{"id":22368,"date":"2014-05-06T22:37:35","date_gmt":"2014-05-07T05:37:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=22368"},"modified":"2014-05-06T22:37:35","modified_gmt":"2014-05-07T05:37:35","slug":"residential-employment-plows-ahead-as-housing-indicators-stabilize","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/05\/06\/residential-employment-plows-ahead-as-housing-indicators-stabilize\/","title":{"rendered":"Residential Employment Plows Ahead As Housing Indicators Stabilize"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 5, 2014. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2190073-residential-employment-plows-ahead-as-housing-indicators-stabilize\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The latest U.S. non-farm employment report showed another strong print for <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/empsit.t17.htm\" target=\"_blank\">employment in residential construction<\/a>. For the 31st month in a row, seasonally adjusted employment in residential construction showed year-over-year growth. The 659,300 workers are the highest since March, 2009. Year-over-year growth was a strong 8.2% and month-over-month growth was 6.9%. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2079913-continued-momentum-in-residential-construction-employment-doesnt-stop-slide-in-home-builder-shares\" target=\"_blank\">The slowdown in the growth rate I continue to anticipate<\/a> clearly remains further out on the horizon than I thought.<\/p>\n<p>This pace of employment growth continues despite the end of the upward momentum in home builder sentiment. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_22369\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-22369\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/140504_HMI.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/140504_HMI.png\" alt=\"The HMI stabilizes with a potential sign of a turnaround underway in expectations for single-family detached sales\" width=\"550\" height=\"399\" class=\"size-full wp-image-22369\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/140504_HMI.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/140504_HMI-300x217.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-22369\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The HMI stabilizes with a potential sign of a turnaround underway in expectations for single-family detached sales<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nahb.org\/reference_list.aspx?sectionID=134\" target=\"_blank\">National Association of Home Builders<\/a> (NAHB)<\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The trading action in the iShares US Home Construction (ITB) adds to a sense of stabilization. When the breakout in ITB ended in March, <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2091453-settling-for-range-bound-trading-in-homebuilders\" target=\"_blank\">I braced for extended rangebound trading<\/a> with a correction close to the lows from 2013. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_22370\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-22370\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/140502_ITB.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/140502_ITB.png\" alt=\"ITB attempts to stabilize just below 2014&#039;s breakout point\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-22370\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/140502_ITB.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/140502_ITB-300x204.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-22370\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">ITB attempts to stabilize just below 2014&#8217;s breakout point<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Moreover, short interest in ITB continues to decline. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_22371\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-22371\" style=\"width: 435px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/140504_ITBShortInterest.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/140504_ITBShortInterest.png\" alt=\"Short interest in ITB continues its rapid decline\" width=\"445\" height=\"425\" class=\"size-full wp-image-22371\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/140504_ITBShortInterest.png 445w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/140504_ITBShortInterest-300x286.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 445px) 100vw, 445px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-22371\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Short interest in ITB continues its rapid decline<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.schaeffersresearch.com\/streetools\/filters\/equity_si.aspx?TICKER=ITB\" target=\"_blank\">Schaeffer&#8217;s Investment Research<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 5, 2014. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2190073-residential-employment-plows-ahead-as-housing-indicators-stabilize\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long TPH and call options on ITB and TOL<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 5, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The latest U.S. non-farm employment report showed another strong print for employment in residential construction. For the 31st month in a row, seasonally adjusted employment in residential construction showed year-over-year growth. &#8230; <a title=\"Residential Employment Plows Ahead As Housing Indicators Stabilize\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/05\/06\/residential-employment-plows-ahead-as-housing-indicators-stabilize\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59,35],"tags":[1106,1160,1593,1205,1206,1108,419],"class_list":["post-22368","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-housing","tag-employment","tag-hmi","tag-housing","tag-ishares-dow-jones-us-home-construction-index-fund","tag-itb","tag-residential-construction","tag-short-interest"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Residential Employment Plows Ahead As Housing Indicators Stabilize - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/05\/06\/residential-employment-plows-ahead-as-housing-indicators-stabilize\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Residential Employment Plows Ahead As Housing Indicators Stabilize - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 5, 2014. 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