{"id":28483,"date":"2015-05-23T20:38:52","date_gmt":"2015-05-24T03:38:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=28483"},"modified":"2015-05-23T20:41:44","modified_gmt":"2015-05-24T03:41:44","slug":"the-euros-latest-breakdown-takes-it-to-the-edge-of-a-larger-sell-off","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/05\/23\/the-euros-latest-breakdown-takes-it-to-the-edge-of-a-larger-sell-off\/","title":{"rendered":"The Euro&#8217;s Latest Breakdown Takes It To the Edge of A Larger Sell-Off"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On Thursday night, May 21st, I observed the daily chart of the euro (FXE) and concluded it was ready for the next swoosh downward against the U.S. dollar. I posted this opinion on Stocktwits coincidentally at the same time someone else posted the exact opposite opinion.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_28485\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-28485\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/150523_EURUSDOpinions.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/150523_EURUSDOpinions.png\" alt=\"Different perspectives, opposing opinions on the euro\" width=\"550\" height=\"425\" class=\"size-full wthat it asp-image-28485\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-28485\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Different perspectives, opposing opinions on the euro<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/stocktwits.com\/DrDuru\/message\/37281511\" target=\"_blank\">StockTwits.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>As it turned out, we were both correct. On a short intraday basis, &#8220;Jasonsignals&#8221; got a higher euro but it fell far short of the target. The &#8220;final&#8221; destination was the big swoosh lower as EUR\/USD experienced convincing follow-through selling.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_28488\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-28488\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/150522_EURUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/150522_EURUSD.png\" alt=\"The euro barrels lower on CPI-inspired follow-through selling\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-28488\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/150522_EURUSD.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/150522_EURUSD-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-28488\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The euro barrels lower on CPI-inspired follow-through selling<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_28487\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-28487\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/150522_EURUSD-30min.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/150522_EURUSD-30min.png\" alt=\"On an intraday basis, this 30-minute chart shows how the last attempted breakout for the euro failed at resistance and preceded the expected follow-through selling\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-28487\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/150522_EURUSD-30min.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/150522_EURUSD-30min-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-28487\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">On an intraday basis, this 30-minute chart shows how the last attempted breakout for the euro failed at resistance and preceded the expected follow-through selling<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The key catalyst was a print on U.S. CPI that was ever so slightly higher than expectations. I was surprised by the depth of the reaction, even though it supported the message from the technicals. Note that on an intraday basis, a last warning sign came as the euro failed to surpass the high from the failed relief bounce from &#8220;swoosh #1.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The next technical battle for EUR\/USD rests at 1.10. Note how traders absolutely refused to let EUR\/USD drop below that level going into Friday&#8217;s close. I can only imagine a lot of stops are sitting just below 1.10.<\/p>\n<p>I finally closed out my short EUR\/USD position on the first bounce away from 1.10. It was a large position, and I did not want to hold it for another weekend with such critical support on the line. I am sure I am not alone in preparing my next trade based on how well 1.10 holds up. <\/p>\n<p>The next support for EUR\/USD is at the 50-day moving average (DMA) right around 1.097. That support rests below the lower-Bollinger Band (BB), so I fully expect a rapid sequence for a lower euro: stops get taken out by longs to limit losses, the 50DMA get tagged maybe even surpassed, EUR\/USD over-extends beyond the lower-BB, and the next bounce unfolds. I expect 1.11 to serve as stiff resistance all over again for such a bounce. If I am wrong to the downside &#8211; that is momentum takes the euro even lower without a bounce &#8211; the technical make-up becomes VERY bearish all over again for the euro.<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: no position<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Thursday night, May 21st, I observed the daily chart of the euro (FXE) and concluded it was ready for the next swoosh downward against the U.S. dollar. I posted this opinion on Stocktwits coincidentally at the same time someone else posted the exact opposite opinion. Source: StockTwits.com As it turned out, we were both &#8230; <a title=\"The Euro&#8217;s Latest Breakdown Takes It To the Edge of A Larger Sell-Off\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/05\/23\/the-euros-latest-breakdown-takes-it-to-the-edge-of-a-larger-sell-off\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[483,20,512,62],"tags":[376,28,1597],"class_list":["post-28483","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-breakdown","category-forex","category-resistance","category-technical-analysis","tag-eurusd","tag-euro","tag-technical-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Euro&#039;s Latest Breakdown Takes It To the Edge of A Larger Sell-Off - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/05\/23\/the-euros-latest-breakdown-takes-it-to-the-edge-of-a-larger-sell-off\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Euro&#039;s Latest Breakdown Takes It To the Edge of A Larger Sell-Off - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On Thursday night, May 21st, I observed the daily chart of the euro (FXE) and concluded it was ready for the next swoosh downward against the U.S. dollar. 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I posted this opinion on Stocktwits coincidentally at the same time someone else posted the exact opposite opinion. Source: StockTwits.com As it turned out, we were both ... 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