{"id":30260,"date":"2015-08-30T01:19:08","date_gmt":"2015-08-30T08:19:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=30260"},"modified":"2015-08-30T01:19:08","modified_gmt":"2015-08-30T08:19:08","slug":"a-time-to-buy-housing-stocks-ishares-us-home-construction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/08\/30\/a-time-to-buy-housing-stocks-ishares-us-home-construction\/","title":{"rendered":"A Time to Buy Housing Stocks: iShares US Home Construction"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 27, 2015. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/3470356-a-time-to-buy-housing-stocks-ishares-u-s-home-construction\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>When I wrote &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/3450666-a-time-to-sell-some-housing-stocks\" target=\"_blank\">A Time To Sell Some Housing Stocks<\/a>,&#8221; I could not have come close to imagining its timeliness. The current market sell-off since then has been so deep and rapid that I have accelerated my plans to put cash back to work.<\/p>\n<p>The first candidate is iShares US Home Construction (ITB). I missed the big plunge on Monday, August 24th as <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/08\/25\/t2108-update-150824\/\" target=\"_blank\">I was busy chasing down other opportunities<\/a>. I did not hesitate to start loading up the next day when ITB fell to a new low for the current selling cycle. <\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_30261\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-30261\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150826_ITB.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150826_ITB.png\" alt=\"iShares US Home Construction (ITB) attempts to hold onto support at its 200-day moving average (DMA)\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30261\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150826_ITB.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150826_ITB-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-30261\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">iShares US Home Construction (ITB) attempts to hold onto support at its 200-day moving average (DMA)<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>I found some level of comfort in my earlier than anticipated repurchase of ITB from the new home sales data. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_30262\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-30262\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150826_NewHomeSales.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150826_NewHomeSales.png\" alt=\"Sales of new single-family homes have remained strong in 2015 but have yet to resume the uptrend in place since the 2010\/2011 trough\" width=\"550\" height=\"365\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30262\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150826_NewHomeSales.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150826_NewHomeSales-300x199.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-30262\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sales of new single-family homes have remained strong in 2015 but have yet to resume the uptrend in place since the 2010\/2011 trough<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: US. Bureau of the Census, New One Family Houses Sold: United States [HSN1F], <a href=\"https:\/\/research.stlouisfed.org\/fred2\/series\/HSN1F\/\" target=\"_blank\">retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis<\/a>, August 27, 2015.<\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Year-over-year and monthly sales were strong across three out of four regions. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>The most interesting part of the report came from the distribution of sales across price ranges. The June report showed a surprising relative surge of sales in the $200,000 to $299,000 range to 40% of all homes. This share dropped all the way to 32% in the July report which puts the share back within the 30 to 35% range that has held for quite some time. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Note well that I did not buy ITB here because I am certain a final bottom is now in the rear view mirror. <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/08\/26\/t2108-update-150826\/\" target=\"_blank\">The stock market seems sure to exhibit a lot more volatility in coming weeks<\/a> and perhaps months. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long call options on ITB<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 27, 2015. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/3470356-a-time-to-buy-housing-stocks-ishares-u-s-home-construction\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 27, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) When I wrote &#8220;A Time To Sell Some Housing Stocks,&#8221; I could not have come close to imagining its timeliness. The current market sell-off since then has been so deep and &#8230; <a title=\"A Time to Buy Housing Stocks: iShares US Home Construction\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/08\/30\/a-time-to-buy-housing-stocks-ishares-us-home-construction\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[1593,1206],"class_list":["post-30260","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-housing","tag-housing","tag-itb"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A Time to Buy Housing Stocks: iShares US Home Construction - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/08\/30\/a-time-to-buy-housing-stocks-ishares-us-home-construction\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Time to Buy Housing Stocks: iShares US Home Construction - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 27, 2015. 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