{"id":1954,"date":"2010-06-16T01:28:09","date_gmt":"2010-06-16T05:28:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=1954"},"modified":"2010-06-16T01:28:09","modified_gmt":"2010-06-16T05:28:09","slug":"sellers-step-out-the-way-part2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/06\/16\/sellers-step-out-the-way-part2\/","title":{"rendered":"Sellers Step Out of the Way, Part 2"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Two weeks ago, I wrote &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/05\/27\/sellers-step-out-of-the-way\/\">Sellers Step Out of the Way<\/a>&#8221; to describe an impressive rally from oversold conditions on poor volume on May 27th. The S&#038;P 500 closed up 3.3% that day, just short of the 200-day moving average (DMA). Today, the index finally hurdled over the 200DMA resistance for the first time in three weeks. Unfortunately, volume was even worse than the rally two weeks ago. With technicals essentially over-bought, the stock market is vulnerable to a one-day reversal just as large as today&#8217;s gains. I fully expect such a sell-off within a week, especially given this week is an options expiration week (&#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.optionszone.com\/market-commentary\/options-activity\/2010\/03\/quadruple-witching-options-expiration.html\">quadruple witching<\/a>&#8221; too). Those of us still patient enough to <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/06\/05\/third-oversold-period-not-a-charm\/\">play a bounce from previous oversold conditions<\/a> were compelled to lighten up on longs into today&#8217;s bounce.<\/p>\n<p>It is even difficult to find a solid catalyst for today&#8217;s rally given all the moaning and groaning we just heard about Friday&#8217;s poor retail sales numbers. THOSE numbers printed just a week after the agonizing over extremely poor employment numbers. The S&#038;P 500 now rests above the closes of both those days as it posts its high for June. <\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1955\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1955\" style=\"width: 515px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/100615_SP500.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/100615_SP500.jpg\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 prints its highs for June but looks very vulnerable to a reversal\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 prints its highs for June but looks very vulnerable to a reversal\" width=\"525\" height=\"571\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1955\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/100615_SP500.jpg 525w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/100615_SP500-275x300.jpg 275w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1955\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">S&P 500 prints its highs for June but looks very vulnerable to a reversal<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n*<strong>Chart created using TeleChart:<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.worden.com\/CURRENTAFPROMO.aspx?AFCODE=866\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.worden.com\/Content\/Banners\/images\/88x31.gif\"><\/a><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>The main catalyst to watch is now the euro. It seems as long as the relief rally in the euro continues, bulls will take heart. The few buyers out there will remain numerous enough to lift stocks a little bit more. However, the euro is also now overbought. I have taken this opportunity to start building a fresh short position.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1956\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1956\" style=\"width: 515px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/100615_EURUSD.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/100615_EURUSD.jpg\" alt=\"The euro experiences its longest bounce in at least three months\" title=\"The euro experiences its longest bounce in at least three months\" width=\"525\" height=\"322\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1956\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/100615_EURUSD.jpg 525w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/100615_EURUSD-300x184.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1956\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The euro experiences its longest bounce in at least three months<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\nSource: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailyfx.com\/charts\/netdaniachart\/\">dailyfx.com charts<\/a><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long SSO puts and calls, short EUR\/USD, long EUR\/CHF<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two weeks ago, I wrote &#8220;Sellers Step Out of the Way&#8221; to describe an impressive rally from oversold conditions on poor volume on May 27th. The S&#038;P 500 closed up 3.3% that day, just short of the 200-day moving average (DMA). Today, the index finally hurdled over the 200DMA resistance for the first time in &#8230; <a title=\"Sellers Step Out of the Way, Part 2\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/06\/16\/sellers-step-out-the-way-part2\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,62],"tags":[376,28,65],"class_list":["post-1954","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forex","category-technical-analysis","tag-eurusd","tag-euro","tag-sp-500"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Sellers Step Out of the Way, Part 2 - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/06\/16\/sellers-step-out-the-way-part2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sellers Step Out of the Way, Part 2 - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Two weeks ago, I wrote &#8220;Sellers Step Out of the Way&#8221; to describe an impressive rally from oversold conditions on poor volume on May 27th. 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