{"id":20914,"date":"2014-01-02T22:04:55","date_gmt":"2014-01-03T06:04:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=20914"},"modified":"2014-01-02T22:04:55","modified_gmt":"2014-01-03T06:04:55","slug":"australian-dollar-starts-year-bias-bottoming","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/01\/02\/australian-dollar-starts-year-bias-bottoming\/","title":{"rendered":"Australian Dollar Starts the Year with A Bias for Bottoming"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 2, 2014. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1925661-australian-dollar-starts-the-year-with-a-bias-for-bottoming\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The ASX (Australian Stock Exchange) tracker for rate expectations dropped further to start the new year. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.asx.com.au\/prices\/targetratetracker.htm#\" target=\"_blank\">The RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) Rate Tracker<\/a> dropped the odds of a rate decrease for the next meeting on monetary policy from 9 to 7%.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_20915\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20915\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/140102_ASXRBARateTracker.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/140102_ASXRBARateTracker.png\" alt=\"A round trip for rate drop expectations\" width=\"500\" height=\"220\" class=\"size-full wp-image-20915\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/140102_ASXRBARateTracker.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/140102_ASXRBARateTracker-300x132.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-20915\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A round trip for rate drop expectations<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.asx.com.au\/data\/trt\/ib_graph.png\" target=\"_blank\">ASX RBA Rate Tracker<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>This decline in expectations should help firm up the Australian dollar (FXA) for at least the four weeks going into the February RBA meeting&#8230;{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_20917\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20917\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/140102_AUDUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/140102_AUDUSD.png\" alt=\"Australian dollar clinging to recent lows\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-20917\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/140102_AUDUSD.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/140102_AUDUSD-300x204.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-20917\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Australian dollar clinging to recent lows<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>The February RBA meeting will be another one of those closely watched central bank pronouncements. In particular, will the RBA come up with rhetoric and\/or policy to back-up the 0.85 target that Stevens issued in mid-December? If not, the Australian dollar could rally right through the meeting.<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 2, 2014. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1925661-australian-dollar-starts-the-year-with-a-bias-for-bottoming\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: net long Australian dollar<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The ASX (Australian Stock Exchange) tracker for rate expectations dropped further to start the new year. The RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) Rate Tracker dropped the odds of a rate decrease &#8230; <a title=\"Australian Dollar Starts the Year with A Bias for Bottoming\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/01\/02\/australian-dollar-starts-year-bias-bottoming\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,20],"tags":[308,310,309,60],"class_list":["post-20914","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-forex","tag-audusd","tag-australian-dollar","tag-fxa","tag-interest-rate"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Australian Dollar Starts the Year with A Bias for Bottoming - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2014\/01\/02\/australian-dollar-starts-year-bias-bottoming\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Australian Dollar Starts the Year with A Bias for Bottoming - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 2, 2014. 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