{"id":41112,"date":"2017-10-05T18:48:11","date_gmt":"2017-10-06T01:48:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=41112"},"modified":"2017-10-05T18:48:11","modified_gmt":"2017-10-06T01:48:11","slug":"british-pound-reverses-gains-from-hawkish-bank-of-england","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/10\/05\/british-pound-reverses-gains-from-hawkish-bank-of-england\/","title":{"rendered":"A Wilting British Pound Reverses Gains from A Hawkish Bank of England"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It looks like <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/10\/01\/forex-critical-speculators-flip-script-on-british-pound\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">speculators flipped the script to go net long on the British pound<\/a> (FXB) just in time to catch a peak.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_41113\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-41113\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/171005_GBPUSD.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/171005_GBPUSD.jpg\" alt=\"The British pound (FXB) has given up all its post-Bank of England gains against the U.S. dollar and then some. GBP\/USD broke down below support at its 50-day moving average (DMA)\" width=\"550\" height=\"482\" class=\"size-full wp-image-41113\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-41113\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The British pound (FXB) has given up all its post-Bank of England gains against the U.S. dollar and then some. GBP\/USD broke down below support at its 50-day moving average (DMA)<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>As the chart above shows, GBP\/USD just broke down below support at its 50-day moving average (DMA). The move looks like an exclamation point following the full reversal of the gains that came in the immediate wake of hawkish talk from the Bank of England (BoE). At the time, I expressed <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/09\/18\/british-pound-carney-deja-vu-all-over-again\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">my skepticism about the sustainability of the BoE&#8217;s hawkishness<\/a> and by extension the powers of levitation from the British pound. However, this reversal has less to do with the Bank of England and a lot more to do with the gathering strength of the U.S. dollar index (DXY0) and a more precarious political environment in the United Kingdom.<\/p>\n<p>I pointed out <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/09\/27\/t2108-update-170926\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the potential bottoming of the U.S. dollar index<\/a> in late September. The dollar has confirmed that bottoming process by traveling through its upper-Bollinger Band channel after breaking out above its 50DMA.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_41115\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-41115\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/171005_DXY0.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/171005_DXY0.jpg\" alt=\"The U.S. dollar index is still on the move after confirming a bottom with a 50DMA breakout.\" width=\"550\" height=\"482\" class=\"size-full wp-image-41115\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-41115\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The U.S. dollar index is still on the move after confirming a bottom with a 50DMA breakout.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>On the political side, UK Prime Minister Theresa May keeps hitting speed bumps after a disastrous call for a snap election that delivered the exact opposite intended results in June. May&#8217;s troubles found an apt metaphor in an address at her party&#8217;s annual conference. The speech was marred by mishaps and bad luck.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Qw5ofYeLCnE\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Now, <a href=\"http:\/\/uk.reuters.com\/article\/uk-britain-politics-may-leadership\/divisions-over-mays-future-burst-into-open-with-plot-to-topple-her-idUKKBN1CA2TY\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">word is swirling that some members of the Conservative party want May to step down<\/a>. This turmoil comes just as the UK braces for critical Brexit negotiations with the European Union. May wanted to approach these negotiations from a position of strength. Instead, the ground under May&#8217;s feet appears to be wavering like the wilting British pound.<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: short GBP\/USD, long and short the dollar across various currency pairs<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It looks like speculators flipped the script to go net long on the British pound (FXB) just in time to catch a peak. Source: FreeStockCharts.com As the chart above shows, GBP\/USD just broke down below support at its 50-day moving average (DMA). The move looks like an exclamation point following the full reversal of the &#8230; <a title=\"A Wilting British Pound Reverses Gains from A Hawkish Bank of England\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/10\/05\/british-pound-reverses-gains-from-hawkish-bank-of-england\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,21,237],"tags":[128,299,127,384,1788,1838],"class_list":["post-41112","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forex","category-u-s-dollar","category-united-kingdom","tag-british-pound","tag-dxy0","tag-fxb","tag-gbpusd","tag-theresa-may","tag-u-s-dollar-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A Wilting British Pound Reverses Gains from A Hawkish Bank of England - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/10\/05\/british-pound-reverses-gains-from-hawkish-bank-of-england\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Wilting British Pound Reverses Gains from A Hawkish Bank of England - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It looks like speculators flipped the script to go net long on the British pound (FXB) just in time to catch a peak. Source: FreeStockCharts.com As the chart above shows, GBP\/USD just broke down below support at its 50-day moving average (DMA). The move looks like an exclamation point following the full reversal of the ... 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