{"id":22956,"date":"2014-06-17T23:07:24","date_gmt":"2014-06-18T06:07:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=22956"},"modified":"2014-06-17T23:07:24","modified_gmt":"2014-06-18T06:07:24","slug":"home-builder-sentiment-springs-back-to-life","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/06\/17\/home-builder-sentiment-springs-back-to-life\/","title":{"rendered":"Home Builder Sentiment Springs Back to Life"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 15, 2014. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2271743-home-builder-sentiment-springs-back-to-life\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It appears the National Association of Home Builders(NAHB)\/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) has indeed stabilized. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2190073-residential-employment-plows-ahead-as-housing-indicators-stabilize\" target=\"_blank\">Last month<\/a>, I interpreted a small recovery in the HMI from a March plunge as a sign of stabilization. The jump in the June HMI seems to have confirmed that interpretation.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_22957\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-22957\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/140616_HousingMarketIndex.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/140616_HousingMarketIndex.png\" alt=\"The Housing Market Index Springs Back to Life\" width=\"550\" height=\"399\" class=\"size-full wp-image-22957\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/140616_HousingMarketIndex.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/140616_HousingMarketIndex-300x217.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-22957\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Housing Market Index Springs Back to Life<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\nSource: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nahb.org\/reference_list.aspx?sectionID=134\" target=\"_blank\">National Association of Home Builders<\/a> (NAHB)<br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Regardless, the good news is that downward momentum has not taken hold. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_22960\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-22960\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/140616_ITB.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/140616_ITB.png\" alt=\"A year of consolidation continues for the iShares US Home Construction (ITB)\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-22960\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/140616_ITB.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/140616_ITB-300x204.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-22960\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A year of consolidation continues for the iShares US Home Construction (ITB)<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/Platform\/V1\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Note well that the NAHB commentary accompanying the latest HMI reading reflected continued caution. The aggregated HMI is at 49 so it is just short of indicating &#8220;good building conditions&#8221;:<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 15, 2014. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2271743-home-builder-sentiment-springs-back-to-life\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long ITB call options<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 15, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) It appears the National Association of Home Builders(NAHB)\/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) has indeed stabilized. Last month, I interpreted a small recovery in the HMI from a March plunge as &#8230; <a title=\"Home Builder Sentiment Springs Back to Life\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/06\/17\/home-builder-sentiment-springs-back-to-life\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[1205,1206,1159],"class_list":["post-22956","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-housing","tag-ishares-dow-jones-us-home-construction-index-fund","tag-itb","tag-nahbwells-fargo-housing-market-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Home Builder Sentiment Springs Back to Life - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/06\/17\/home-builder-sentiment-springs-back-to-life\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Home Builder Sentiment Springs Back to Life - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 15, 2014. 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