{"id":29385,"date":"2015-07-19T21:40:30","date_gmt":"2015-07-20T04:40:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=29385"},"modified":"2015-07-19T21:40:30","modified_gmt":"2015-07-20T04:40:30","slug":"the-u-s-dollar-and-the-british-pound-tag-important-2015-milestones","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/07\/19\/the-u-s-dollar-and-the-british-pound-tag-important-2015-milestones\/","title":{"rendered":"The U.S. Dollar and the British Pound Tag Important 2015 Milestones"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On Friday, July 17, 2015, the U.S. dollar index (UUP) closed just below the short-term downtrend in place since it made a multi-year high in March.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_29387\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-29387\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150717_DXY0.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150717_DXY0.png\" alt=\"The U.S. dollar is on the edge of resuming its strong, upward trend with a breakout from the recent short-term downtrend\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-29387\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150717_DXY0.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150717_DXY0-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-29387\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The U.S. dollar is on the edge of resuming its strong, upward trend with a breakout from the recent short-term downtrend<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>And for those who fear a strong dollar is bad for the U.S. economy, or at least the stock market, the S&#038;P 500 (SPY) is apparently out to prove you wrong. Last week completed an impressive bounce from oversold conditions as <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/07\/17\/t2108-update-150716\/\" target=\"_blank\">the latest cycle of fear came to a resounding conclusion<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_29388\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-29388\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150717_SP500.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150717_SP500.png\" alt=\"The S&amp;P 500 (SPY) has returned to the neighborhood of all-time highs despite all the angst and drama in the last 2 to 3 weeks...\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-29388\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150717_SP500.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150717_SP500-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-29388\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The S&#038;P 500 (SPY) has returned to the neighborhood of all-time highs despite all the angst and drama in the last 2 to 3 weeks&#8230;<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p><center><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" lang=\"en\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24EURGBP&amp;src=ctag\">$EURGBP<\/a> finally looks ready to break the 0.70 barrier. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/forex?src=hash\">#forex<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Dr. Duru (@DrDuru) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrDuru\/status\/621333818906021888\">July 15, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>On July 16th, the British (FXB) pound finally made a clean break through the 0.70 mark versus the euro &#8211; a floor that had held as approximate support since March. EUR\/GBP is now trading where it was back in late 2007.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_29389\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-29389\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150719_EURGBP.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150719_EURGBP.png\" alt=\"The British pound is picking up speed against the euro as 0.70 support finally gives way\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-29389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150719_EURGBP.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150719_EURGBP-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-29389\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The British pound is picking up speed against the euro as 0.70 support finally gives way<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source of charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The U.S. dollar and the British pound have emerged as top currencies in a world where the dividing line between strong and weak economies, tightening and loosening monetary policy is perhaps more stark than ever in this post financial crisis period.<\/p>\n<p>The only outstanding question now is whether the U.S. dollar or the British pound will benefit most from policy divergence. At around 1.56, GBP\/USD is WELL off its high of just last year around 1.72 &#8211; advantage U.S. dollar for now. Speculators are still firmly betting against the British pound, likely using the U.S. dollar. This positioning makes me MORE interested in the British pound against other currencies because presumably, more upside exists in terms of the economic surprises that could catalyze relative differentials in performance.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_29390\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-29390\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150719_cot-GBP_USD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150719_cot-GBP_USD.png\" alt=\"Speculators are still firmly net bearish against the British pound\" width=\"550\" height=\"550\" class=\"size-full wp-image-29390\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150719_cot-GBP_USD.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150719_cot-GBP_USD-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/150719_cot-GBP_USD-300x300.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-29390\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Speculators are still firmly net bearish against the British pound<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/fxtrade.oanda.com\/analysis\/commitments-of-traders\" target=\"_blank\">Oanda&#8217;s CFTC&#8217;s Commitments of Traders<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long and short various currencies against the U.S. dollar, long the British pound<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Friday, July 17, 2015, the U.S. dollar index (UUP) closed just below the short-term downtrend in place since it made a multi-year high in March. And for those who fear a strong dollar is bad for the U.S. economy, or at least the stock market, the S&#038;P 500 (SPY) is apparently out to prove &#8230; <a title=\"The U.S. Dollar and the British Pound Tag Important 2015 Milestones\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/07\/19\/the-u-s-dollar-and-the-british-pound-tag-important-2015-milestones\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[483,921,20,62,21],"tags":[128,299,627,28,127,447,1597,1591,1563],"class_list":["post-29385","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-breakdown","category-downtrend","category-forex","category-technical-analysis","category-u-s-dollar","tag-british-pound","tag-dxy0","tag-eurgbp","tag-euro","tag-fxb","tag-fxe","tag-technical-analysis","tag-u-s-dollar","tag-usdgbp"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The U.S. Dollar and the British Pound Tag Important 2015 Milestones - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/07\/19\/the-u-s-dollar-and-the-british-pound-tag-important-2015-milestones\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The U.S. Dollar and the British Pound Tag Important 2015 Milestones - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On Friday, July 17, 2015, the U.S. dollar index (UUP) closed just below the short-term downtrend in place since it made a multi-year high in March. 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And for those who fear a strong dollar is bad for the U.S. economy, or at least the stock market, the S&#038;P 500 (SPY) is apparently out to prove ... 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