{"id":27252,"date":"2015-03-02T00:08:27","date_gmt":"2015-03-02T08:08:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=27252"},"modified":"2015-03-02T00:08:27","modified_gmt":"2015-03-02T08:08:27","slug":"a-weekend-rate-cut-in-china-fails-to-stir-the-australian-dollar-rba-now-on-tap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/03\/02\/a-weekend-rate-cut-in-china-fails-to-stir-the-australian-dollar-rba-now-on-tap\/","title":{"rendered":"A Weekend Rate Cut In China Fails to Stir the Australian Dollar; RBA Now On Tap"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 2, 2014. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2962886-a-weekend-rate-cut-in-china-fails-to-stir-the-australian-dollar-rba-now-on-tap\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Saturday, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2015-02-28\/china-steps-up-easing-with-second-rate-cut-in-three-months\" target=\"_blank\">the People&#8217;s Bank of China cut its benchmark interest rates by 0.25 percentage points<\/a> (25 basis points). Yet, as of the open of Asian trading, the Australian dollar (FXA) failed to respond as usual with a trigger rally. When China cut rates on November 21, 2014, the Australian dollar received a quick boost higher. Of course, the pop did not last long, and the Australian dollar preceded to descend along its the next big leg lower. The market may have taken a lesson from that experience &#8211; this time there is no such pop in the Australian dollar (so far).<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_27253\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-27253\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/150301_AUDUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/150301_AUDUSD.png\" alt=\"The Australian dollar responds to the last rate cut in China by sliding toward the bottom of the recent range\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-27253\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/150301_AUDUSD.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/150301_AUDUSD-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-27253\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Australian dollar responds to the last rate cut in China by sliding toward the bottom of the recent range<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_27254\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-27254\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/150301_ASXCashRateTargetRateTracker.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/150301_ASXCashRateTargetRateTracker.png\" alt=\"Market expectations for another RBA rate cut have crept back toward highs\" width=\"500\" height=\"220\" class=\"size-full wp-image-27254\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/150301_ASXCashRateTargetRateTracker.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/150301_ASXCashRateTargetRateTracker-300x132.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-27254\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Market expectations for another RBA rate cut have crept back toward highs<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.asx.com.au\/prices\/targetratetracker.htm\" target=\"_blank\">ASX RBA Rate Indicator<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>After February&#8217;s rate cut, the Australian dollar plunged as the move appeared to catch enough traders by surprise. However, the Australian dollar has yet to trade lower. In fact, the currency soared the very next day to produce a four (trading) day high. Given this inability to trade lower ever since, I am not nearly as confident as last time around that an RBA cut will send the Australian dollar to new lows. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_27256\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-27256\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/150301_ASXCashRateFuturesImpliedYieldCurve.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/150301_ASXCashRateFuturesImpliedYieldCurve.png\" alt=\"Current markets are expecting ever lower rate from the RBA this year\" width=\"550\" height=\"365\" class=\"size-full wp-image-27256\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/150301_ASXCashRateFuturesImpliedYieldCurve.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/150301_ASXCashRateFuturesImpliedYieldCurve-300x199.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-27256\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Current markets are expecting ever lower rate from the RBA this year<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.asx.com.au\/prices\/targetratetracker.htm\" target=\"_blank\">ASX RBA Rate Indicator<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: net short the Australian dollar<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 2, 2014. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2962886-a-weekend-rate-cut-in-china-fails-to-stir-the-australian-dollar-rba-now-on-tap\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Saturday, the People&#8217;s Bank of China cut its benchmark interest rates by 0.25 percentage points (25 basis points). Yet, as of the open of Asian trading, the Australian dollar (FXA) &#8230; <a title=\"A Weekend Rate Cut In China Fails to Stir the Australian Dollar; RBA Now On Tap\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/03\/02\/a-weekend-rate-cut-in-china-fails-to-stir-the-australian-dollar-rba-now-on-tap\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,4,20],"tags":[308,310,309],"class_list":["post-27252","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-china","category-forex","tag-audusd","tag-australian-dollar","tag-fxa"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A Weekend Rate Cut In China Fails to Stir the Australian Dollar; RBA Now On Tap - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/03\/02\/a-weekend-rate-cut-in-china-fails-to-stir-the-australian-dollar-rba-now-on-tap\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Weekend Rate Cut In China Fails to Stir the Australian Dollar; RBA Now On Tap - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 2, 2014. 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