{"id":39263,"date":"2017-05-06T23:31:53","date_gmt":"2017-05-07T06:31:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=39263"},"modified":"2017-05-06T23:31:53","modified_gmt":"2017-05-07T06:31:53","slug":"silver-speculators-beat-hasty-retreat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/05\/06\/silver-speculators-beat-hasty-retreat\/","title":{"rendered":"Silver Speculators Beat A Hasty Retreat Just As A Record Ends"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In recent weeks <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/05\/04\/fed-clarity-extends-pain-gold-silver\/\" target=\"_blank\">I have wondered aloud why silver speculators were so bullish<\/a>. In the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) data it appears speculators are finally asking themselves the same thing.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_39265\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-39265\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/170506_cot-XAG_USD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/170506_cot-XAG_USD.png\" alt=\"In two weeks, silver speculators have gone from record bullishness (measured from 2008) to a level of net long contracts last seen over 3 months ago.\" width=\"550\" height=\"550\" class=\"size-full wp-image-39265\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/170506_cot-XAG_USD.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/170506_cot-XAG_USD-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/170506_cot-XAG_USD-300x300.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-39265\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">In two weeks, silver speculators have gone from record bullishness (measured from 2008) to a level of net long contracts last seen over 3 months ago.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oanda.com\/forex-trading\/analysis\/commitments-of-traders\" target=\"_blank\">Oanda&#8217;s CFTC&#8217;s Commitments of Traders<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>In just two weeks, the level of net long futures contracts on silver have gone from levels not seen since at least 2008 to a level last seen in late January, 2017. The hasty retreat is understandable. Silver has suffered a vicious plunge since the last peak in April. Speculators likely wanted to reduce further risk (and potential losses) ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve&#8217;s latest pronouncement on monetary policy on May 3rd. The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) fell for a record 14 straight days before FINALLY printing a daily gain at the end of trading on Friday, May 5th. It is probably no accident that this plunge finally took a breather in the same week that maximum bullishness on silver took a big step backward. The silver market is likely due for some capitulation.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_39264\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-39264\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/170505_SLV.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/170505_SLV.png\" alt=\"The record bleeding in iShares Silver Trust (SLV) finally came to an end at a 2017 low. Was this simply a reflex bounce or are buyers finally coming out of hiding?\" width=\"550\" height=\"521\" class=\"size-full wp-image-39264\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/170505_SLV.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/170505_SLV-300x284.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-39264\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The record bleeding in iShares Silver Trust (SLV) finally came to an end at a 2017 low. Was this simply a reflex bounce or are buyers finally coming out of hiding?<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>An end to a selling record is a small baby-step in the direction of encouragement. I cannot get optimistic over the prospects for a bounce until SLV manages to reverse its entire post-Fed loss. At THAT point, I will assume SLV is good for at least a bounce back to resistance at its 50-day moving average (DMA). If the 2017 low gives way, I will assume that SLV is on its way to challenge the low from late December that occurred in the wake of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s first rate hike in a year. For now, I cannot identify a specific catalyst that can help to boost SLV except for the technical tailwinds of a relief rally from an oversold condition.<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long SLV shares and call options<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In recent weeks I have wondered aloud why silver speculators were so bullish. In the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) data it appears speculators are finally asking themselves the same thing. Source: Oanda&#8217;s CFTC&#8217;s Commitments of Traders In just two weeks, the level of net long futures contracts on silver have gone from levels not &#8230; <a title=\"Silver Speculators Beat A Hasty Retreat Just As A Record Ends\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/05\/06\/silver-speculators-beat-hasty-retreat\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[483,199,512,62],"tags":[1746,1843,25,354],"class_list":["post-39263","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-breakdown","category-commodities","category-resistance","category-technical-analysis","tag-commitments-of-traders","tag-cot","tag-silver","tag-slv"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Silver Speculators Beat A Hasty Retreat Just As A Record Ends - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/05\/06\/silver-speculators-beat-hasty-retreat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Silver Speculators Beat A Hasty Retreat Just As A Record Ends - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In recent weeks I have wondered aloud why silver speculators were so bullish. In the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) data it appears speculators are finally asking themselves the same thing. Source: Oanda&#8217;s CFTC&#8217;s Commitments of Traders In just two weeks, the level of net long futures contracts on silver have gone from levels not ... 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