{"id":15641,"date":"2012-12-16T11:15:59","date_gmt":"2012-12-16T19:15:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=15641"},"modified":"2012-12-16T11:15:59","modified_gmt":"2012-12-16T19:15:59","slug":"cash-is-trash-when-denoted-in-francs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/12\/16\/cash-is-trash-when-denoted-in-francs\/","title":{"rendered":"Cash Is Trash When Denoted In Francs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 6, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1048401-cash-is-trash-when-denoted-in-francs\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Monday, November 3, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2012-12-03\/credit-suisse-informs-bank-clients-of-negative-rates-on-francs.html\" target=\"_blank\">Bloomberg reported<\/a> that Credit Suisse Group AG (CS) will soon charge negative interest rates on cash balances denoted in Swiss francs (FXF). Francs are increasingly becoming trash as the cost of servicing large cash balances is not worth the minimal revenue banks can earn from them.<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_15646\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-15646\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121205_EURCHF.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121205_EURCHF.png\" alt=\"EUR\/CHF erupts again\" title=\"EUR\/CHF erupts again\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-15646\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121205_EURCHF.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121205_EURCHF-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-15646\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">EUR\/CHF erupts again<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>There are several features of the chart which carry good lessons for trading currencies. The first notable feature is how extremes are not long tolerated. When EUR\/CHF first came to life again in early September, the currency pair ran up quickly but on an intra-day basis it could not long hold moves above the upper Bollinger Band (BB). The BB is defined by the grey area and loosely defines a range of expected volatility.<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>CS&#8217;s statement on its negative rates makes it very clear that the bank wants to reduce the size of franc balances (emphasis mine):<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>When I first noted a revival in trading in EUR\/CHF in early September, I claimed that it was supportive of a stronger euro (FXE) going forward. This is indeed what has happened&#8230;{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_15643\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-15643\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121205_EURUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121205_EURUSD.png\" alt=\"The euro&#039;s rally returns to September&#039;s highs\" title=\"The euro&#039;s rally returns to September&#039;s highs\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-15643\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121205_EURUSD.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121205_EURUSD-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-15643\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The euro&#039;s rally returns to September&#039;s highs<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_15644\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-15644\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121204_CS.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121204_CS.png\" alt=\"Credit Suisse breaks out\" title=\"Credit Suisse breaks out\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-15644\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121204_CS.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/121204_CS-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-15644\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Credit Suisse breaks out<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 6, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/1048401-cash-is-trash-when-denoted-in-francs\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: no positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Monday, November 3, Bloomberg reported that Credit Suisse Group AG (CS) will soon charge negative interest rates on cash balances denoted in Swiss francs (FXF). Francs are increasingly becoming trash &#8230; <a title=\"Cash Is Trash When Denoted In Francs\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/12\/16\/cash-is-trash-when-denoted-in-francs\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[548,20],"tags":[1085,1086,385,376,28,447,459,479,715,333],"class_list":["post-15641","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-financials","category-forex","tag-credit-suisse-group-ag","tag-cs","tag-eurchf","tag-eurusd","tag-euro","tag-fxe","tag-fxf","tag-rydex-currencyshares-euro-trust","tag-rydex-currencyshares-swiss-franc-trust-etf","tag-swiss-franc"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Cash Is Trash When Denoted In Francs - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/12\/16\/cash-is-trash-when-denoted-in-francs\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Cash Is Trash When Denoted In Francs - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 6, 2012. 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