{"id":1797,"date":"2010-05-23T21:26:27","date_gmt":"2010-05-24T01:26:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=1797"},"modified":"2010-05-23T21:26:27","modified_gmt":"2010-05-24T01:26:27","slug":"buy-ewz-but-trend-turning-down","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/05\/23\/buy-ewz-but-trend-turning-down\/","title":{"rendered":"Another 20% Correction Triggers Buy on EWZ but Trend Turning Down"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>So far this year, EWZ has experienced two 20% corrections from previous highs. The last correction ended in February along with most major stock markets. In late January, <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/01\/27\/ewz-nears-20-correction-again\/\">I recommended buying EWZ for a trade once it tested its 200DMA<\/a>. That point of support marked a 20% correction, and it also coincided with the August, 2009 highs.  EWZ successfully tested is 200DMA and provided an excellent bounce for the triggered trade.<\/p>\n<p>I could only recommend a short-term trade because the overall technical outlook on EWZ had turned negative: a potential head and shoulders top and a likely break of the October lows. EWZ has once again corrected 20% from its recent highs and so triggered a buy signal on Thursday around $59 just as <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/05\/21\/eight-months-of-nowhere-for-sp500\/\">the stock market was reaching extreme oversold readings<\/a>. Many stocks and indices generated <a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/05\/23\/bullish-trading-opps-emerge-from-carnage\/\">likely reversal signals on Friday by generating bullish engulfing patterns<\/a>; EWZ was fortunate enough to do the same. This strengthens the case for a good, tradeable bounce in EWZ.<\/p>\n<p>The looming downtrend in EWZ is once again tempering upside expectations for this trade. EWZ&#8217;s last high was in April, forming a lower high, and last week&#8217;s new low generated a second lower low. An overall downtrend for EWZ is further confirmed by a declining 50-day moving average (DMA) which will soon converge with a flattening 200DMA. The upper price target sits around $68, a reversal of all recent losses and a point that sits directly under likely resistance. With a stop directly under Friday&#8217;s bullish engulfing pattern, the risk\/reward on this trade looks very good. (Note that I have not ever gone short on EWZ because I remain bullish on the &#8220;Brazil story&#8221; &#8211; for now).<\/p>\n<p>The chart below summarizes the set-up and longer-term outlook (click for larger view).<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1799\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1799\" style=\"width: 265px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/100521_EWZ1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/100521_EWZ1-275x300.jpg\" alt=\"Strong case for a bounce in EWZ, but a downtrend is underway\" title=\"Strong case for a bounce in EWZ, but a downtrend is underway\" width=\"275\" height=\"300\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1799\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/100521_EWZ1-275x300.jpg 275w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/100521_EWZ1.jpg 580w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 275px) 100vw, 275px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1799\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Strong case for a bounce in EWZ, but a downtrend is underway<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n*<strong>Chart created using TeleChart:<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.worden.com\/CURRENTAFPROMO.aspx?AFCODE=866\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.worden.com\/Content\/Banners\/images\/88x31.gif\"><\/a><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long EWZ<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So far this year, EWZ has experienced two 20% corrections from previous highs. The last correction ended in February along with most major stock markets. In late January, I recommended buying EWZ for a trade once it tested its 200DMA. That point of support marked a 20% correction, and it also coincided with the August, &#8230; <a title=\"Another 20% Correction Triggers Buy on EWZ but Trend Turning Down\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/05\/23\/buy-ewz-but-trend-turning-down\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[181,62],"tags":[183,361,1597],"class_list":["post-1797","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-brazil","category-technical-analysis","tag-ewz","tag-ishares-msci-brazil-index-fund-etf","tag-technical-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Another 20% Correction Triggers Buy on EWZ but Trend Turning Down - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2010\/05\/23\/buy-ewz-but-trend-turning-down\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Another 20% Correction Triggers Buy on EWZ but Trend Turning Down - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"So far this year, EWZ has experienced two 20% corrections from previous highs. The last correction ended in February along with most major stock markets. In late January, I recommended buying EWZ for a trade once it tested its 200DMA. That point of support marked a 20% correction, and it also coincided with the August, ... 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