{"id":41783,"date":"2017-12-13T20:36:40","date_gmt":"2017-12-14T04:36:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=41783"},"modified":"2017-12-13T20:36:40","modified_gmt":"2017-12-14T04:36:40","slug":"australian-dollar-flips-script-after-strong-jobs-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/12\/13\/australian-dollar-flips-script-after-strong-jobs-report\/","title":{"rendered":"The Australian Dollar Flips the Script After Strong Jobs Report"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/12\/09\/gdp-helps-confirm-australian-dollar-breakdown-post-rba\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Less than a week ago<\/a>, a disappointing GDP report helped to dampen enthusiasm for the Australian dollar (FXA) following a policy statement from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Now, the script has flipped after <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abs.gov.au\/ausstats\/abs@.nsf\/mf\/6202.0?opendocument&#038;ref=HPKI\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported a strong employment report<\/a> for November, 2017.<\/p>\n<p>While the unemployment rate stayed at 5.4%, the number of employed Australians soared by 61,600 (seasonally adjusted) from October. The number of employed also increased 3.2% year-over-year. Sixty-eight percent of the newly employed received full-time work. These numbers were enough to send the Australian dollar (FXA) soaring.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_41786\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-41786\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/171213_AUDUSD.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/171213_AUDUSD.jpg\" alt=\"Suddenly, AUD\/USD no longer looks like its breakdown will continue. On top of post-Fed dollar weakening, the Australian dollar&#039;s post-jobs gain sent AUD\/USD punching through its downtrending 50DMA for the first time since September.\" width=\"550\" height=\"483\" class=\"size-full wp-image-41786\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-41786\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Suddenly, AUD\/USD no longer looks like its breakdown will continue. On top of post-Fed dollar weakening, the Australian dollar&#8217;s post-jobs gain sent AUD\/USD punching through its downtrending 50DMA for the first time since September.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_41785\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-41785\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/171213_AUDJPY.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/171213_AUDJPY.jpg\" alt=\"Suddenly, AUD\/JPY is on the edge of a major (and bullish) breakout above both its 200 and 50DMA resistance.\" width=\"550\" height=\"483\" class=\"size-full wp-image-41785\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-41785\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Suddenly, AUD\/JPY is on the edge of a major (and bullish) breakout above both its 200 and 50DMA resistance.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>If the strength of the Australian dollar continues from here, I will be compelled to flip from a bear to bull on the currency. I will also be looking for traders to move <a href=\"http:\/\/www.asx.com.au\/data\/trt\/ib_expectation_curve_graph.pdf\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">their expectation of a 35 basis point rate hike<\/a> from early 2019 to, say, mid 2018. I will also look to see whether speculators send <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oanda.com\/forex-trading\/analysis\/commitments-of-traders\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">net long contracts<\/a> higher again. Perhaps most importantly, a strengthening AUD\/JPY would likely firm up my bullishness on the stock market.<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: short AUD\/JPY<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Less than a week ago, a disappointing GDP report helped to dampen enthusiasm for the Australian dollar (FXA) following a policy statement from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Now, the script has flipped after the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported a strong employment report for November, 2017. While the unemployment rate stayed at 5.4%, &#8230; <a title=\"The Australian Dollar Flips the Script After Strong Jobs Report\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/12\/13\/australian-dollar-flips-script-after-strong-jobs-report\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,59],"tags":[772,308,310],"class_list":["post-41783","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-economy","tag-audjpy","tag-audusd","tag-australian-dollar"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Australian Dollar Flips the Script After Strong Jobs Report - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/12\/13\/australian-dollar-flips-script-after-strong-jobs-report\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Australian Dollar Flips the Script After Strong Jobs Report - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Less than a week ago, a disappointing GDP report helped to dampen enthusiasm for the Australian dollar (FXA) following a policy statement from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Now, the script has flipped after the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported a strong employment report for November, 2017. While the unemployment rate stayed at 5.4%, ... 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