{"id":18722,"date":"2013-09-12T23:24:16","date_gmt":"2013-09-13T06:24:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=18722"},"modified":"2013-09-12T23:24:46","modified_gmt":"2013-09-13T06:24:46","slug":"market-mood-swings-toward-end-to-us-dollars-latest-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/09\/12\/market-mood-swings-toward-end-to-us-dollars-latest-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Market Mood Swings Toward An End to the U.S. Dollar’s Latest Rally"},"content":{"rendered":"

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ordinarily, I would have called Wednesday’s (July 10, 2013) close on the S&P 500 (SPY) a stalemate that potentially signals a reversal in fortunes for the index. The flat close occurred right at resistance from the June highs.<\/p>\n


\n
\"A<\/a>
A stalemate between bears and bulls at resistance from the June highs<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

The news cycle rules right now. This earnings season promises to be full of market mood swings if the reaction to the Federal Reserve minutes for June’s monetary policy meeting<\/a> and Chairman Ben Bernanke’s Q&A session following a speech<\/a> are any indication. The stalemate in the S&P 500 during U.S. market hours occurred as the market dipped ahead of the release of the minutes of the last Federal Reserve meeting on monetary policy, spiked up in trigger-finger response to the release, and then calmed back down to settle at flatline. Overall, the minutes contained no new information. What Bernanke said during the Q&A of a speech later in the day apparently tipped the balance. {snip}<\/p>\n

Bernanke’s response was an implicit reference to the labor market’s poor participation rate and likely also an implicit reference to persistent underemployment in the economy. {snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"The<\/a>
The dollar index falls back from three-year highs and retests the QE2 reference price<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"The<\/a>
The British pound soars 1.9% off its bottom versus the U.S. dollar<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n

\"The<\/a>
The euro practically goes “parabolic” intraday versus the U.S. dollar<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"USD\/CAD<\/a>
USD\/CAD goes from strength to weakness in a heartbeat<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"Wide<\/a>
Wide churn in USD\/JPY since the Bank of Japan’s QQE<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"Just<\/a>
Just a relief rally for the Australian dollar?<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\nSource for charts: FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

While it seems the accumulated sharp reversals in U.S. dollar currency pairs signals an end to its rally, I do not think this next equates to a sustained sell-off in the U.S. dollar…even against the British pound. {snip}<\/p>\n

Be careful out there!<\/p>\n

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Full disclosure: long EEM put spread, short Australian dollar, short euro, long British pound, short Canadian dollar<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Ordinarily, I would have called Wednesday’s (July 10, 2013) close on the S&P 500 (SPY) a stalemate that potentially signals a reversal in fortunes for the index. The flat close occurred … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[58,20,21],"tags":[308,310,128,296,1195,376,28,309,127,297,447,1204,1196,115,203,1591,469],"class_list":["post-18722","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-federal-reserve","category-forex","category-u-s-dollar","tag-audusd","tag-australian-dollar","tag-british-pound","tag-canadian-dollar","tag-eem","tag-eurusd","tag-euro","tag-fxa","tag-fxb","tag-fxc","tag-fxe","tag-glenn-stevens","tag-ishares-msci-emerging-markets-index","tag-monetary-policy","tag-reserve-bank-of-australia","tag-u-s-dollar","tag-usdcad"],"yoast_head":"\nMarket Mood Swings Toward An End to the U.S. Dollar's Latest Rally - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/09\/12\/market-mood-swings-toward-end-to-us-dollars-latest-rally\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Market Mood Swings Toward An End to the U.S. Dollar's Latest Rally - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2013. 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