{"id":14940,"date":"2012-10-25T01:49:35","date_gmt":"2012-10-25T08:49:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=14940"},"modified":"2012-10-25T01:49:35","modified_gmt":"2012-10-25T08:49:35","slug":"currencies-are-signaling-potential-bullish-divergences-for-the-stock-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/10\/25\/currencies-are-signaling-potential-bullish-divergences-for-the-stock-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Currencies Are Signaling Potential Bullish Divergences For The Stock Market"},"content":{"rendered":"

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 25, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

This week, the S&P 500 (SPY) has broken down<\/a>, providing an early warning that QE3 is not working as expected. The S&P 500 is resting precariously at support formed by the May, 2012 high where the index also experienced one of its largest rallies of the year on September 6th.<\/p>\n


\n
\"The<\/a>
The rally from the June lows has broken and yielded to an apparent triple top<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

Even the U.S. dollar (UUP) has remained resilient and is near its highest point since QE3 was announced. <\/p>\n


\n
\"The<\/a>
The U.S. dollar index has remained resilient post-QE3<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n

Against this backdrop, I was surprised that the Federal Reserve did not issue a stronger statement on monetary policy<\/a> on Wednesday in an attempt to jawbone the market higher. {snip}<\/p>\n

First, the Japanese yen (FXY) has not acted as the safety valve it typically does during such sell-offs. {snip}<\/p>\n


\n
\"USD\/JPY<\/a>
USD\/JPY is strengthening sharply again<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n
\n
\"The<\/a>
The euro has broken out against the yen<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n
\n
\"The<\/a>
The pound continues a long, drawn out recovery against the yen<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\n<\/center>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

{snip}<\/p>\n

The yen’s correlation to the stock market has weakened and strengthened in phases, so the current divergence between USD\/JPY and the S&P 500 should be treated as just one small signal requiring some confirmation. The Australian dollar (FXA) may be providing just such a confirmation. <\/p>\n


\n
\"A<\/a>
A close-up to show the resilience in the Australian dollar and the recent bounce. Resistance still looms directly overhead.<\/figcaption><\/figure>
\nSource for charts: FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong>
\n<\/center><\/p>\n

I have documented several times and in several ways the strong positive correlation between the Australian dollar and the S&P 500<\/a>. On Wednesday, a rare event happened. The Australian dollar experienced a nice rally while the S&P 500 sank. {snip}<\/p>\n

I consider the divergence between the Australian dollar and the S&P 500 to be a nascent bullish sign. {snip}<\/p>\n

Be careful out there!<\/p>\n

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 25, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Full disclosure: long SSO calls, long EUR\/JPY<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 25, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) This week, the S&P 500 (SPY) has broken down, providing an early warning that QE3 is not working as expected. The S&P 500 is resting precariously at support formed by the … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,62,21],"tags":[308,310,998,799,309,513,626,138,1597,1591,454],"class_list":["post-14940","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forex","category-technical-analysis","category-u-s-dollar","tag-audusd","tag-australian-dollar","tag-correlations","tag-eurjpy","tag-fxa","tag-fxy","tag-gbpjpy","tag-japanese-yen","tag-technical-analysis","tag-u-s-dollar","tag-usdjpy"],"yoast_head":"\nCurrencies Are Signaling Potential Bullish Divergences For The Stock Market - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/10\/25\/currencies-are-signaling-potential-bullish-divergences-for-the-stock-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Currencies Are Signaling Potential Bullish Divergences For The Stock Market - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 25, 2012. 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