{"id":17504,"date":"2013-05-13T22:15:38","date_gmt":"2013-05-14T05:15:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=17504"},"modified":"2013-05-13T22:15:38","modified_gmt":"2013-05-14T05:15:38","slug":"latest-china-gdp-figures-set-up-next-buying-opportunity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/05\/13\/latest-china-gdp-figures-set-up-next-buying-opportunity\/","title":{"rendered":"Latest China GDP Figures Set Up Next Buying Opportunity"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 15, 2013. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1340511-latest-china-gdp-figures-set-up-next-buying-opportunity\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>When it comes to the Australian dollar (FXA), traders have to stay nimble and on their toes. Just two days ago in &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1336791-poor-employment-report-only-slows-australian-dollar-s-breakout\" target=\"_blank\">Poor Employment Report Only Slows Australian Dollar&#8217;s Breakout<\/a>,&#8221; I noted how easily the Australian dollar recovered after weaker than expected jobs numbers triggered rapid selling in the currency. I concluded that &#8220;the currency is much more likely to respond to changes in commodity prices and by extension economic conditions in China.&#8221; Sure enough, proof positive came in the form of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2013-04-15\/asian-stocks-drop-as-u-s-retail-sales-fall-ahead-of-chinese-gdp.html\" target=\"_blank\">Q1 GDP growth of 7.7% in China<\/a>. Industrial production also disappointed by &#8220;only&#8221; growing 8.9% in March year-over-year. As Bloomberg notes: &#8220;That compared with the 10.1 percent median forecast of 37 economists and a 9.9 percent gain in the first two months of the year.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>So suddenly after two Chinese economic series each register one new discouraging data point, China&#8217;s growth (really the rate of growth) is slowing. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>The technical damage in the wake of the Chinese economic data is clear. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_17511\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-17511\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/130414_AUDUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/130414_AUDUSD.png\" alt=\"The Australian dollar plunges in the wake of disappointing Chinese economic data\" title=\"The Australian dollar plunges in the wake of disappointing Chinese economic data\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-17511\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/130414_AUDUSD.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/130414_AUDUSD-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-17511\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Australian dollar plunges in the wake of disappointing Chinese economic data<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The technical damage for yen crosses could just be getting started. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_17512\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-17512\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/130414_GBPJPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/130414_GBPJPY.png\" alt=\"The yen receives follow-through interest in the wake of disappointing Chinese economic data\" title=\"The yen receives follow-through interest in the wake of disappointing Chinese economic data\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-17512\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/130414_GBPJPY.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/130414_GBPJPY-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-17512\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The yen receives follow-through interest in the wake of disappointing Chinese economic data<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>One interesting backdrop to the sudden re-emergence of fear is a surge in call buying on the VIX, the volatility index. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>The implication is that once traders lose their hedges with the VIX call options, they might be more inclined to sell out of S&#038;P 500 positions if the market is weak going into expiration. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_17509\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-17509\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/130412_VIX.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/130412_VIX.png\" alt=\"As of Friday, April 12, the VIX was still dropping toward fresh 7-year lows....\" title=\"As of Friday, April 12, the VIX was still dropping toward fresh 7-year lows....\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-17509\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/130412_VIX.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/130412_VIX-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-17509\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">As of Friday, April 12, the VIX was still dropping toward fresh 7-year lows....<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 15, 2013. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1340511-latest-china-gdp-figures-set-up-next-buying-opportunity\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: net long Australian dollar, net short Japanese yen, long SSO calls<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 15, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) When it comes to the Australian dollar (FXA), traders have to stay nimble and on their toes. Just two days ago in &#8220;Poor Employment Report Only Slows Australian Dollar&#8217;s Breakout,&#8221; I &#8230; <a title=\"Latest China GDP Figures Set Up Next Buying Opportunity\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/05\/13\/latest-china-gdp-figures-set-up-next-buying-opportunity\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,4,59],"tags":[308,310,309,626,247,138,303,178],"class_list":["post-17504","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-china","category-economy","tag-audusd","tag-australian-dollar","tag-fxa","tag-gbpjpy","tag-gdp","tag-japanese-yen","tag-vix","tag-volatility"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Latest China GDP Figures Set Up Next Buying Opportunity - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/05\/13\/latest-china-gdp-figures-set-up-next-buying-opportunity\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Latest China GDP Figures Set Up Next Buying Opportunity - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 15, 2013. 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