200DMA.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/VpXOxdrH\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">TradingView.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: no positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In my post reviewing the strength in the U.S. dollar index (DXY), I neglected to note a related weakening in the Mexican peso. On Friday, USD\/MXN rallied into its 200-day moving average (DMA) and faded. Per my plan, I faded USD\/MXN at the 200DMA. Much to my surprise, USD\/MXN readily backed off 200DMA resistance. I &#8230; <a title=\"Forex Critical: Mexican Peso Weakens As Traders Bail on Emerging Market Risks\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/08\/12\/forex-critical-mexican-peso-weakens\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,1853,512,62,21],"tags":[2049,1842,1838,1841],"class_list":["post-44763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forex","category-mexico","category-resistance","category-technical-analysis","category-u-s-dollar","tag-dxy","tag-mexican-peso","tag-u-s-dollar-index","tag-usdmxn"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex Critical: Mexican Peso Weakens As Traders Bail on Emerging Market Risks - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/08\/12\/forex-critical-mexican-peso-weakens\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Forex Critical: Mexican Peso Weakens As Traders Bail on Emerging Market Risks - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In my post reviewing the strength in the U.S. dollar index (DXY), I neglected to note a related weakening in the Mexican peso. On Friday, USD\/MXN rallied into its 200-day moving average (DMA) and faded. Per my plan, I faded USD\/MXN at the 200DMA. Much to my surprise, USD\/MXN readily backed off 200DMA resistance. I ... 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