{"id":43932,"date":"2018-05-24T17:12:16","date_gmt":"2018-05-25T00:12:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=43932"},"modified":"2018-05-24T17:12:16","modified_gmt":"2018-05-25T00:12:16","slug":"bitcoin-boring-as-beyonce-baseline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/05\/24\/bitcoin-boring-as-beyonce-baseline\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Has Become As Boring As the Beyonc\u00e9 Baseline"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>GDPR, <a href=\"https:\/\/gdpr-info.eu\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the European Union&#8217;s General Data Protection Regulation<\/a>, rolls into effect starting May 25th. Expectedly, there is a flurry of media attention on this topic. <a href=\"https:\/\/qz.com\/1284738\/gdpr-is-bigger-than-beyonce-according-to-google-search-traffic\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">One meme<\/a> spreading quickly compares Google Trend searches for GDPR to pop music icon and diva Beyonc\u00e9. It turns out that GDPR is now so popular that it surpassed Beyonc\u00e9 in Google searches in the past week or so. The buzz around this event suggested to me that Beyonc\u00e9 can serve as a baseline of mainstream popularity &#8211; what I will now call the &#8220;Beyonc\u00e9 Baseline.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>In <a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/tag\/btc\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">previous posts on Bitcoin<\/a>, I used Google Trends to put some context and perspective on extremes in Bitcoin price action. Google Trends helps define extreme tops and bottoms. The Beyonc\u00e9 Baseline puts Bitcoin&#8217;s relative popularity into mainstream context. Last year was a pivotal year for Bitcoin. Starting a year ago, Bitcoin&#8217;s popularity in the U.S. surpassed the Beyonc\u00e9 Baseline and then sustained higher levels. The only other prior time Bitcoin pulled off a similar feat was a very brief period in November, 2013. By the time of Bitcoin&#8217;s blow-off top in December, Bitcoin&#8217;s popularity reached heights Beyonce could never imagine in the Google Trends era!<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_43936\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-43936\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/180524_GoogleTrends-BitcoinVsBeyonce.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/180524_GoogleTrends-BitcoinVsBeyonce.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin was once as much as 10 times more popular than Beyonc\u00e9 (in the U.S.). Now, Bitcoin is essentially just as boring as Beyonc\u00e9...\" width=\"550\" height=\"252\" class=\"size-full wp-image-43936\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-43936\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bitcoin was once as much as 10 times more popular than Beyonc\u00e9 (in the U.S.). Now, Bitcoin is essentially just as boring as Beyonc\u00e9&#8230;<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/trends.google.com\/trends\/explore?date=all&#038;geo=US&#038;q=bitcoin,beyonce\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Google Trends<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The excitement has clearly worn off. Zooming into the last 12 months puts the Bitcoin ennui into perspective. Now, Bitcoin is effectively just as &#8220;boring&#8221; as Beyonce.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_43939\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-43939\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/180524_GoogleTrends-BitcoinVsBeyonce-12months.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/180524_GoogleTrends-BitcoinVsBeyonce-12months.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin&#039;s recent surge in popularity looks like a massive bubble relative to the Beyonc\u00e9 Baseline.\" width=\"550\" height=\"135\" class=\"size-full wp-image-43939\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-43939\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bitcoin&#8217;s recent surge in popularity looks like a massive bubble relative to the Beyonc\u00e9 Baseline.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/trends.google.com\/trends\/explore?geo=US&#038;q=bitcoin,beyonce\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Google Trends<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The worldwide popularity contest looks similar to the U.S. chart. The main difference is that <a href=\"https:\/\/trends.google.com\/trends\/explore?q=bitcoin,beyonce\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">worldwide Bitcoin currently holds a slightly larger popularity gap<\/a> than in the U.S. alone.<\/p>\n<p>I purposely describe Bitcoin as &#8220;boring&#8221; because the collapse in Google Trends matches the implosion in Bitcoin&#8217;s price and its inability to sustain a new rally. In previous posts I have claimed that new money, as implied by fresh Google Search interest, must flow to Bitcoin to sustain another rally. This resurgence has yet to arrive. I even find the on-going lack of relative interest a sufficient explanation for Bitcoin&#8217;s recent failure to break through the $10,000 mark &#8211; just not enough new interest to overcome the temptation of the sellers to take their profits and run.<\/p>\n<p>So just how bad is the current malaise compared to prior periods of malaise in Bitcoin&#8217;s price? Bitcoin has gone 6 months and counting without setting a new all-time high. This duration is nothing compared to the three years or so Bitcoin went without a new all-time high after a run-up in late 2013. During this time, Bitcoin took 12-18 months (depending on how you want to count) to establish a lasting bottom. Moreover, the current 60% collapse in price is still just a pinprick when compared to Bitcoin&#8217;s longer-term run-up. In other words, the current boredom and resulting malaise could continue for quite some time without looking abnormal relative to Bitcoin&#8217;s history.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_43933\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-43933\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/180524_BTC.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/180524_BTC.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTC) enjoyed a well-sustained run-up from 2015 until the parabolic peak in December, 2017. The long-term chart reminds us that the 60% collapse from all-time highs is still just a drop in the bucket compared to Bitcoin&#039;s long-term gains to-date.\" width=\"550\" height=\"272\" class=\"size-full wp-image-43933\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-43933\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bitcoin (BTC) enjoyed a well-sustained run-up from 2015 until the parabolic peak in December, 2017. The long-term chart reminds us that the 60% collapse from all-time highs is still just a drop in the bucket compared to Bitcoin&#8217;s long-term gains to-date.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/chart\/BTC-USD#eyJTWSI6W1siQlRDLVVTRCIsbnVsbCwwLDBdXSwiVFMiOlsxLCJ3ZWVrIixudWxsLFsiYWxsIiwxLG51bGxdXSwiVVMiOlswLDEsMV0sIkNTIjpbImxpbmUiLCJsb2ciLDIuNDM5MDI0MzkwMjQzOTAyNCxudWxsLG51bGwsIiMwMDgxZjIiXSwiU1QiOnsidm9sIHVuZHIiOnsidHlwZSI6InZvbCB1bmRyIiwiaW5wdXRzIjp7ImlkIjoidm9sIHVuZHIiLCJkaXNwbGF5Ijoidm9sIHVuZHIifSwib3V0cHV0cyI6eyJVcCBWb2x1bWUiOiIjMDBiMDYxIiwiRG93biBWb2x1bWUiOiIjRkYzMzNBIn0sInBhbmVsIjoiY2hhcnQiLCJwYXJhbWV0ZXJzIjp7IndpZHRoRmFjdG9yIjowLjQ1LCJjaGFydE5hbWUiOiJjaGFydCJ9fX0sInYiOiIwLjEuMCIsIm1pbiI6MX0=\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Yahoo Finance<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Bottom-line: fresh (mainstream) excitement may still take quite a while to return to Bitcoin. Beyonc\u00e9 can continue enjoying the company in popularity for now!<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: no position<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>GDPR, the European Union&#8217;s General Data Protection Regulation, rolls into effect starting May 25th. Expectedly, there is a flurry of media attention on this topic. One meme spreading quickly compares Google Trend searches for GDPR to pop music icon and diva Beyonc\u00e9. It turns out that GDPR is now so popular that it surpassed Beyonc\u00e9 &#8230; <a title=\"Bitcoin Has Become As Boring As the Beyonc\u00e9 Baseline\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/05\/24\/bitcoin-boring-as-beyonce-baseline\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1303,1974,62,1304,920],"tags":[2048,602,1957,1958,1164],"class_list":["post-43932","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bottom","category-cryptocurrency-forex","category-technical-analysis","category-top","category-uptrend","tag-beyonce","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-btc-usd","tag-google-trends"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Has Become As Boring As the Beyonc\u00e9 Baseline - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/05\/24\/bitcoin-boring-as-beyonce-baseline\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Has Become As Boring As the Beyonc\u00e9 Baseline - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"GDPR, the European Union&#8217;s General Data Protection Regulation, rolls into effect starting May 25th. Expectedly, there is a flurry of media attention on this topic. One meme spreading quickly compares Google Trend searches for GDPR to pop music icon and diva Beyonc\u00e9. It turns out that GDPR is now so popular that it surpassed Beyonc\u00e9 ... 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Expectedly, there is a flurry of media attention on this topic. One meme spreading quickly compares Google Trend searches for GDPR to pop music icon and diva Beyonc\u00e9. It turns out that GDPR is now so popular that it surpassed Beyonc\u00e9 ... 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