{"id":40189,"date":"2017-07-21T00:51:41","date_gmt":"2017-07-21T07:51:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=40189"},"modified":"2017-07-21T00:51:41","modified_gmt":"2017-07-21T07:51:41","slug":"forex-critical-debelle-of-clarity-pushes-australian-dollar-off-perch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/07\/21\/forex-critical-debelle-of-clarity-pushes-australian-dollar-off-perch\/","title":{"rendered":"Forex Critical &#8211; Debelle of Clarity Pushes the Australian Dollar Off Its Perch"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 20, 2017. <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4089305-debelle-clarity-pushes-australian-dollar-perch\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>With <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rba.gov.au\/speeches\/2017\/sp-dg-2017-07-21.html#the-neutral-interest-rate\" target=\"_blank\">THAT quote<\/a>, Debelle rang loud and clear with a confirmation of my claims in my earlier post that <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/07\/20\/forex-critical-the-australian-dollar-too-much-too-fast\/\" target=\"_blank\">the Bank would find a way to walk the market back from its hawkish interpretation of the last minutes<\/a>. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_40190\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-40190\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/170720_AUDUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/170720_AUDUSD.png\" alt=\"Debelle rings: The Australian dollar tumbles off its recent high in the wake of clarity on the RBA&#039;s commentary on the neutral rate.\" width=\"550\" height=\"476\" class=\"size-full wp-image-40190\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-40190\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Debelle rings: The Australian dollar tumbles off its recent high in the wake of clarity on the RBA&#8217;s commentary on the neutral rate.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_40191\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-40191\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/170720_AUDUSD-15min.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/170720_AUDUSD-15min.png\" alt=\"This 15 minute chart of AUD\/USD shows that the market started getting nervous several hours ahead of Debelle&#039;s speech.\" width=\"550\" height=\"475\" class=\"size-full wp-image-40191\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-40191\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">This 15 minute chart of AUD\/USD shows that the market started getting nervous several hours ahead of Debelle&#8217;s speech.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/Committee for Economic Development of Australia (CEDA) Mid-Year Economic Update\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>I used the selling to take profits on my short-term AUD\/USD short. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Debelle could not have been clearer in his discussion on the neutral rate. The RBA did not intended to communicate anything about imminent changes to monetary policy. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Debelle listed the following five, somewhat inter-related, explanations for extremely low policy rates around the globe:<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>These global pressures have also forced Australia to maintain historically low policy interest rates. Debelle noted that more accommodative monetary policies around the globe helped drive the Australian dollar to levels higher than ideal for the current economy {snip}<\/p>\n<p>In other words, in a world with monetary policies set more stimulative than Australia&#8217;s, a stronger dollar works against the Australian economy. Debelle resurfaced the RBA&#8217;s standing desire for a lower, not higher, exchange rate.<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: short the Australian dollar<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 20, 2017. <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4089305-debelle-clarity-pushes-australian-dollar-perch\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 20, 2017. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} With THAT quote, Debelle rang loud and clear with a confirmation of my claims in my earlier post that the Bank would find a way to walk the market back &#8230; <a title=\"Forex Critical &#8211; Debelle of Clarity Pushes the Australian Dollar Off Its Perch\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/07\/21\/forex-critical-debelle-of-clarity-pushes-australian-dollar-off-perch\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,59,20],"tags":[308,310,309,1893,115,306,203],"class_list":["post-40189","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-economy","category-forex","tag-audusd","tag-australian-dollar","tag-fxa","tag-guy-debelle","tag-monetary-policy","tag-rba","tag-reserve-bank-of-australia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex Critical - Debelle of Clarity Pushes the Australian Dollar Off Its Perch - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/07\/21\/forex-critical-debelle-of-clarity-pushes-australian-dollar-off-perch\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Forex Critical - Debelle of Clarity Pushes the Australian Dollar Off Its Perch - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 20, 2017. 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