{"id":18287,"date":"2013-06-07T17:03:54","date_gmt":"2013-06-08T00:03:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=18287"},"modified":"2013-06-07T17:03:54","modified_gmt":"2013-06-08T00:03:54","slug":"bear-market-nikkei-style","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/06\/07\/bear-market-nikkei-style\/","title":{"rendered":"Bear Market: Nikkei-Style"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 7, 2013. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1486941-bear-market-nikkei-style\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Notably, this retracement erases almost all of the stock market gains from the Bank of Japan&#8217;s announcement of aggressive monetary policy in early April called &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.boj.or.jp\/en\/announcements\/release_2013\/k130404a.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">Introduction of the &#8220;Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing<\/a>.&#8221; {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18289\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18289\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_Nikkei.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_Nikkei.png\" alt=\"Nikkei retraces its way to erasing almost all its post-easing gains\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-18289\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_Nikkei.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_Nikkei-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18289\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nikkei retraces its way to erasing almost all its post-easing gains<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>This could have been a unique buying opportunity, except the Japanese yen is on the move again and it is now warning of danger ahead.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18299\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18299\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_USDJPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_USDJPY.png\" alt=\"Major breakdown for the U.S. dollar versus the Japanese yen\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-18299\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_USDJPY.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_USDJPY-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18299\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Major breakdown for the U.S. dollar versus the Japanese yen<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_18300\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18300\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_GBPJPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_GBPJPY.png\" alt=\"The British pound also breaks down versus the yen\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-18300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_GBPJPY.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_GBPJPY-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18300\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The British pound also breaks down versus the yen<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The yen (FXY) suddenly looks like it is starting to transition out of its cycle of persistent devaluation. {snip} The yen&#8217;s renewed vigor could get exaggerated by the &#8220;need&#8221; to fill the vacuum of a rapidly weakening dollar. On Thursday, the dollar index experienced a very rare one-day plunge of over 1%. <\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18297\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18297\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_DXY0.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_DXY0.png\" alt=\"Dollar index plunges to 200-day moving average ahead of June job&#039;s report. Confirms firm resistance from its QE2 price.\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-18297\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_DXY0.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_DXY0-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18297\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Dollar index plunges to 200-day moving average ahead of June job&#8217;s report. Confirms firm resistance from its QE2 price.<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for stock and forex charts: FreeStockCharts.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_18296\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18296\" style=\"width: 473px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_DXY0DailyChange.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_DXY0DailyChange.png\" alt=\"Daily Change in Dollar Index From June 10, 2011 to June 6, 2013\" width=\"483\" height=\"335\" class=\"size-full wp-image-18296\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_DXY0DailyChange.png 483w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/130606_DXY0DailyChange-300x208.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 483px) 100vw, 483px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18296\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Daily Change in Dollar Index From June 10, 2011 to June 6, 2013<br \/><\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for data: FreeStockCharts.com<\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The increasing volatility in the Japanese yen is an echo of <a href=\"http:\/\/money.msn.com\/bill-fleckenstein\/post.aspx?post=9abc1c3d-9bd6-447e-9d32-c106a4dd4df0\" target=\"_blank\">the burst of volatility that hit the Japanese bond market<\/a> starting right around the time Japan announced excellent GDP numbers May 15th. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Japan&#8217;s latest GDP results seemed to vindicate and confirm the the power of &#8220;Abenomics.&#8221; {snip}<\/p>\n<p>These economic signs <strong>should<\/strong> be encouraging and <strong>should<\/strong> support an eventual turn-around in the Japanese stock market. However, if currency markets rekindle their love affair with a strong Japanese yen, the bear market Nikkei-style may hang around a lot longer.<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 7, 2013. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1486941-bear-market-nikkei-style\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: net long Japanese yen<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 7, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Notably, this retracement erases almost all of the stock market gains from the Bank of Japan&#8217;s announcement of aggressive monetary policy in early April called &#8220;Introduction of the &#8220;Quantitative and &#8230; <a title=\"Bear Market: Nikkei-Style\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/06\/07\/bear-market-nikkei-style\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,204,21],"tags":[299,513,626,138,737,1591,454],"class_list":["post-18287","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forex","category-japan","category-u-s-dollar","tag-dxy0","tag-fxy","tag-gbpjpy","tag-japanese-yen","tag-nikkei","tag-u-s-dollar","tag-usdjpy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bear Market: Nikkei-Style - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/06\/07\/bear-market-nikkei-style\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bear Market: Nikkei-Style - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 7, 2013. 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