{"id":15915,"date":"2013-01-05T09:22:14","date_gmt":"2013-01-05T17:22:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=15915"},"modified":"2013-01-05T09:22:14","modified_gmt":"2013-01-05T17:22:14","slug":"peering-over-the-fiscal-cliff-the-yen-gets-cheap-australian-dollar-expensive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/01\/05\/peering-over-the-fiscal-cliff-the-yen-gets-cheap-australian-dollar-expensive\/","title":{"rendered":"Peering Over the Fiscal Cliff, the Yen Gets &#8220;Cheap&#8221;, Australian Dollar &#8220;Expensive&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 21, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1076931-peering-over-the-fiscal-cliff-the-yen-gets-cheap-australian-dollar-expensive\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On December 20th, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.boj.or.jp\/en\/announcements\/release_2012\/k121220a.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">the Bank of Japan rolled out more stimulus and more accomodative monetary policy as expected<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>The Bank of Japan is clearly trying to get more aggressive in its efforts to fight deflation and reignite its economy. The effective increase in the availability in Japanese yen (FXY) may be arriving just in time for what could be a re-ignition of a rapacious appetite for yen as <a href=\"http:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/blogs\/ticket\/house-republicans-pushing-doomed-fiscal-cliff-plan-b-004700686--politics.html\" target=\"_blank\">Fiscal Cliff negotiations in the U.S. apparently begin to sour<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_15923\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-15923\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121221_USDJPY-weekly.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121221_USDJPY-weekly.png\" alt=\"The recent run against the yen has brought USD\/JPY to fresh 20-month highs\" title=\"The recent run against the yen has brought USD\/JPY to fresh 20-month highs\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-15923\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121221_USDJPY-weekly.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121221_USDJPY-weekly-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-15923\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The recent run against the yen has brought USD\/JPY to fresh 20-month highs<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>In typical fashion, the market went into &#8220;sell the news&#8221; mode (by strengthening the yen) in the immediate wake of the BoJ news. However, it was quite telling that the yen quickly reversed after this initial trigger reaction.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_15925\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-15925\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121221_USDJPY-intraday.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121221_USDJPY-intraday.png\" alt=\"The yen swings wildly between headlines\" title=\"The yen swings wildly between headlines\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-15925\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121221_USDJPY-intraday.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121221_USDJPY-intraday-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-15925\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The yen swings wildly between headlines<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>While the yen is likely to strengthen quickly, the Australian dollar (FXA) looks the most vulnerable to selling. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_15924\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-15924\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121221_AUDUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121221_AUDUSD.png\" alt=\"Australian dollar fails perfectly from downtrend line and now retests upward trend of the 50-day moving average\" title=\"Australian dollar fails perfectly from downtrend line and now retests upward trend of the 50-day moving average\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-15924\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121221_AUDUSD.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121221_AUDUSD-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-15924\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Australian dollar fails perfectly from downtrend line and now retests upward trend of the 50-day moving average<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Having said all that, I recognize that the Fiscal Cliff is steeped in political gamesmanship, so anything can happen at anytime. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 21, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1076931-peering-over-the-fiscal-cliff-the-yen-gets-cheap-australian-dollar-expensive\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: short AUD\/USD<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 21, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On December 20th, the Bank of Japan rolled out more stimulus and more accomodative monetary policy as expected: {snip} The Bank of Japan is clearly trying to get more aggressive in &#8230; <a title=\"Peering Over the Fiscal Cliff, the Yen Gets &#8220;Cheap&#8221;, Australian Dollar &#8220;Expensive&#8221;\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/01\/05\/peering-over-the-fiscal-cliff-the-yen-gets-cheap-australian-dollar-expensive\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,20,266,204],"tags":[310,420,1031,309,513,138],"class_list":["post-15915","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-forex","category-government","category-japan","tag-australian-dollar","tag-bank-of-japan","tag-fiscal-policy","tag-fxa","tag-fxy","tag-japanese-yen"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Peering Over the Fiscal Cliff, the Yen Gets &quot;Cheap&quot;, Australian Dollar &quot;Expensive&quot; - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2013\/01\/05\/peering-over-the-fiscal-cliff-the-yen-gets-cheap-australian-dollar-expensive\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Peering Over the Fiscal Cliff, the Yen Gets &quot;Cheap&quot;, Australian Dollar &quot;Expensive&quot; - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 21, 2012. 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Click here to read the entire piece.) On December 20th, the Bank of Japan rolled out more stimulus and more accomodative monetary policy as expected: {snip} The Bank of Japan is clearly trying to get more aggressive in ... 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