{"id":17349,"date":"2013-05-13T02:04:20","date_gmt":"2013-05-13T09:04:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=17349"},"modified":"2013-05-13T02:04:20","modified_gmt":"2013-05-13T09:04:20","slug":"week-of-major-currency-shifts-flips-me-bullish-australian-and-british-currencies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/05\/13\/week-of-major-currency-shifts-flips-me-bullish-australian-and-british-currencies\/","title":{"rendered":"Week of Major Currency Shifts Flips Me Bullish Australian and British Currencies"},"content":{"rendered":"

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 7, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n

The market seemed to convulse on the notion that the Fed could actually end asset purchases but seemed to ignore the conditional of a much improved labor market and improving economy. Moreover, Williams did not express certainty, he expressed hope<\/strong>. In fact, Williams went to great pains to remain consistent with standing policy and highlighted that the Federal Reserve will remain in a very accomodative stance for quite some time. {snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"The<\/a>
The S&P 500's churn continues as it bounces nicely off the lower-BB<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"After<\/a>
After finally breaking away from its QE3 price, the dollar index ran into a brick wall at its QE2 price<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n
\n
\"QE3<\/a>
QE3 could not contain the dollar, but QE2 continues to do so<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n

Australian dollar<\/strong>
\nI covered the latest decision on monetary policy several days ago (see “The Reserve Bank Of Australia Marginally Concedes To A Brighter Outlook<\/a>“). At the time, I stubbornly decided to hold onto my short Aussie bias with my short AUD\/USD position given my expectation that resistance at the long-standing downtrend line would hold. I was rewarded but in a very unexpected way.<\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"AUD\/JPY<\/a>
AUD\/JPY crosses 100 for the first time since the month before Lehman Brothers collapsed<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n
\n
\"...but<\/a>
...but AUD\/USD further retreated from resistance at the downtrend line<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n

Japanese yen<\/strong>
\nNo superlative is enough for the rapid weakening in the Japanese yen in the wake of the BoJ move. When I wrote<\/a> about how the Nikkei was finally selling off just on the heels of a 3-week strengthening of the yen, I claimed that it had opened a rare buying opportunity for iShares MSCI Japan Index (EWJ) and a good spot to open fresh shorts on the yen. However, I did not anticipate this instant surge to fresh 2+ year highs for EWJ. <\/p>\n


\n
\"EWJ<\/a>
EWJ gaps up to fresh highs in the wake of the BoJ<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n
\n
\"2013's<\/a>
2013's rapid gains only take EWJ back to where it was the week before disaster struck the country in 2011<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"No<\/a>
No rest for the weary - the yen looks ready to get a lot weaker on a breakout of USD\/JPY to 2009 levels<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n
\n
\"Playing<\/a>
Playing the British pound against the yen may be even more attractive given the amount of upside to be gained from pre-crisis levels<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

I mention the British pound (FXB) as potentially an even better play than the U.S. dollar because it seems to have bottomed for now.<\/p>\n

British pound<\/strong>
\nThe Bank of England (BoE) delivered no surprises in keeping rates and QE steady<\/a>. However, with economic conditions weakening, the lack of action seems to imply that stubbornly elevated inflation levels are causing hesitation. {snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"GBP\/USD<\/a>
GBP\/USD appears to have bottomed for now<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

The euro<\/strong>
\n{snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"The<\/a>
The euro rallies against the U.S. dollar first on ECB and then U.S. employment news<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"The<\/a>
The euro is facing some stiff overhead resistance<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

Swiss franc<\/strong>
\nOne factor working against the euro is the creeping recovery of the Swiss franc (FXF) from weakness earlier in the year. {snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"The<\/a>
The euro has yet to regain its momentum against the Swiss franc that is achieved earlier in 2013<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\nSource of charts: FreeStockCharts.com
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

Be careful out there!<\/p>\n

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 7, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Full disclosure: long SSO calls, short GBP\/USD, net long Australian dollar, long EUR\/CHF, long USD\/JPY<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 7, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} The market seemed to convulse on the notion that the Fed could actually end asset purchases but seemed to ignore the conditional of a much improved labor market and improving … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,59,794,20,204,21],"tags":[310,128,299,385,376,1595,309,127,447,459,513,384,138,115,65,362,333,1591,1144,454],"class_list":["post-17349","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-economy","category-europe","category-forex","category-japan","category-u-s-dollar","tag-australian-dollar","tag-british-pound","tag-dxy0","tag-eurchf","tag-eurusd","tag-federal-reserve","tag-fxa","tag-fxb","tag-fxe","tag-fxf","tag-fxy","tag-gbpusd","tag-japanese-yen","tag-monetary-policy","tag-sp-500","tag-spy","tag-swiss-franc","tag-u-s-dollar","tag-usdaud","tag-usdjpy"],"yoast_head":"\nWeek of Major Currency Shifts Flips Me Bullish Australian and British Currencies - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/05\/13\/week-of-major-currency-shifts-flips-me-bullish-australian-and-british-currencies\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Week of Major Currency Shifts Flips Me Bullish Australian and British Currencies - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 7, 2013. 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