{"id":31680,"date":"2015-11-11T21:48:35","date_gmt":"2015-11-12T05:48:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=31680"},"modified":"2015-11-11T21:48:35","modified_gmt":"2015-11-12T05:48:35","slug":"the-australian-dollar-rallies-sharply-on-strong-november-jobs-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/11\/11\/the-australian-dollar-rallies-sharply-on-strong-november-jobs-report\/","title":{"rendered":"The Australian Dollar Rallies Sharply On Strong November Jobs Report"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2015. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/3678056-the-australian-dollar-rallies-sharply-on-strong-november-jobs-report\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.abs.gov.au\/ausstats\/abs@.nsf\/Latestproducts\/6202.0Main%20Features2Oct%202015?opendocument&#038;tabname=Summary&#038;prodno=6202.0&#038;issue=Oct%202015&#038;num=&#038;view=\" target=\"_blank\">Statistics Australia<\/a> reported a large jump in jobs for the month of October, 2015. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate dropped from 6.2% to 5.9%. This is the lowest unemployment rate since May, 2015 when the rate also dropped from 6.2% to 5.9%. The number of employed increased by 58,600 which includes 40,000 full-time positions. On a trend basis, the unemployment rate has stayed 6.1% since March, 2015.<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_31682\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-31682\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/151111_AUDUSD-15min.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/151111_AUDUSD-15min.png\" alt=\"This 15-minute chart makes clear the immediate impact of the Australian jobs report for October\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-31682\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/151111_AUDUSD-15min.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/151111_AUDUSD-15min-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-31682\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">This 15-minute chart makes clear the immediate impact of the Australian jobs report for October<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_31681\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-31681\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/151111_AUDUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/151111_AUDUSD.png\" alt=\"At the time of writing, the Australian dollar has traded back to its 50-day moving average (DMA) against the U.S. dollar. Added technical resistance should come from a now declining 20DMA.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-31681\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/151111_AUDUSD.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/151111_AUDUSD-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-31681\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">At the time of writing, the Australian dollar has traded back to its 50-day moving average (DMA) against the U.S. dollar. Added technical resistance should come from a now declining 20DMA.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_31684\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-31684\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/151111_ASXRateTrackerDec.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/151111_ASXRateTrackerDec.png\" alt=\"The market no longer expects the RBA to cut rates in December. Odds have fallen dramatically over the last month.\" width=\"500\" height=\"220\" class=\"size-full wp-image-31684\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/151111_ASXRateTrackerDec.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/151111_ASXRateTrackerDec-300x132.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-31684\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The market no longer expects the RBA to cut rates in December. Odds have fallen dramatically over the last month.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.asx.com.au\/prices\/targetratetracker.htm\" target=\"_blank\">ASX RBA Rate Indicator<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>I do not think this report changes anything for the RBA. During <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/11\/02\/the-reserve-bank-of-australia-sets-the-stage-for-the-next-rate-cuts\/\" target=\"_blank\">its November decision on monetary policy<\/a>, the RBA noted that declining inflation gives it scope for considering more accommodative policy. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: short the Australian dollar<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2015. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/3678056-the-australian-dollar-rallies-sharply-on-strong-november-jobs-report\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Statistics Australia reported a large jump in jobs for the month of October, 2015. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate dropped from 6.2% to 5.9%. This is the lowest unemployment rate &#8230; <a title=\"The Australian Dollar Rallies Sharply On Strong November Jobs Report\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/11\/11\/the-australian-dollar-rallies-sharply-on-strong-november-jobs-report\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,59,20],"tags":[308,310,309,197],"class_list":["post-31680","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-economy","category-forex","tag-audusd","tag-australian-dollar","tag-fxa","tag-unemployment"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Australian Dollar Rallies Sharply On Strong November Jobs Report - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/11\/11\/the-australian-dollar-rallies-sharply-on-strong-november-jobs-report\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Australian Dollar Rallies Sharply On Strong November Jobs Report - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2015. 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