{"id":26802,"date":"2015-07-22T23:37:29","date_gmt":"2015-07-23T06:37:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=26802"},"modified":"2015-07-22T23:37:29","modified_gmt":"2015-07-23T06:37:29","slug":"the-canadian-dollar-slips-on-an-oil-slicked-november-gdp-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/07\/22\/the-canadian-dollar-slips-on-an-oil-slicked-november-gdp-report\/","title":{"rendered":"The Canadian Dollar Slips On An Oil-Slicked November GDP Report"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Feb 2, 2015. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2873196-the-canadian-dollar-slips-on-an-oil-slicked-november-gdp\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It is never good to see a negative print on a GDP growth number. It is even worse when it is below market &#8220;expectations.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>When Statistics Canada reported a GDP decline of 0.2% from October to November, the print came in below <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailyfx.com\/calendar?tz=-8&#038;sort=date&#038;week=2015%2F0125&#038;eur=false&#038;usd=false&#038;jpy=false&#038;gbp=false&#038;chf=false&#038;aud=false&#038;cad=true&#038;nzd=false&#038;cny=false&#038;high=true&#038;medium=false&#038;low=false\" target=\"_blank\">expectations for a flat report<\/a>. What I am sure stuck out the most was the negative performance of mining and oil and gas extraction.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_26805\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-26805\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/02\/150130_CanadaGDPMainContributors.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/02\/150130_CanadaGDPMainContributors.png\" alt=\"Manufacturing and mining and oil and gas extraction swing November&#039;s GDP growth into negative territory\" width=\"550\" height=\"482\" class=\"size-full wp-image-26805\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/02\/150130_CanadaGDPMainContributors.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/02\/150130_CanadaGDPMainContributors-300x263.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-26805\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Manufacturing and mining and oil and gas extraction swing November&#8217;s GDP growth into negative territory<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.statcan.gc.ca\/daily-quotidien\/150130\/dq150130a-eng.htm?HPA\" target=\"_blank\">Statistics Canada<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>It looks like the long-feared economic decline of Canada&#8217;s oil patch has begun.<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>The reaction in currency markets was dramatic and underlined the fresh fear that the Canadian dollar&#8217;s weakness still has plenty of room to run. For the third day in a row, the Canadian dollar lost significant ground to the U.S. dollar. The monthly chart below shows that CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar ETF (FXC) has almost returned to 2009 levels.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_26803\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-26803\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/02\/150130_FXC.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/02\/150130_FXC.png\" alt=\"CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar ETF (FXC) drops for the fifth straight month and six out of the last seven as the downtrend from 2011&#039;s peak continues\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-26803\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/02\/150130_FXC.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/02\/150130_FXC-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-26803\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar ETF (FXC) drops for the fifth straight month and six out of the last seven as the downtrend from 2011&#8217;s peak continues<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Normally, this kind of retest would get me interested in trying a buy. In THIS case, I am lot more cautious. The downward trend in the Canadian dollar has lasted longer and extended further than even my most bearish assessments from 2013 to 2014. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long USD\/CAD<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Feb 2, 2015. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2873196-the-canadian-dollar-slips-on-an-oil-slicked-november-gdp\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Feb 2, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) It is never good to see a negative print on a GDP growth number. It is even worse when it is below market &#8220;expectations.&#8221; When Statistics Canada reported a GDP decline &#8230; <a title=\"The Canadian Dollar Slips On An Oil-Slicked November GDP Report\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/07\/22\/the-canadian-dollar-slips-on-an-oil-slicked-november-gdp-report\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[235,59],"tags":[236,297,247,469],"class_list":["post-26802","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-canada","category-economy","tag-bank-of-canada","tag-fxc","tag-gdp","tag-usdcad"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Canadian Dollar Slips On An Oil-Slicked November GDP Report - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/07\/22\/the-canadian-dollar-slips-on-an-oil-slicked-november-gdp-report\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Canadian Dollar Slips On An Oil-Slicked November GDP Report - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Feb 2, 2015. 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