{"id":3809,"date":"2011-01-06T02:38:48","date_gmt":"2011-01-06T07:38:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=3809"},"modified":"2011-01-06T02:52:52","modified_gmt":"2011-01-06T07:52:52","slug":"gold-silver-break-primary-uptrends","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/01\/06\/gold-silver-break-primary-uptrends\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold and Silver Break 4-Month Old Primary Uptrends"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/11\/11\/silver-higer-margin-requirements\/\">The cooling process for gold and silver<\/a> has moved slowly and deliberately. The first step featured a fight through <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/11\/09\/now-thats-parabolic-silver-gold\/\">parabolic upswings<\/a>, especially for silver. The next step finally seems underway with the first break of primary (short-term) uptrends. Gold closed below its 50-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since August. Silver closed below its 20DMA for the first time since August. (The same moves apply for the respective ETFs, GLD and SLV).<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_3810\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3810\" style=\"width: 504px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/110105_GOLD.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/110105_GOLD.jpg\" alt=\"Gold finally closes below the primary trend at the 50DMA\" title=\"Gold finally closes below the primary trend at the 50DMA\" width=\"514\" height=\"317\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3810\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/110105_GOLD.jpg 514w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/110105_GOLD-300x185.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 514px) 100vw, 514px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-3810\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gold finally closes below the primary trend at the 50DMA<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_3811\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3811\" style=\"width: 506px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/110105_SILVER.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/110105_SILVER.jpg\" alt=\"Silver finally closes below the primary trend at the 20DMA\" title=\"Silver finally closes below the primary trend at the 20DMA\" width=\"516\" height=\"314\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3811\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/110105_SILVER.jpg 516w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/110105_SILVER-300x182.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 516px) 100vw, 516px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-3811\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Silver finally closes below the primary trend at the 20DMA<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>For over four months, these trend lines have formed strong support for a robust rally. It is far from clear whether these first breaks will immediately lead to more substantial corrections. However, with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/id\/40897828\">fresh money moving into stocks (especially from bonds)<\/a>, interest rates going up, and the dollar holding firm for a month and looking poised for a fresh break upward (see chart below), the case for further upside in silver and gold is weakening for the short-term. Just in case this is the only dip I get to start rebuilding my gold and silver positions, I have nibbled on miners Goldcorp (GG) and <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/#!\/search\/nibbled%20%24PAAS%2050DMA\">Pan American Silver (PAAS)<\/a>. As a reminder, I target the miners for shorter-term trades. I build core positions in the actual commodities (through the ETFs GLD and SLV).<\/p>\n<p>If a correction unfolds, I will be looking at the 200DMA line as a spot for aggressive accumulation. By that time, the gold (and silver) skeptics and bears will be in full bloom&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>(Note I did a quick update of my sentiment analysis using Google trends and little seems to have changed since my <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/10\/13\/still-no-excess-gold-enthusiasm\/\">last formal review in October<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_3817\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3817\" style=\"width: 504px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/110105_USD.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/110105_USD.jpg\" alt=\"With 50DMA curving upward is the U.S. dollar forming a base for a fresh rally?\" title=\"With 50DMA curving upward is the U.S. dollar forming a base for a fresh rally?\" width=\"514\" height=\"313\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3817\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/110105_USD.jpg 514w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/110105_USD-300x182.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 514px) 100vw, 514px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-3817\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">With 50DMA curving upward is the U.S. dollar forming a base for a fresh rally?<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for all charts: stockcharts.com<\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long GG, PAAS, and TBT<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The cooling process for gold and silver has moved slowly and deliberately. The first step featured a fight through parabolic upswings, especially for silver. The next step finally seems underway with the first break of primary (short-term) uptrends. Gold closed below its 50-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since August. Silver closed below &#8230; <a title=\"Gold and Silver Break 4-Month Old Primary Uptrends\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/01\/06\/gold-silver-break-primary-uptrends\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[199,62,21],"tags":[200,24,431,25,354,284,1597],"class_list":["post-3809","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commodities","category-technical-analysis","category-u-s-dollar","tag-gld","tag-gold","tag-ishares-silver-trust-etf","tag-silver","tag-slv","tag-spdr-gold-shares","tag-technical-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Gold and Silver Break 4-Month Old Primary Uptrends - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/01\/06\/gold-silver-break-primary-uptrends\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold and Silver Break 4-Month Old Primary Uptrends - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The cooling process for gold and silver has moved slowly and deliberately. The first step featured a fight through parabolic upswings, especially for silver. The next step finally seems underway with the first break of primary (short-term) uptrends. Gold closed below its 50-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since August. Silver closed below ... 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