{"id":21644,"date":"2014-04-10T00:10:11","date_gmt":"2014-04-10T07:10:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=21644"},"modified":"2014-04-10T00:10:11","modified_gmt":"2014-04-10T07:10:11","slug":"poor-wholesale-sales-deliver-an-excuse-to-sell-the-canadian-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/04\/10\/poor-wholesale-sales-deliver-an-excuse-to-sell-the-canadian-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"Poor Wholesale Sales Deliver An Excuse to Sell the Canadian Dollar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 20, 2014. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2035023-poor-wholesale-sales-deliver-an-excuse-to-sell-the-canadian-dollar\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Since reaching an inflation-adjusted high (at the time) in May, 2012, Canada&#8217;s wholesale sales have been relatively stagnant except a one-month surge the following May that beat the high (I used the data file available in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.statcan.gc.ca\/daily-quotidien\/140219\/dq140219a-eng.htm?HPA\" target=\"_blank\">the latest report<\/a>). For example, wholesale sales in November, 2013 were exactly the same as they were in April, 2012 (again, inflation adjusted). <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailyfx.com\/calendar?tz=-5&#038;sort=date&#038;week=2014%2F0216&#038;eur=true&#038;usd=true&#038;jpy=true&#038;gbp=true&#038;chf=true&#038;aud=true&#038;cad=true&#038;nzd=true&#038;cny=true&#038;high=true&#038;medium=true&#038;low=true\" target=\"_blank\">The DailyFX ranks the importance of Canada&#8217;s wholesale sales report as low<\/a> for forex traders. Combining these two observations, I was extremely surprised to see the Canadian dollar (FXC) sell off so dramatically in response to December numbers that missed &#8220;expectations.&#8221; {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_21647\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-21647\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/140219_CanadaWholesaleSales.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/140219_CanadaWholesaleSales.png\" alt=\"Canada&#039;s wholesale sales take a plunge amidst recent stagnation\" width=\"550\" height=\"396\" class=\"size-full wp-image-21647\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/140219_CanadaWholesaleSales.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/140219_CanadaWholesaleSales-300x215.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-21647\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Canada&#8217;s wholesale sales take a plunge amidst recent stagnation<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.statcan.gc.ca\/daily-quotidien\/140219\/dq140219a-eng.htm?HPA\" target=\"_blank\">Statistics Canada<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_21645\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-21645\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/140220_USDCAD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/140220_USDCAD.png\" alt=\"USD\/CAD surges off its 50-day moving average (DMA) in response to Canadian wholesale sales numbers\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-21645\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/140220_USDCAD.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/140220_USDCAD-300x204.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-21645\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">USD\/CAD surges off its 50-day moving average (DMA) in response to Canadian wholesale sales numbers<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_21646\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-21646\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/140219_DXY0.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/140219_DXY0.png\" alt=\"The U.S. dollar index bounces near the botom of its current range helped formed by its &quot;QE2 reference price&quot;\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-21646\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/140219_DXY0.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/140219_DXY0-300x204.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-21646\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The U.S. dollar index bounces near the botom of its current range helped formed by its &#8220;QE2 reference price&#8221;<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>So it seems the poor wholesale sales numbers were just an excuse to trigger what might simply be a technical move in USD\/CAD. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 20, 2014. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2035023-poor-wholesale-sales-deliver-an-excuse-to-sell-the-canadian-dollar\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: no positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 20, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Since reaching an inflation-adjusted high (at the time) in May, 2012, Canada&#8217;s wholesale sales have been relatively stagnant except a one-month surge the following May that beat the high (I used &#8230; <a title=\"Poor Wholesale Sales Deliver An Excuse to Sell the Canadian Dollar\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/04\/10\/poor-wholesale-sales-deliver-an-excuse-to-sell-the-canadian-dollar\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[235,59,20],"tags":[296,469,1339],"class_list":["post-21644","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-canada","category-economy","category-forex","tag-canadian-dollar","tag-usdcad","tag-wholesale-sales"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Poor Wholesale Sales Deliver An Excuse to Sell the Canadian Dollar - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/04\/10\/poor-wholesale-sales-deliver-an-excuse-to-sell-the-canadian-dollar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Poor Wholesale Sales Deliver An Excuse to Sell the Canadian Dollar - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 20, 2014. 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