{"id":29719,"date":"2015-08-06T01:06:29","date_gmt":"2015-08-06T08:06:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=29719"},"modified":"2015-08-06T01:06:29","modified_gmt":"2015-08-06T08:06:29","slug":"the-canadian-dollar-pushes-to-fresh-post-crisis-low-on-broadly-weak-may-gdp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/08\/06\/the-canadian-dollar-pushes-to-fresh-post-crisis-low-on-broadly-weak-may-gdp\/","title":{"rendered":"The Canadian Dollar Pushes To Fresh Post-Crisis Low on Broadly Weak May GDP"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 3, 2015. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/3388905-the-canadian-dollar-pushes-to-fresh-post-crisis-low-on-broadly-weak-may-gdp\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Lost during last Friday&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/3387745-the-correct-narrative-on-u-s-wage-growth-for-the-second-quarter-the-dollar-recovers\" target=\"_blank\">alarm over U.S. wage growth<\/a> was the report on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.statcan.gc.ca\/daily-quotidien\/150731\/dq150731a-eng.htm?HPA\" target=\"_blank\">May GDP for Canada from Statistics Canada<\/a>. Canada reported its fifth consecutive monthly decline all but guaranteeing the country will breach the technical definition of recession once the full second quarter report is ready.<\/p>\n<p>GDP only declined 0.2% month-over-month, but the weakness was broad-based. The output of both goods and service producing industries fell, changes of -0.6% and -0.1% respectively.<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>The weak GDP for May is of course little surprise given <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/3353885-the-bank-of-canada-confirmed-a-bearish-turn-for-the-canadian-dollar\" target=\"_blank\">the poor economic news the Bank of Canada delivered a week earlier<\/a>. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_29720\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-29720\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150802_USDCAD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150802_USDCAD.png\" alt=\"The Canadian dollar had not weakened much in the days following the Bank of Canada&#039;s rate cut\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-29720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150802_USDCAD.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150802_USDCAD-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-29720\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Canadian dollar had not weakened much in the days following the Bank of Canada&#8217;s rate cut<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The Canadian dollar has not weakened as fast as I expected since the Bank of Canada&#8217;s rate cut, especially with speculators continuing to ramp their net short bets against the Canadian dollar.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_29723\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-29723\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150802_cot-USD_CAD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150802_cot-USD_CAD.png\" alt=\"Speculators are still increasing bets on a bleak future for the Canadian dollar (FXC)\" width=\"550\" height=\"550\" class=\"size-full wp-image-29723\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150802_cot-USD_CAD.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150802_cot-USD_CAD-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/150802_cot-USD_CAD-300x300.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-29723\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Speculators are still increasing bets on a bleak future for the Canadian dollar (FXC)<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/fxtrade.oanda.com\/analysis\/commitments-of-traders\" target=\"_blank\">Oanda&#8217;s CFTC&#8217;s Commitments of Traders<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>As a result, I am still clinging to my short USD\/CAD position. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long FXC, short USD\/CAD<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 3, 2015. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/3388905-the-canadian-dollar-pushes-to-fresh-post-crisis-low-on-broadly-weak-may-gdp\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 3, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Lost during last Friday&#8217;s alarm over U.S. wage growth was the report on May GDP for Canada from Statistics Canada. Canada reported its fifth consecutive monthly decline all but guaranteeing the &#8230; <a title=\"The Canadian Dollar Pushes To Fresh Post-Crisis Low on Broadly Weak May GDP\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/08\/06\/the-canadian-dollar-pushes-to-fresh-post-crisis-low-on-broadly-weak-may-gdp\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[235,59,20],"tags":[296,1513,297,247,469],"class_list":["post-29719","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-canada","category-economy","category-forex","tag-canadian-dollar","tag-commitment-of-traders","tag-fxc","tag-gdp","tag-usdcad"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Canadian Dollar Pushes To Fresh Post-Crisis Low on Broadly Weak May GDP - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/08\/06\/the-canadian-dollar-pushes-to-fresh-post-crisis-low-on-broadly-weak-may-gdp\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Canadian Dollar Pushes To Fresh Post-Crisis Low on Broadly Weak May GDP - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 3, 2015. 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