{"id":43237,"date":"2018-03-28T23:39:16","date_gmt":"2018-03-29T06:39:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=43237"},"modified":"2018-03-28T23:41:19","modified_gmt":"2018-03-29T06:41:19","slug":"materials-build-on-bearish-breakdown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/03\/28\/materials-build-on-bearish-breakdown\/","title":{"rendered":"Materials Build On A Bearish Breakdown"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This picture is exactly what I do not want to see as <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/03\/27\/t2108-update-180327\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the stock market struggles to hold critical technical supports<\/a>: a major index of economically-sensitive stocks confirming a breakdown of support at its 200-day moving average (DMA). The Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) lost 1.3% on a day when the S&#038;P 500 (SPY) only lost 0.3%. XLB also closed at a 5+ month low which added more confirmation to its bearish breakdown below its 200DMA. This picture is particularly troubling on a day when <a href=\"https:\/\/bea.gov\/newsreleases\/national\/gdp\/2018\/gdp4q17_3rd.htm\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised its estimate for U.S. fourth quarter annual GDP growth UPWARD from 2.5% to 2.9%<\/a>. Investors did not seem to care and instead looked ahead to some future troubles.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_43238\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-43238\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/180328_XLB.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/180328_XLB.jpg\" alt=\"The Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) has declined 11 out of the last 13 days after confirming resistance at its 50DMA. The new 5+ month low further confirms a bearish 200DMA breakdown.\" width=\"550\" height=\"401\" class=\"size-full wp-image-43238\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-43238\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) has declined 11 out of the last 13 days after confirming resistance at its 50DMA. The new 5+ month low further confirms a bearish 200DMA breakdown.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>This trading action forced me out of a position in Vulcan Materials (VMC). For too long I watched profits evaporate in this sell-off. VMC broke down twice below its 200DMA and for good measure confirmed its 200DMA as resistance.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_43239\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-43239\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/180328_VMC.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/180328_VMC.jpg\" alt=\"Vulcan Materials (VMC) lost 3.0%. The stock has not closed this low since October, 2016.\" width=\"550\" height=\"395\" class=\"size-full wp-image-43239\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-43239\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Vulcan Materials (VMC) lost 3.0%. The stock has not closed this low since October, 2016.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>For good measure, I sold a long-standing holding in infrastructure play Fluor (FLR). The stock made a fantastic recovery since an <strong>8-year low<\/strong> in August of last year. I am glad I accumulated shares in the sell-off. However, the bearishness in materials made me eager to lock in profits on a company that helps move a LOT of materials.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_43240\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-43240\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/180328_FLR.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/180328_FLR.jpg\" alt=\"Fluor (FLR) topped out with the market in late January and is trying to hold support around the February low. For now, 50DMA resistance is the more dominant theme.\" width=\"550\" height=\"400\" class=\"size-full wp-image-43240\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-43240\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Fluor (FLR) topped out with the market in late January and is trying to hold support around the February low. For now, 50DMA resistance is the more dominant theme.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI) deals in specialty materials. At an <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/ATI\/key-statistics?p=ATI\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">11.3 forward P\/E, 0.8 price\/sales ratio, and a 1.7 price\/book ratio<\/a>, I think of this stock as a very cheap play on a strong global economy. I was looking to buy the stock here around its 200DMA, but the further breakdown in XLB put a pause on my plans. I am now staying on the sidelines to watch some more.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_43241\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-43241\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/180328_ATI.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/180328_ATI.jpg\" alt=\"Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI) ducked under its 200DMA with a 2.4% loss on the day. The stock looks vulnerable enough to challenge November&#039;s low.\" width=\"550\" height=\"403\" class=\"size-full wp-image-43241\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-43241\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI) ducked under its 200DMA with a 2.4% loss on the day. The stock looks vulnerable enough to challenge November&#8217;s low.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>U.S.Concrete (USCR) is a stock where materials, infrastructure, and a strong economy all converge in one place. I want to use the current sell-off as a buying opportunity, but the stock&#8217;s weakness has been relentless. Today, USCR lost a whopping 4.1%. The stock is well below its 50 and 200DMAs and looks ready to test the bottom of a trading channel from the first half of 2017. <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/08\/20\/us-concrete-strong-play-us-economy-interview-bill-sandbrook\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">I interviewed CEO Bill Sandbrook last August<\/a> and received some great insight on the bullish story supporting USCR. I hope to talk to him again soon to get a better understanding of the current weakness, especially since earnings on March 1st.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_43242\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-43242\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/180328_USCR.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/180328_USCR.jpg\" alt=\"U.S. Concrete (USCR) reported earnings in the middle of severe market weakness. The market has been ever more unforgiving ever since.\" width=\"550\" height=\"394\" class=\"size-full wp-image-43242\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-43242\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">U.S. Concrete (USCR) reported earnings in the middle of severe market weakness. The market has been ever more unforgiving ever since.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long SPY shares and calls<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This picture is exactly what I do not want to see as the stock market struggles to hold critical technical supports: a major index of economically-sensitive stocks confirming a breakdown of support at its 200-day moving average (DMA). The Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) lost 1.3% on a day when the S&#038;P 500 (SPY) &#8230; <a title=\"Materials Build On A Bearish Breakdown\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/03\/28\/materials-build-on-bearish-breakdown\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[483,199,59,43,512,511,62],"tags":[1806,2035,247,1772,1926,985],"class_list":["post-43237","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-breakdown","category-commodities","category-economy","category-industrial-sector","category-resistance","category-support","category-technical-analysis","tag-ati","tag-flr","tag-gdp","tag-uscr","tag-vmc","tag-xlb"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Materials Build On A Bearish Breakdown - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2018\/03\/28\/materials-build-on-bearish-breakdown\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Materials Build On A Bearish Breakdown - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This picture is exactly what I do not want to see as the stock market struggles to hold critical technical supports: a major index of economically-sensitive stocks confirming a breakdown of support at its 200-day moving average (DMA). 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