{"id":21843,"date":"2014-06-11T23:04:45","date_gmt":"2014-06-12T06:04:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=21843"},"modified":"2014-06-11T23:04:45","modified_gmt":"2014-06-12T06:04:45","slug":"skullcandys-recovery-has-arrived-stock-goes-berserk-on-the-recognition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/06\/11\/skullcandys-recovery-has-arrived-stock-goes-berserk-on-the-recognition\/","title":{"rendered":"Skullcandy&#8217;s Recovery Has Arrived &#8211; Stock Goes Berserk On the Recognition"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 9, 2014. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2076503-skullcandys-recovery-has-arrived-stock-goes-berserk-on-the-recognition\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Way back on December 24, 2012, I wrote &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1079551-reasons-to-bet-on-a-2013-recovery-for-skullcandy\" target=\"_blank\">Reasons To Bet On A 2013 Recovery For Skullcandy<\/a>.&#8221; In less than two weeks, <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1092001-another-downgrade-for-skullcandy-and-another-oversized-response\" target=\"_blank\">I had to write a near apologetic follow-up<\/a> after a downgrade from Jeffries took the stock down another 13% in one day. It took another four months for the stock to finally bottom, including a retest three months later. Fortunately, I stuck with the thesis and continued scaling into my position. On Friday, March 7th the big payoff finally arrived in a big post-earnings surge higher. The recovery for Skullcandy (SKUL) has finally arrived&#8230;but it comes with a major caveat from a stock that went berserk in response.<\/p>\n<p>First, let&#8217;s check off on the reasons I cited for remaining optimistic: a rapid reduction in short interest and the potential stated in the Q3 2012 earnings report. <\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_21845\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-21845\" style=\"width: 435px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/140307_SKULShortInterest.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/140307_SKULShortInterest.png\" alt=\"Shorts steadily bailed even as SKUL&#039;s stock bailed for many months\" width=\"445\" height=\"425\" class=\"size-full wp-image-21845\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/140307_SKULShortInterest.png 445w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/140307_SKULShortInterest-300x286.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 445px) 100vw, 445px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-21845\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Shorts steadily bailed even as SKUL&#8217;s stock bailed for many months<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.schaeffersresearch.com\/streetools\/filters\/equity_si.aspx?TICKER=SKUL\" target=\"_blank\">Schaeffer&#8217;s Investment Research<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_21847\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-21847\" style=\"width: 435px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/140307_SKULPutCallOpenInterestRatio.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/140307_SKULPutCallOpenInterestRatio.png\" alt=\"A strong surge in the put\/call open interest ratio heralded the bottom for SKUL\" width=\"445\" height=\"425\" class=\"size-full wp-image-21847\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/140307_SKULPutCallOpenInterestRatio.png 445w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/140307_SKULPutCallOpenInterestRatio-300x286.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 445px) 100vw, 445px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-21847\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A strong surge in the put\/call open interest ratio heralded the bottom for SKUL<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.schaeffersresearch.com\/streetools\/indicators\/putcall_open_interest_ratio.aspx?TICKER=SKUL\" target=\"_blank\">Schaeffer&#8217;s Investment Research<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>First, 2013 was a year when the top leadership in SKUL turned over. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps most important for SKUL in this turn-around story is its healthy balance sheet. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>There were also some key quotes from the earnings conference call. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_21849\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-21849\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/140307_SKUL.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/140307_SKUL.png\" alt=\"A dramatic cap to the 2013 turn-around for SKUL\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-21849\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/140307_SKUL.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/140307_SKUL-300x204.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-21849\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A dramatic cap to the 2013 turn-around for SKUL<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockChart.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip} In the coming weeks, I will also be watching to see whether SKUL&#8217;s ascendance has recharged the interest of short-sellers&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 9, 2014. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2076503-skullcandys-recovery-has-arrived-stock-goes-berserk-on-the-recognition\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: no positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 9, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Way back on December 24, 2012, I wrote &#8220;Reasons To Bet On A 2013 Recovery For Skullcandy.&#8221; In less than two weeks, I had to write a near apologetic follow-up after &#8230; <a title=\"Skullcandy&#8217;s Recovery Has Arrived &#8211; Stock Goes Berserk On the Recognition\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/06\/11\/skullcandys-recovery-has-arrived-stock-goes-berserk-on-the-recognition\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[220,338],"tags":[756,755],"class_list":["post-21843","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-earnings","category-retail","tag-skul","tag-skullcandy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Skullcandy&#039;s Recovery Has Arrived - Stock Goes Berserk On the Recognition - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/06\/11\/skullcandys-recovery-has-arrived-stock-goes-berserk-on-the-recognition\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Skullcandy&#039;s Recovery Has Arrived - Stock Goes Berserk On the Recognition - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 9, 2014. 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