{"id":20421,"date":"2013-11-18T23:02:30","date_gmt":"2013-11-19T07:02:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=20421"},"modified":"2013-11-18T23:04:12","modified_gmt":"2013-11-19T07:04:12","slug":"implications-as-us-dollar-turns-corner-on-taper-fears-part-two","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/11\/18\/implications-as-us-dollar-turns-corner-on-taper-fears-part-two\/","title":{"rendered":"Some Quick Implications As the U.S. Dollar Turns the Corner On Taper Fears Part Two"},"content":{"rendered":"

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

The next statement on monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve comes on December 18th. With taper expectations on the rise again thanks to the 204,000 jobs added in October<\/a>, it appears that the U.S. dollar (UUP) has at least five weeks of upward bias as it turns the corner from the recent sell-off. I have argued recently that the U.S. dollar is essentially stuck in an approximate trading range<\/a> that has tightened in the last two years. {snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"U.S.<\/a>
U.S. dollar turns the corner as it bounces from presumed support at its level when QE3 was announced<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

The prospect of a stronger dollar has some important ripple effects – first and foremost is on the euro (FXE). {snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"The<\/a>
The euro has fallen from its perch but uptrend from the 200-day moving average remains intact<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

The stronger U.S. dollar is so far pressuring the Australian dollar (FXA) as well. {snip}<\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"The<\/a>
The Australian dollar breaks under pressure<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

Finally, outside of foreign exchange, the higher rates that come with tapering fears are pressuring emerging markets all over again. For example, the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) continued a sell-off that has been in place for over two weeks. {snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"The<\/a>
The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) breaks down again<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\nSource for stock and currency charts: FreeStockCharts.com<\/a> (captured intraday 11\/11\/13)<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Looking<\/a>
Looking more and more like interest rates are done going down<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\nSource: St. Louis Federal Reserve<\/a><\/strong>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

Be careful out there!<\/p>\n

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Full disclosure: long U.S. dollar, short euro, neutral on the Australian dollar, long EEM calls, long SSO puts, long SDS shares<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The next statement on monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve comes on December 18th. With taper expectations on the rise again thanks to the 204,000 jobs added in October, it … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[456,58,20,511,21],"tags":[308,310,299,1195,376,28,309,447,60,1196,1264,1591],"class_list":["post-20421","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bonds-2","category-federal-reserve","category-forex","category-support","category-u-s-dollar","tag-audusd","tag-australian-dollar","tag-dxy0","tag-eem","tag-eurusd","tag-euro","tag-fxa","tag-fxe","tag-interest-rate","tag-ishares-msci-emerging-markets-index","tag-treas","tag-u-s-dollar"],"yoast_head":"\nSome Quick Implications As the U.S. Dollar Turns the Corner On Taper Fears Part Two - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/11\/18\/implications-as-us-dollar-turns-corner-on-taper-fears-part-two\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Some Quick Implications As the U.S. Dollar Turns the Corner On Taper Fears Part Two - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2013. 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