{"id":16988,"date":"2013-04-18T00:14:10","date_gmt":"2013-04-18T07:14:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=16988"},"modified":"2013-04-18T00:14:10","modified_gmt":"2013-04-18T07:14:10","slug":"fresh-unemployment-records-end-raly-ewp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/04\/18\/fresh-unemployment-records-end-raly-ewp\/","title":{"rendered":"Fresh Unemployment Records Help To End The Rally In The Spain Index Fund"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 25, 2013. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1223491-fresh-unemployment-records-help-to-end-the-rally-in-the-spain-index-fund\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Last month, Spain&#8217;s unemployment rate reached Depression-like levels when <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2013-02-04\/spain-registered-unemployment-resumes-rise-amid-deepening-slump.html\" target=\"_blank\">it hit a record 26%<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nasdaq.com\/article\/eu-sees-spains-2013-deficit-at-67-of-gdp-unemployment-27--report-20130221-01660#.USwbTFe3R5I\" target=\"_blank\">projections are for it to increase to 27% this year<\/a>. {snip} EWP is up an astounding 44% off 2012 lows and was up as much as 65% when it slammed into resistance at 2012&#8217;s peak. This strong relief rally looks like it has topped out for now. <\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_16990\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-16990\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/130225_EWP.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/130225_EWP.png\" alt=\"EWP breaks down\" title=\"EWP breaks down\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-16990\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/130225_EWP.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/130225_EWP-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-16990\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">EWP breaks down<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_16991\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-16991\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/130225_EWP-monthly.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/130225_EWP-monthly.png\" alt=\"The trend remains DOWN for EWP\" title=\"The trend remains DOWN for EWP\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-16991\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/130225_EWP-monthly.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/130225_EWP-monthly-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-16991\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The trend remains DOWN for EWP<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for charts: FreeStockCharts.com<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip} Given the <strong>typical<\/strong> response to extremes of high unemployment has been to <strong>ease<\/strong> monetary AND fiscal conditions, I strongly suspect things will indeed get much worse for Spain before they get better (economists can argue endlessly as to whether this is ultimately better for the long-run). Forecasts for 2014 should get slashed sooner than later.<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 25, 2013. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1223491-fresh-unemployment-records-help-to-end-the-rally-in-the-spain-index-fund\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long EWP puts<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 25, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Last month, Spain&#8217;s unemployment rate reached Depression-like levels when it hit a record 26% and projections are for it to increase to 27% this year. {snip} EWP is up an &#8230; <a title=\"Fresh Unemployment Records Help To End The Rally In The Spain Index Fund\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/04\/18\/fresh-unemployment-records-end-raly-ewp\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59,461,62],"tags":[462,463,197],"class_list":["post-16988","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-spain","category-technical-analysis","tag-ewp","tag-ishares-msci-spain-index-fund-etf","tag-unemployment"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Fresh Unemployment Records Help To End The Rally In The Spain Index Fund - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/04\/18\/fresh-unemployment-records-end-raly-ewp\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fresh Unemployment Records Help To End The Rally In The Spain Index Fund - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 25, 2013. 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