{"id":38548,"date":"2017-03-15T01:16:59","date_gmt":"2017-03-15T08:16:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=38548"},"modified":"2017-03-15T01:16:59","modified_gmt":"2017-03-15T08:16:59","slug":"oil-related-plays-reverse-post-election-gains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/03\/15\/oil-related-plays-reverse-post-election-gains\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil-Related Plays Reverse Post-Election Gains"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The big story coming out of the November presidential elections was the flurry of &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2016\/11\/11\/t2108-update-161110\/\" target=\"_blank\">Trump Trades<\/a>&#8221; that soared on an incremental surge of optimism and expectations. Now the growing story includes the sprouting list of trades that have completely reversed post-election gains. The recent rapid decline in oil prices on the heels of surging U.S. inventories finished the post-election wipe-out for the United States Oil Fund (USO) and the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE). I drew The horizontal bars on the charts below to mark prices at the close of trading on election day.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_38549\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-38549\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/170314_USO.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/170314_USO.png\" alt=\"The United States Oil Fund (USO) enjoyed one month of post-election gains. USO has now lost all those gains with the majority of the loss coming just in the last 6 trading days.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-38549\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/170314_USO.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/170314_USO-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-38549\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The United States Oil Fund (USO) enjoyed one month of post-election gains. USO has now lost all those gains with the majority of the loss coming just in the last 6 trading days.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_38553\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-38553\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/170314_XLE.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/170314_XLE.png\" alt=\"The Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) finished its post-election reversal last week and tried bouncing right off its pre-election price. This week, that line of support is in peril.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-38553\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/170314_XLE.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/170314_XLE-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-38553\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) finished its post-election reversal last week and tried bouncing right off its pre-election price. This week, that line of support is in peril.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>This rapid decline has me thinking once again about <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/3227426-the-winning-trade-on-the-united-states-oil-etf-ahead-of-opecs-next-meeting\" target=\"_blank\">a USO hedged trade<\/a> or refreshing <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2016\/11\/05\/opecs-latest-stumbles-create-next-opp-for-oil-driven-pairs-trade\/\" target=\"_blank\">my USO versus United States Gasoline (UGA) pairs trade<\/a>. I am still carrying remnants of the last phases of both trades. For the immediate future, I need to wait out the market&#8217;s full reaction to a March rate hike and at least one or two more U.S. oil inventory reports.<\/p>\n<p>While the post-election reversal of oil-related plays stands out, the most important post-election reversal still sits with <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/t2108-resource-page\/\" target=\"_blank\">AT40 (T2108)<\/a>, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs). <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/03\/09\/t2108-update-170309\/\" target=\"_blank\">Last week, I flagged this reversal<\/a> as part of a look at the stock market&#8217;s latest bearish divergence. This divergence came after I examined <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/03\/09\/t2108-update-170308\/\" target=\"_blank\">the various ways in which the underlying technicals of the stock market appear to be breaking down<\/a>. The confluence of evidence seems to confirm that the market is biding time until <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/02\/12\/surprising-implications-of-extremely-low-volatility\/\" target=\"_blank\">a May rendezvous with the likely end of this low volatility environment<\/a>. Yet, until price action on the S&#038;P 500 (SPY) confirms to the downside, this weight of evidence is something for keeping traders alert but not yet something to drive action. Stay tuned&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: short USO put options, long USO put options, long UGA<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The big story coming out of the November presidential elections was the flurry of &#8220;Trump Trades&#8221; that soared on an incremental surge of optimism and expectations. Now the growing story includes the sprouting list of trades that have completely reversed post-election gains. The recent rapid decline in oil prices on the heels of surging U.S. &#8230; <a title=\"Oil-Related Plays Reverse Post-Election Gains\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/03\/15\/oil-related-plays-reverse-post-election-gains\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[377,511,62,1803],"tags":[1819,536,226,1375,538,1444],"class_list":["post-38548","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-oil","category-support","category-technical-analysis","category-trump-trades","tag-at40","tag-oil-2","tag-t2108","tag-united-states-oil-fund","tag-uso","tag-xle"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Oil-Related Plays Reverse Post-Election Gains - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/03\/15\/oil-related-plays-reverse-post-election-gains\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Oil-Related Plays Reverse Post-Election Gains - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The big story coming out of the November presidential elections was the flurry of &#8220;Trump Trades&#8221; that soared on an incremental surge of optimism and expectations. 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