{"id":26513,"date":"2015-01-15T06:28:34","date_gmt":"2015-01-15T14:28:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=26513"},"modified":"2015-01-15T06:28:34","modified_gmt":"2015-01-15T14:28:34","slug":"the-swiss-national-bank-capitulates-on-the-swiss-franc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/01\/15\/the-swiss-national-bank-capitulates-on-the-swiss-franc\/","title":{"rendered":"The Swiss National Bank Capitulates On the Swiss Franc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 15, 2015. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2822456-the-swiss-national-bank-capitulates-on-the-swiss-franc\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Swiss national Bank (SNB) curtly reminded me that paper currencies are just the playthings of central banks.<\/p>\n<p>Just over a week after <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2796435-short-the-franc-even-as-negative-rates-are-proving-insufficient-to-end-strength-versus-the-euro\" target=\"_blank\">I had start enjoying more actively shorting the Swiss franc<\/a> (FXF), the Swiss National Bank dropped a bomb on financial markets by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.snb.ch\/en\/mmr\/reference\/pre_20150115\/source\/pre_20150115.en.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">announcing it will pull the rug from under the EUR\/CHF by removing the 1.20 artificial floor<\/a>. The impact was immediate and dramatic.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_26518\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-26518\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/150115_EURCHF.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/150115_EURCHF.png\" alt=\"The euro plunges back toward parity with the Swiss franc as the SNB capitulates on its floor\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-26518\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/150115_EURCHF.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/150115_EURCHF-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-26518\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The euro plunges back toward parity with the Swiss franc as the SNB capitulates on its floor<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_26517\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-26517\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/150115_USDCHF.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/150115_USDCHF.png\" alt=\"There goes the entire length of the U.S. dollar&#039;s rally since the breakout from the summer of 2014\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-26517\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/150115_USDCHF.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/150115_USDCHF-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-26517\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">There goes the entire length of the U.S. dollar&#8217;s rally since the breakout from the summer of 2014<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/platform\/v1\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The SNB&#8217;s capitulation comes with a few vain attempts to smooth over this dramatic change in monetary policy. First, the SNB  moved its range on three-month Libor further to \u20131.25% to \u22120.25% from \u22120.75% to 0.25%. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Next up, the SNB suggested that it is really its exchange rate against the U.S. dollar that provided the final trigger on this decision:<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>This is a euphemistic way to refer to capitulation. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Finally, the SNB makes a hopeful stab at guessing that more deeply negative rates will prevent an over-tightening of monetary conditions. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>This surprise move exposed a severe weakness in my trading strategy. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>As it stands, my exposure was thankfully relatively small as I was just in the beginning process of rebuilding positions short the franc. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>This whole episode reminds me of my own warning about the potential for more wild currency moves when I wrote &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2761755-parabolic-moves-in-the-ruble-and-turkish-lira-may-foreshadow-the-same-for-the-australian-dollar\" target=\"_blank\">Parabolic Moves In The Ruble And Turkish Lira May Foreshadow The Same For The Australian Dollar<\/a>.&#8221; Anyone got gold&#8230;?<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: short franc<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 15, 2015. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2822456-the-swiss-national-bank-capitulates-on-the-swiss-franc\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 15, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Swiss national Bank (SNB) curtly reminded me that paper currencies are just the playthings of central banks. Just over a week after I had start enjoying more actively shorting the &#8230; <a title=\"The Swiss National Bank Capitulates On the Swiss Franc\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/01\/15\/the-swiss-national-bank-capitulates-on-the-swiss-franc\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[794,990],"tags":[385,459,333,460],"class_list":["post-26513","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-europe","category-switzerland","tag-eurchf","tag-fxf","tag-swiss-franc","tag-usdchf"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Swiss National Bank Capitulates On the Swiss Franc - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2015\/01\/15\/the-swiss-national-bank-capitulates-on-the-swiss-franc\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Swiss National Bank Capitulates On the Swiss Franc - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 15, 2015. 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