{"id":41176,"date":"2017-10-12T23:45:18","date_gmt":"2017-10-13T06:45:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=41176"},"modified":"2017-10-12T23:45:18","modified_gmt":"2017-10-13T06:45:18","slug":"cocoa-breaks-out-on-european-strength","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/10\/12\/cocoa-breaks-out-on-european-strength\/","title":{"rendered":"Cocoa Breaks Out On European Strength"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 12, 2017. <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4113173-cocoa-breaks-strong-3q-european-grindings\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Looks like my rotational trade on iPath Bloomberg Cocoa SubTR ETN (NIB) is coming to an end.<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_41177\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-41177\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/171011_NIB.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/171011_NIB.jpg\" alt=\"The iPath Bloomberg Cocoa SubTR ETN (NIB) broke out above its 200DMA as it nudged marginally above the primary trading range that dominated 2017 trading.\" width=\"550\" height=\"421\" class=\"size-full wp-image-41177\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-41177\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The iPath Bloomberg Cocoa SubTR ETN (NIB) broke out above its 200DMA as it nudged marginally above the primary trading range that dominated 2017 trading.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>The headline driver for this strong move was the European Cocoa Association (ECA) which released very strong numbers for cocoa grindings for the third quarter. European grindings increased 3.0% year-over-year to 353,544Mt, a bullish 6-year high.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_41178\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-41178\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/171011_EuropeanGrindings2017Q3.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/171011_EuropeanGrindings2017Q3.jpg\" alt=\"European cocoa grindings have not been this strong year-to-date since 2011. Third quarter grindings are also at a 6-year high.\" width=\"550\" height=\"332\" class=\"size-full wp-image-41178\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-41178\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">European cocoa grindings have not been this strong year-to-date since 2011. Third quarter grindings are also at a 6-year high.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eurococoa.com\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">European Cocoa Association (ECA)<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Since the large dip in 2012, European grindings are in a slight uptrend. This year&#8217;s increase in grindings does not soak up the production surplus, but it does provide a bullish signal. The increase likely reflects well upon the broader European economic recovery and suggests that low prices could be motivating incremental demand. Such price-driven buying is a good marker for a bottom. My interest in cocoa has long been the secular growth story in demand buffeted by the occasional supply constraints. Perhaps now the secular demand story for cocoa can start to dominate the headlines of production surplus. <\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: NIB<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 12, 2017. <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4113173-cocoa-breaks-strong-3q-european-grindings\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 12, 2017. Click here to read the entire piece.) Looks like my rotational trade on iPath Bloomberg Cocoa SubTR ETN (NIB) is coming to an end. {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com {snip} The headline driver for this strong move was the European &#8230; <a title=\"Cocoa Breaks Out On European Strength\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/10\/12\/cocoa-breaks-out-on-european-strength\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[673,482,794,62,982],"tags":[1324,1322,700,1946,1323],"class_list":["post-41176","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-agriculture-2","category-breakout","category-europe","category-technical-analysis","category-trading-range","tag-choc","tag-cocoa","tag-eca","tag-european-cocoa-association","tag-nib"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Cocoa Breaks Out On European Strength - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/10\/12\/cocoa-breaks-out-on-european-strength\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Cocoa Breaks Out On European Strength - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 12, 2017. 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