{"id":20020,"date":"2013-10-02T02:12:45","date_gmt":"2013-10-02T09:12:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=20020"},"modified":"2013-10-02T02:12:45","modified_gmt":"2013-10-02T09:12:45","slug":"rate-cut-expectations-increase-after-rba-oct-policy-decision","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/10\/02\/rate-cut-expectations-increase-after-rba-oct-policy-decision\/","title":{"rendered":"Rate Cut Expectations Increase After Reserve Bank of Australia October Policy Decision"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 2, 2013. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1724532-rate-cut-expectations-increase-after-reserve-bank-of-australia-october-policy-decision\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Financial markets expected no rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), and they got no rate cut. However, for whatever reason, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.asx.com.au\/prices\/targetratetracker.htm\" target=\"_blank\">expectations for a rate cut for the November meeting<\/a> represent an increase in odds. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_20021\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20021\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/131001_ib_graph.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/131001_ib_graph.png\" alt=\"Australian 30-Day Interbank Cash Rate Target Rate Tracker\" width=\"500\" height=\"220\" class=\"size-full wp-image-20021\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/131001_ib_graph.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/131001_ib_graph-300x132.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-20021\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Australian 30-Day Interbank Cash Rate Target Rate Tracker<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.asx.com.au\/data\/trt\/ib_graph.png\" target=\"_blank\">Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>In the immediate wake of the announcement, the Australian dollar (FXA) rallied a bit. As with many of these immediate, quick-trigger responses in the wake of minor news, the pop is in the process of reversing. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailyfx.com\/calendar?tz=-7&#038;sort=date&#038;week=2013%2F0929&#038;eur=false&#038;usd=false&#038;jpy=false&#038;gbp=false&#038;chf=false&#038;aud=true&#038;cad=false&#038;nzd=false&#038;cny=false&#038;high=true&#038;medium=true&#038;low=false\" target=\"_blank\">Weaker than &#8220;expected&#8221; economic data in building approvals and the Australian trade balance<\/a> seem to have encouraged the reversal at the time of writing.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_20024\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20024\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/131001_AUDUSD-intraday.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/131001_AUDUSD-intraday.png\" alt=\"The Australian dollar rallied in the wake of the decision leave rates alone\" width=\"550\" height=\"370\" class=\"size-full wp-image-20024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/131001_AUDUSD-intraday.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/131001_AUDUSD-intraday-300x201.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-20024\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Australian dollar rallied in the wake of the decision leave rates alone<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_20023\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20023\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/131001_AUDUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/131001_AUDUSD.png\" alt=\"A W-bottom remains well-intact, supported by an up-trending 50-day moving average\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-20023\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/131001_AUDUSD.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/131001_AUDUSD-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-20023\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A W-bottom remains well-intact, supported by an up-trending 50-day moving average<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 2, 2013. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1724532-rate-cut-expectations-increase-after-reserve-bank-of-australia-october-policy-decision\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: no positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 2, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Financial markets expected no rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), and they got no rate cut. However, for whatever reason, expectations for a rate cut for the November &#8230; <a title=\"Rate Cut Expectations Increase After Reserve Bank of Australia October Policy Decision\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/10\/02\/rate-cut-expectations-increase-after-rba-oct-policy-decision\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,20],"tags":[308,310,309,115,306,203],"class_list":["post-20020","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-forex","tag-audusd","tag-australian-dollar","tag-fxa","tag-monetary-policy","tag-rba","tag-reserve-bank-of-australia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Rate Cut Expectations Increase After Reserve Bank of Australia October Policy Decision - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/10\/02\/rate-cut-expectations-increase-after-rba-oct-policy-decision\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Rate Cut Expectations Increase After Reserve Bank of Australia October Policy Decision - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 2, 2013. 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