{"id":37773,"date":"2017-01-25T00:51:30","date_gmt":"2017-01-25T08:51:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=37773"},"modified":"2017-01-25T00:51:30","modified_gmt":"2017-01-25T08:51:30","slug":"t2108-update-170124","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/01\/25\/t2108-update-170124\/","title":{"rendered":"T2108 Update (January 24, 2017) &#8211; Bullish Writing On the Walls&#8230;With Footnotes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/about\/t2108-resource-page\/\">T2108 Resource Page<\/a>. You can <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/#!\/search\/%23T2108\">follow real-time T2108 commentary<\/a> on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are occasionally posted on twitter using <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/#!\/search\/%23120trade\" target=\"_blank\">the #120trade hashtag<\/a>. T2107 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200DMAs)<\/p>\n<p><strong>T2108 Status<\/strong>: 65.6%<br \/>\n<strong>T2107 Status<\/strong>: 69.0%<br \/>\n<strong>VIX Status<\/strong>: 11.1<br \/>\n<strong>General (Short-term) Trading Call<\/strong>: bearish<br \/>\n<strong>Active T2108 periods<\/strong>: Day #233 over 20%, Day #53 over 30%, Day #52 over 40%, Day #50 over 50%, Day #1 over 60% (overperiod), Day #13 under 70%<\/p>\n<p><strong>Commentary<\/strong><br \/>\nIn <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/01\/21\/t2108-update-170120\/\" target=\"_blank\">the last T2108 Update<\/a> I made the case for staying bearish on the S&#038;P 500 (SPY) and the stock market in general. Today, the S&#038;P 500 (SPY) did its best to invalidate the growing bearish signals by rallying to a new all-time high.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_37775\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37775\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_SP500.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_SP500.png\" alt=\"The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) printed a fresh all-time but faded of its high of the day. The new all-time closing high beat the previous record by 4 points.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37775\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_SP500.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_SP500-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37775\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The S&#038;P 500 (SPY) printed a fresh all-time but faded of its high of the day. The new all-time closing high beat the previous record by 4 points.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The 0.7% gain came amid a collection of bullish market signals. Yet, while the S&#038;P 500 hurtled over one of my criteria for flipping back to bullish, <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/t2108-resource-page\/\" target=\"_blank\">T2108<\/a>, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), failed to cooperate. My favorite technical indicator performed well on the day, but it did not recover overbought status (above 70%). T2108 even closed right at its own 20 and 50DMAs.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_37776\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37776\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_T2108.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_T2108.png\" alt=\"T2108 surged and broke out from its primary downtrend. It now needs to break into overbought status.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37776\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_T2108.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_T2108-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37776\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">T2108 surged and broke out from its primary downtrend. It now needs to break into overbought status.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>As a reminder, <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/t2108-resource-page\/\" target=\"_blank\">my (revised) T2108 trading rules<\/a> flag overbought status as a sign of buyer&#8217;s strength. Falling out of overbought status is bearish. As a result, I have been cautiously bearish and now bearish since January 9th <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/01\/10\/t2108-update-170109\/\" target=\"_blank\">when T2108 fell from the last overbought period<\/a>. Ideally, such a fall leads to sustained momentum to the downside and a trip to, or close enough to, oversold conditions to signal the next bullish period. Instead, the S&#038;P 500 has defied gravity with a tantalizing trading range for 6 or 7 weeks during which time T2108 fell from overbought conditions three times. T2108&#8217;s behavior was the biggest footnote to an otherwise bullish day.<\/p>\n<p>The second footnote was a reminder to stay cautious. The volatility index, the VIX, dropped to a 2 1\/2 year low. Since last August, the VIX has bounced from these levels, leading to pullbacks of varying degrees. In other words, the VIX sits at a dangerous level of complacency. If the stock market continues higher, this cautionary footnote will loom ever larger.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_37778\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37778\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_VIX.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_VIX.png\" alt=\"The volatility index, the VIX, dropped to a level of complacency unseen since the summer of 2014.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37778\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_VIX.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_VIX-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37778\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The volatility index, the VIX, dropped to a level of complacency unseen since the summer of 2014.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_37791\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37791\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_SVXY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_SVXY.png\" alt=\"Incredibly, betting against volatility has delivered very consistent and sustained gains!\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37791\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_SVXY.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_SVXY-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37791\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Incredibly, betting against volatility has delivered very consistent and sustained gains!<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Now enough of the caution and the negative &#8211; here are some peeks at how the bulls and buyers are celebrating the positives&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>The NASDAQ (QQQ) jumped to a new all-time high with a 0.9% gain. This move looks a lot better than the S&#038;P 500&#8217;s move: it follows a well-defined uptrend formed after the sharp 2-day sell-off that ended 2016. The NASDAQ is up 4.0% year-to-date and out-performing the S&#038;P 500&#8217;s 1.8% year-to-date gain.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_37779\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37779\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_NASDAQ.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_NASDAQ.png\" alt=\"The NASDAQ broke out to a new all-time high.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37779\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_NASDAQ.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_NASDAQ-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37779\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The NASDAQ broke out to a new all-time high.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>T2107, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200DMAs, was almost as impressive as the NASDAQ. This measure of longer-term health in the stock market broke out cleanly to a new 3+ month high. T2107 is trending upward and looks like it broke out from a bullish wedge pattern. T2107 also happened to launch off the former post-recession downtrend line.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_37780\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37780\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_T2107.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_T2107.png\" alt=\"T2107 broke out in bullish form.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37780\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_T2107.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_T2107-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37780\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">T2107 broke out in bullish form.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The currency market is chimed in with a bullish signal from the Australian dollar (FXA) and the Japanese yen (FXY). AUD\/JPY bounced off its uptrending 20DMA which now hovers just above an uptrending 50DMA. Note that at the time of writing the Australian dollar sold off sharply after <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abs.gov.au\/ausstats\/abs%40.nsf\/mediareleasesbyCatalogue\/902A92E190C24630CA2573220079CCD9?OpenDocument\" target=\"_blank\">the Australian Bureau of Statistics released inflation data for 2016&#8217;s December quarter<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_37782\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37782\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_AUDJPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_AUDJPY.png\" alt=\"AUD\/JPY clung to support at its 50DMA and lended support to a more bullish mix of market signals.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37782\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_AUDJPY.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_AUDJPY-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37782\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">AUD\/JPY clung to support at its 50DMA and lended support to a more bullish mix of market signals.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The U.S. dollar index (DXY0) is doing a cling of its own. Its 50DMA is still trending upward, and the index is trying to hang on. I expect the declining 20DMA to take over as the primary (short-term) trend despite my bullishness, for example, on the U.S. dollar versus the Canadian dollar. <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/01\/23\/canadian-dollar-selling-bank-of-canada-responds-to-trump-policies\/\" target=\"_blank\">I am in steady accumulation mode on USD\/CAD in anticipation of the next move higher<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_37783\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37783\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_DXY0.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_DXY0.png\" alt=\"The 20DMA of the U.S. dollar index looks ready to take over the trend from the 50DMA\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37783\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_DXY0.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_DXY0-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37783\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The 20DMA of the U.S. dollar index looks ready to take over the trend from the 50DMA<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_37784\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37784\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_USDCAD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_USDCAD.png\" alt=\"USD\/CAD has nearly reversed all its post-Bank of Canada gains as its 50DMA held as approximate resistance.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37784\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_USDCAD.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_USDCAD-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37784\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">USD\/CAD has nearly reversed all its post-Bank of Canada gains as its 50DMA held as approximate resistance.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Home building is one sector of the market for which I use different rules (see <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?s=housing+market+review\" target=\"_blank\">my housing market reviews<\/a> for more details). I wrote last week that <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/01\/21\/housing-market-faces-down-its-first-trump-era-headwind\/\" target=\"_blank\">immediate policy rollbacks by President Trump included a negative for the housing market<\/a>. Now earnings have taken over. D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) soared 6.6% on a very positive response to its earnings. This move helped power the iShares US Home Construction (ITB) upward 4.0%. ITB closed just short of its December high; the breakout essentially confirmed the 20 and 50DMAs as support. This move happened on a day when interest rates ticked higher. I am well overdue for some detailed reviews of earnings from home builders (stay tuned). <\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_37785\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37785\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_ITB.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_ITB.png\" alt=\"Seasonal strength has arrived with the iShares US Home Construction (ITB) up 5.6% year-to-date and up 12.6% since the November 1st start of the season.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37785\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_ITB.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_ITB-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37785\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Seasonal strength has arrived with the iShares US Home Construction (ITB) up 5.6% year-to-date and up 12.6% since the November 1st start of the season.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Netflix (NFLX) followed tech to a new all-time closing high. NFLX now looks ready to invalidate the potential bearishness of its &#8220;gap and crap&#8221; response to the latest earnings report. The upper-Bollinger Bands continue to define a notable uptrend for NFLX.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_37786\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37786\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_NFLX.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_NFLX.png\" alt=\"A new all-time closing high for NFLX. \" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37786\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_NFLX.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_NFLX-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37786\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A new all-time closing high for NFLX.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Financials made a bid to end the slow drip off recent highs. Most importantly, Goldman Sachs (GS) bounced off 50DMA support for a marginal gain. However, the stock did fade well off its high for the day. I am watching VERY closely for the resolution of this important test of support!<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_37789\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37789\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_GS.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_GS.png\" alt=\"Goldman Sachs (GS) made a bid to hold its 50DMA as support.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37789\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_GS.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_GS-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37789\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Goldman Sachs (GS) made a bid to hold its 50DMA as support.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Commodities made big moves. For example, one day ahead of earnings, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) soared 8.3% to a new 1 1\/2 year high. FCX confirmed <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/01\/04\/t2108-update-170104\/\" target=\"_blank\">another test of support at its 50DMA<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_37787\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37787\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_FCX.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_FCX.png\" alt=\"Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) broke out the day before it reports its latest earnings.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37787\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_FCX.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_FCX-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37787\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) broke out the day before it reports its latest earnings.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Just when I thought the industrial sector was on the move in unison, I noticed steel stock AK Steel Holding Corporation (AKS) drop 6.6% in response to earnings. The high volume selling delivered a triple-whammy to AKS: a bearish engulfing top, a 50DMA breakdown, and confirmation of resistance at the downtrending 20DMA. I will be watching closely to see whether buyers who have auto-flocked to these names will soon overlook the bad news in earnings and choose instead to fall back in line with the Trump-theme trade.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_37788\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-37788\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_AKS.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_AKS.png\" alt=\"The run-up looks over for AK Steel Holding Corporation (AKS) as it printed a bearish post-earnings topping pattern.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-37788\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_AKS.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/170124_AKS-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-37788\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The run-up looks over for AK Steel Holding Corporation (AKS) as it printed a bearish post-earnings topping pattern.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Putting things all together, I am keeping the short-term trading call growling with the bears. This choice is more out of a desire to reduce churn in the trading call rather than coming from a firm conviction. The bulls are once again writing all over the walls, so I do not expect this bearish trading call to last much longer. Time will soon tell&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8212; &#8211; &#8212;<br \/>\n<center><br \/>\n<strong>FOLLOW Dr. Duru&#8217;s commentary on financial markets via <a href=\"https:\/\/feedburner.google.com\/fb\/a\/mailverify?uri=onetwentytwo\" target=\"_blank\">email<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/stocktwits.com\/DrDuru\" target=\"_blank\">StockTwits<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrDuru\" target=\"_blank\">Twitter<\/a>, and even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/drduru_market_breadth\/\" target=\"_blank\">Instagram<\/a>!<\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<strong>Daily T2108 vs the S&amp;P 500<\/strong><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/charts\/T2108-daily_s.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"T2108 vs. the S&amp;P 500 (DAILY)\" src=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/charts\/T2108-daily_s.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Black line: T2108 (measured on the right); Green line: S&amp;P 500 (for comparative purposes)<br \/>\nRed line: T2108 Overbought (70%); Blue line: T2108 Oversold (20%)<br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<strong>Weekly T2108<\/strong><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/charts\/T2108-weekly_s.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"Weekly T2108\" src=\"http:\/\/www.drduru.com\/money\/charts\/T2108-weekly_s.png\" alt=\"Weekly T2108\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n*<strong>All charts created using <\/strong><strong><a title=\"Freestockcharts.com\" href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">freestockcharts.com<\/a><\/strong> unless otherwise stated<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The charts above are the my LATEST updates independent of the date of this given T2108 post. For my latest T2108 post <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/tag\/t2108\/\" target=\"_blank\">click here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>Related links:<\/strong><br \/>\n<a href=\"hhttp:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/about\/t2108-resource-page\/\">The T2108 Resource Page<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long SDS, long USD\/CAD, short AUD\/JPY, long ITB call options, long FCX<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are &#8230; <a title=\"T2108 Update (January 24, 2017) &#8211; Bullish Writing On the Walls&#8230;With Footnotes\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/01\/25\/t2108-update-170124\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[199,548,20,219,35,43,44,21],"tags":[188,772,299,493,208,1206,413,405,535,65,362,1363,225,226,1591,469,303],"class_list":["post-37773","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commodities","category-financials","category-forex","category-high-tech","category-housing","category-industrial-sector","category-steel","category-u-s-dollar","tag-aks","tag-audjpy","tag-dxy0","tag-fcx","tag-gs","tag-itb","tag-nasdaq","tag-nflx","tag-qqq","tag-sp-500","tag-spy","tag-svxy","tag-t2107","tag-t2108","tag-u-s-dollar","tag-usdcad","tag-vix"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>T2108 Update (January 24, 2017) - Bullish Writing On the Walls...With Footnotes - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2017\/01\/25\/t2108-update-170124\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"T2108 Update (January 24, 2017) - Bullish Writing On the Walls...With Footnotes - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are ... 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