{"id":20291,"date":"2013-11-05T22:17:24","date_gmt":"2013-11-06T06:17:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=20291"},"modified":"2013-11-05T22:17:24","modified_gmt":"2013-11-06T06:17:24","slug":"canadian-gdp-surprise-not-likely-to-change-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/11\/05\/canadian-gdp-surprise-not-likely-to-change-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Canadian GDP Surprise Not Likely to Change Outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 4, 2013. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1800992-canadian-gdp-surprise-not-likely-to-change-outlook\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Last week, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.statcan.gc.ca\/daily-quotidien\/131031\/dq131031a-eng.htm?HPA\" target=\"_blank\">Statistics Canada reported year-over-year GDP growth of 2.0%<\/a> for August, 2013 which beat <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailyfx.com\/calendar?tz=-7&#038;sort=date&#038;week=2013%2F1027&#038;eur=false&#038;usd=false&#038;jpy=false&#038;gbp=false&#038;chf=true&#038;aud=false&#038;cad=true&#038;nzd=false&#038;cny=false&#038;high=true&#038;medium=true&#038;low=true\" target=\"_blank\">analyst expectations of 1.7%<\/a>. This growth translated into a 0.3% month-over-month increase. July delivered 0.6% growth and June a 0.5% month-over-month decline. The upside surprise was enough to send the Canadian dollar soaring against all major currencies. In particular, USD\/CAD (FXC) dipped sharply&#8230;and created the buying opportunity I was looking for when I wrote about <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1777582-the-canadian-dollar-prices-in-a-weaker-economic-outlook\" target=\"_blank\">the Bank of Canada&#8217;s downgrade of the economy<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_20298\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20298\" style=\"width: 565px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/131103_USDCAD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/131103_USDCAD.png\" alt=\"The Canadian dollar gains against the U.S. dollar in the wake of Aug GDP numbers. USD\/CAD uptrend still intact.\" width=\"575\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-20298\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/131103_USDCAD.png 575w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/131103_USDCAD-300x182.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 575px) 100vw, 575px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-20298\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Canadian dollar gains against the U.S. dollar in the wake of Aug GDP numbers. USD\/CAD uptrend still intact.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_20293\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20293\" style=\"width: 578px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/131031_CanadaAugGDP.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/131031_CanadaAugGDP.gif\" alt=\"Main industrial sectors&#039; contribution to the percent change in gross domestic product, August 2013\" width=\"588\" height=\"380\" class=\"size-full wp-image-20293\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-20293\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Main industrial sectors&#8217; contribution to the percent change in gross domestic product, August 2013<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_20292\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20292\" style=\"width: 578px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/131031_CanadaJulyGDP.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/131031_CanadaJulyGDP.gif\" alt=\"Main industrial sectors&#039; contribution to the percent change in gross domestic product, July 2013\" width=\"588\" height=\"380\" class=\"size-full wp-image-20292\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-20292\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Main industrial sectors&#8217; contribution to the percent change in gross domestic product, July 2013<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: Statistics Canada (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.statcan.gc.ca\/daily-quotidien\/131031\/dq131031a-eng.htm?HPA\" target=\"_blank\">August<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.statcan.gc.ca\/daily-quotidien\/130930\/dq130930a-eng.htm\" target=\"_blank\">July<\/a>, 2013)<\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip} <\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 4, 2013. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1800992-canadian-gdp-surprise-not-likely-to-change-outlook\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long USD\/CAD<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 4, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week, Statistics Canada reported year-over-year GDP growth of 2.0% for August, 2013 which beat analyst expectations of 1.7%. This growth translated into a 0.3% month-over-month increase. July delivered 0.6% growth &#8230; <a title=\"Canadian GDP Surprise Not Likely to Change Outlook\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/11\/05\/canadian-gdp-surprise-not-likely-to-change-outlook\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[235,59,20],"tags":[236,297,247,469],"class_list":["post-20291","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-canada","category-economy","category-forex","tag-bank-of-canada","tag-fxc","tag-gdp","tag-usdcad"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Canadian GDP Surprise Not Likely to Change Outlook - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/11\/05\/canadian-gdp-surprise-not-likely-to-change-outlook\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Canadian GDP Surprise Not Likely to Change Outlook - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 4, 2013. 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