{"id":30456,"date":"2015-09-12T01:27:16","date_gmt":"2015-09-12T08:27:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=30456"},"modified":"2015-09-12T01:27:49","modified_gmt":"2015-09-12T08:27:49","slug":"the-appeal-of-the-canadian-dollar-continues-to-recede","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/09\/12\/the-appeal-of-the-canadian-dollar-continues-to-recede\/","title":{"rendered":"The Appeal of the Canadian Dollar Continues to Recede"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 6, 2015. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/3495526-the-appeal-of-the-canadian-dollar-continues-to-recede\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It is official&#8230;or at least technically official. Canada is in recession albeit by the slimmest of margins. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_30457\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-30457\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150902_CanadaGDPGrowth.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150902_CanadaGDPGrowth.png\" alt=\"GDP growth falls off a cliff in Canada\" width=\"550\" height=\"405\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30457\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150902_CanadaGDPGrowth.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150902_CanadaGDPGrowth-300x221.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-30457\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">GDP growth falls off a cliff in Canada<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.statcan.gc.ca\/daily-quotidien\/150901\/cg-a001-eng.htm\" target=\"_blank\">Statistics Canada<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Canada&#8217;s GDP is a story of two worlds. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_30459\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-30459\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150902_CanadaGDPGrowthComponents.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150902_CanadaGDPGrowthComponents.png\" alt=\"Canada&#039;s GDP is a tale of two worlds in the second quarter\" width=\"550\" height=\"346\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30459\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150902_CanadaGDPGrowthComponents.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150902_CanadaGDPGrowthComponents-300x189.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-30459\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Canada&#8217;s GDP is a tale of two worlds in the second quarter<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.statcan.gc.ca\/daily-quotidien\/150901\/cg-a001-eng.htm\" target=\"_blank\">Statistics Canada<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The strong, positive contribution of household final consumption is good for the current health of the economy. The plunge in gross fixed capital formation and inventories speaks volume about the pessimism over the future. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.statcan.gc.ca\/daily-quotidien\/150904\/dq150904a-eng.htm?HPA\" target=\"_blank\">On Friday, September 4, Statistics Canada released news on unemployment<\/a>. The jobs picture looked surprisingly good EXCEPT it seems the unemployment rate may have bottomed. The unemployment rate is on the vertical axis of the graph below.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_30493\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-30493\" style=\"width: 560px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150904_CanadaUnemployementRate.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150904_CanadaUnemployementRate.png\" alt=\"Has Canada&#039;s unemployment rate bottomed?\" width=\"570\" height=\"359\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30493\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150904_CanadaUnemployementRate.png 570w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150904_CanadaUnemployementRate-300x189.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 570px) 100vw, 570px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-30493\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Has Canada&#8217;s unemployment rate bottomed?<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.statcan.gc.ca\/daily-quotidien\/150904\/dq150904a-eng.htm?HPA\" target=\"_blank\">Statistics Canada<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>At least employment in natural resources &#8211; which includes forestry, fishing, mining, quarrying, oil and gas extraction &#8211; stabilized somewhat. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_30496\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-30496\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150904_USDCAD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150904_USDCAD.png\" alt=\"The Canadian dollar&#039;s trading range is churning within an overall weakening trend.\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30496\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150904_USDCAD.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150904_USDCAD-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-30496\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Canadian dollar&#8217;s trading range is churning within an overall weakening trend.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The Canadian dollar was last this weak against the U.S. dollar in 2004. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_30501\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-30501\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150904_cot-USD_CAD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150904_cot-USD_CAD.png\" alt=\"Net short positions against the Canadian dollar by speculators have come down in recent weeks. Still, these positions are around highs seen earlier during this period of weakness for the Canadian dollar\" width=\"550\" height=\"550\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30501\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150904_cot-USD_CAD.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150904_cot-USD_CAD-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/150904_cot-USD_CAD-300x300.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-30501\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Net short positions against the Canadian dollar by speculators have come down in recent weeks. Still, these positions are around highs seen earlier during this period of weakness for the Canadian dollar<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/fxtrade.oanda.com\/analysis\/commitments-of-traders\" target=\"_blank\">Oanda&#8217;s CFTC&#8217;s Commitments of Traders<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long FXC<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 6, 2015. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/3495526-the-appeal-of-the-canadian-dollar-continues-to-recede\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 6, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) It is official&#8230;or at least technically official. Canada is in recession albeit by the slimmest of margins. {snip} Source: Statistics Canada Canada&#8217;s GDP is a story of two worlds. {snip} Source: &#8230; <a title=\"The Appeal of the Canadian Dollar Continues to Recede\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/09\/12\/the-appeal-of-the-canadian-dollar-continues-to-recede\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[235,59,20],"tags":[296,247,197,469],"class_list":["post-30456","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-canada","category-economy","category-forex","tag-canadian-dollar","tag-gdp","tag-unemployment","tag-usdcad"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Appeal of the Canadian Dollar Continues to Recede - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/09\/12\/the-appeal-of-the-canadian-dollar-continues-to-recede\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Appeal of the Canadian Dollar Continues to Recede - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 6, 2015. 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Click here to read the entire piece.) It is official&#8230;or at least technically official. Canada is in recession albeit by the slimmest of margins. {snip} Source: Statistics Canada Canada&#8217;s GDP is a story of two worlds. {snip} Source: ... 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