{"id":19438,"date":"2013-08-19T23:31:21","date_gmt":"2013-08-20T06:31:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=19438"},"modified":"2013-08-19T23:31:21","modified_gmt":"2013-08-20T06:31:21","slug":"market-trends-continue-to-swirl-inconsistently-around-rising-rates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/08\/19\/market-trends-continue-to-swirl-inconsistently-around-rising-rates\/","title":{"rendered":"Market Trends Continue To Swirl Inconsistently Around Rising Rates"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 19, 2013. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1643052-market-trends-continue-to-swirl-inconsistently-around-rising-rates\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1612872-mixed-signals-surround-the-steady-creep-higher-in-interest-rates\" target=\"_blank\">The mixed signals from financial markets<\/a> continue as interest rates continue to climb. In fact, the steady rise in rates is the main feature within a swirl of inconsistent patterns. The head scratching reached some kind of climax when the U.S. dollar index (UUP) experienced a surprisingly sharp decline on Thursday (August 15th) even as interest rates shot up again. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_19440\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-19440\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_TLTvsGLDvsDXY0vsEEM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_TLTvsGLDvsDXY0vsEEM.png\" alt=\"TLT continues its decline from May even as other supposedly related indicators switch directions\" width=\"550\" height=\"375\" class=\"size-full wp-image-19440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_TLTvsGLDvsDXY0vsEEM.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_TLTvsGLDvsDXY0vsEEM-300x204.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-19440\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">TLT continues its decline from May even as other supposedly related indicators switch directions<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Other commodity-related names like Freeport-McMoRan Copper &#038; Gold Inc. (FCX) and BHP Billiton Limited (BHP) have continued to rally off June lows in spite of rising rates. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_19448\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-19448\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_BHP.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_BHP.png\" alt=\"BHP stalls at its QE3 price\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-19448\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_BHP.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_BHP-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-19448\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">BHP stalls at its QE3 price<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_19447\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-19447\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_FCX.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_FCX.png\" alt=\"FCX stalls at its QE2 price\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-19447\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_FCX.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_FCX-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-19447\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">FCX stalls at its QE2 price<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_19446\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-19446\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130818_AUDUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130818_AUDUSD.png\" alt=\"The Australian dollar&#039;s relief rally stalls: the end or the pause that refreshes?\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-19446\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130818_AUDUSD.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130818_AUDUSD-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-19446\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Australian dollar&#8217;s relief rally stalls: the end or the pause that refreshes?<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>In the meantime, 30-year mortgage rates have finally managed to stabilize over the last month or so after a sharp 2-month spike that at one point was racing ahead of Treasury yields. <\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_19442\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-19442\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_LongTermRates.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_LongTermRates.png\" alt=\"The race to higher yields...\" width=\"550\" height=\"330\" class=\"size-full wp-image-19442\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_LongTermRates.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_LongTermRates-300x180.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-19442\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The race to higher yields&#8230;<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/research.stlouisfed.org\/fred2\/graph\/?g=lAk\" target=\"_blank\">St. Louis Federal Reserve<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>This could be the calm before the next storm. Thursday&#8217;s jump in rates sent the iShares Dow Jones US Home Construction Index Fund (ITB) further into negative territory for the first time this year before a strong intraday recovery. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_19444\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-19444\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_ITB.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_ITB.png\" alt=\"The weight of rates finally cracked the homebuilder index\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-19444\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_ITB.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/130816_ITB-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-19444\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The weight of rates finally cracked the homebuilder index<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>I am also VERY interested to see how Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke addresses the topic of tapering in this year&#8217;s Jackson Hole confab coming up this weekend. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 19, 2013. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1643052-market-trends-continue-to-swirl-inconsistently-around-rising-rates\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long SSO calls, TPH, TBT, GLD, net long the U.S. dollar, net long Australian dollar<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 19, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The mixed signals from financial markets continue as interest rates continue to climb. In fact, the steady rise in rates is the main feature within a swirl of inconsistent patterns. The &#8230; <a title=\"Market Trends Continue To Swirl Inconsistently Around Rising Rates\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/08\/19\/market-trends-continue-to-swirl-inconsistently-around-rising-rates\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,456,199,20,35,135,62,21],"tags":[310,631,845,299,1195,493,494,309,200,24,60,1042,1205,1196,1206,437,65,499,362,280,1591],"class_list":["post-19438","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-bonds-2","category-commodities","category-forex","category-housing","category-stock-market-trading","category-technical-analysis","category-u-s-dollar","tag-australian-dollar","tag-bhp","tag-bhp-billiton-ltd","tag-dxy0","tag-eem","tag-fcx","tag-freeport-mcmoran","tag-fxa","tag-gld","tag-gold","tag-interest-rate","tag-ishares-barclays-20-year-treasury-bond-fund","tag-ishares-dow-jones-us-home-construction-index-fund","tag-ishares-msci-emerging-markets-index","tag-itb","tag-mortgage","tag-sp-500","tag-spdr-gold-trust","tag-spy","tag-tlt","tag-u-s-dollar"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Market Trends Continue To Swirl Inconsistently Around Rising Rates - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/08\/19\/market-trends-continue-to-swirl-inconsistently-around-rising-rates\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Market Trends Continue To Swirl Inconsistently Around Rising Rates - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 19, 2013. 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Click here to read the entire piece.) The mixed signals from financial markets continue as interest rates continue to climb. In fact, the steady rise in rates is the main feature within a swirl of inconsistent patterns. The ... 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