{"id":34939,"date":"2016-06-19T17:48:29","date_gmt":"2016-06-20T00:48:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=34939"},"modified":"2016-06-19T17:49:17","modified_gmt":"2016-06-20T00:49:17","slug":"brexit-fear-recedes-creates-new-trading-opp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2016\/06\/19\/brexit-fear-recedes-creates-new-trading-opp\/","title":{"rendered":"Brexit Fear Recedes And Creates A New Trading Opportunity"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>At the time of writing, currency markets opened trading this week with Brexit fear continuing to recede in the form of a big gap in favor of the British pound (FXB). Google Trends shows that on Friday, search interest in Brexit took a big step back (down 17%). This move confirms the apparent change in sentiment toward Brexit (a reduction in fear).<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34940\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34940\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_GoogleTrendsBrexit-daily.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_GoogleTrendsBrexit-daily.png\" alt=\"Brexit fear finally takes a step back as search interest fades.\" width=\"550\" height=\"275\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34940\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_GoogleTrendsBrexit-daily.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_GoogleTrendsBrexit-daily-300x150.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34940\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Brexit fear finally takes a step back as search interest fades.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/trends\/explore#q=brexit&#038;date=today%203-m&#038;cmpt=q&#038;tz=Etc%2FGMT%2B7\" target=\"_blank\">Google Trends<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>With momentum swinging, I am ending the strategy of fading rallies in the British pound (FXB) ahead of the UK&#8217;s June 23rd referendum on membership in the European Union (EU). However, I am also not chasing the pound upward as I think event risk remains to the downside going into Brexit. The trading opportunity for pound bulls is to see how far the momentum can carry you with a tight stop somewhere in the gap. If I execute any new trades, they will occur IF sellers manage to push the British pound back into today&#8217;s gaps. A combination of daily and 15-minute charts show the swing in direction that began last week.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34946\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34946\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_GBPJPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_GBPJPY.png\" alt=\"GBP\/JPY continues the sharp turn-around from last week&#039;s low.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34946\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_GBPJPY.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_GBPJPY-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34946\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">GBP\/JPY continues the sharp turn-around from last week&#8217;s low.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_34945\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34945\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_GBPJPY-15min.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_GBPJPY-15min.png\" alt=\"The gap up puts an exclamation mark on the turnaround in trading.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34945\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_GBPJPY-15min.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_GBPJPY-15min-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34945\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The gap up puts an exclamation mark on the turnaround in trading.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Speculators started the apparent change in sentiment, but the data are only now available per the Commitments of Traders (CoT) from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Data as of last Tuesday show a rush out of net short positions against the British pound. I do not think it is an accident that the British pound made a dramatic turnaround last week &#8211; too bad these data are not publicly available sooner!<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34942\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34942\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_cot-GBP_USD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_cot-GBP_USD.png\" alt=\"Speculators back off net shorts against the British pound as quickly as they rebuilt them.\" width=\"550\" height=\"550\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34942\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_cot-GBP_USD.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_cot-GBP_USD-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/160619_cot-GBP_USD-300x300.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34942\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Speculators back off net shorts against the British pound as quickly as they rebuilt them.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: Oanda&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oanda.com\/forex-trading\/analysis\/commitments-of-traders\" target=\"_blank\">CFTC&#8217;s Commitments of Traders<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long and short the British pound in various currency pairs<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At the time of writing, currency markets opened trading this week with Brexit fear continuing to recede in the form of a big gap in favor of the British pound (FXB). Google Trends shows that on Friday, search interest in Brexit took a big step back (down 17%). This move confirms the apparent change in &#8230; <a title=\"Brexit Fear Recedes And Creates A New Trading Opportunity\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2016\/06\/19\/brexit-fear-recedes-creates-new-trading-opp\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[482,20,62,237],"tags":[1682,128,1688,127,626,1164,129],"class_list":["post-34939","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-breakout","category-forex","category-technical-analysis","category-united-kingdom","tag-brexit","tag-british-pound","tag-cftc","tag-fxb","tag-gbpjpy","tag-google-trends","tag-market-sentiment"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Brexit Fear Recedes And Creates A New Trading Opportunity - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2016\/06\/19\/brexit-fear-recedes-creates-new-trading-opp\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Brexit Fear Recedes And Creates A New Trading Opportunity - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"At the time of writing, currency markets opened trading this week with Brexit fear continuing to recede in the form of a big gap in favor of the British pound (FXB). 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Google Trends shows that on Friday, search interest in Brexit took a big step back (down 17%). This move confirms the apparent change in ... 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