{"id":14662,"date":"2012-10-19T17:58:52","date_gmt":"2012-10-20T00:58:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=14662"},"modified":"2012-10-19T17:58:52","modified_gmt":"2012-10-20T00:58:52","slug":"austere-trouble-brewing-for-british-pound","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/10\/19\/austere-trouble-brewing-for-british-pound\/","title":{"rendered":"Austere Trouble Brewing for the British Pound"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 10, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/914741-austere-trouble-brewing-for-the-british-pound\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Just a few days after writing that <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/908811-the-u-s-dollar-s-post-qe3-relief-rally-likely-to-give-way-to-meandering\" target=\"_blank\">the U.S. dollar&#8217;s post-QE3 rally was giving way to meandering<\/a>, the U.S. dollar (UUP) surged back to the top of the recent relief rally range and closed at its highest post-QE3 level to-date.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_14676\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-14676\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/121009_DXY0.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/121009_DXY0.png\" alt=\"The U.S. dollar index surges to its highest post-QE3 levels\" title=\"The U.S. dollar index surges to its highest post-QE3 levels\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-14676\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/121009_DXY0.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/121009_DXY0-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-14676\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The U.S. dollar index surges to its highest post-QE3 levels<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>For now, I am expecting overhead resistance at the declining 50-day moving average (DMA) and the flattening 200DMA to hold. However, the recent breakdown of crosses with the likes of the British pound (FXB) will make this call a close one. Trouble seems to be brewing for the British pound&#8230;{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_14681\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-14681\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/121009_GBPUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/121009_GBPUSD.png\" alt=\"The pound continues to break down\" title=\"The pound continues to break down\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-14681\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/121009_GBPUSD.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/121009_GBPUSD-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-14681\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The pound continues to break down<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_14682\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-14682\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/121009_GBPJPY.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/121009_GBPJPY.png\" alt=\"With a break below the 50DMA, the pound looks set to eventually retest the uptrend from historic lows against the yen\" title=\"With a break below the 50DMA, the pound looks set to eventually retest the uptrend from historic lows against the yen\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-14682\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/121009_GBPJPY.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/121009_GBPJPY-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-14682\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">With a break below the 50DMA, the pound looks set to eventually retest the uptrend from historic lows against the yen<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Likely weighing on the pound is recent news that the UK government is likely to extend its forecast for austerity through 2018. This stretches the austerity plan from the five years projected in 2010 to eight years. <a href=\"http:\/\/video.cnbc.com\/gallery\/?video=3000120964&#038;play=1\" target=\"_blank\">George Osborne, the UK Finance Minister put a good face on the news by stating<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<object id=\"cnbcplayer\" height=\"380\" width=\"400\" classid=\"clsid:D27CDB6E-AE6D-11cf-96B8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=9,0,0,0\" ><param name=\"type\" value=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\"\/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\"\/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\"\/><param name=\"quality\" value=\"best\"\/><param name=\"scale\" value=\"noscale\" \/><param name=\"wmode\" value=\"transparent\"\/><param name=\"bgcolor\" value=\"#000000\"\/><param name=\"salign\" value=\"lt\"\/><param name=\"flashVars\" value=\"startTime=000\"\/><param name=\"flashVars\" value=\"endTime=000\"\/><param name=\"movie\" value=\"http:\/\/plus.cnbc.com\/rssvideosearch\/action\/player\/id\/3000120964\/code\/cnbcplayershare\" \/><embed name=\"cnbcplayer\" PLUGINSPAGE=\"http:\/\/www.macromedia.com\/go\/getflashplayer\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" bgcolor=\"#000000\" height=\"380\" width=\"400\" quality=\"best\" wmode=\"transparent\" scale=\"noscale\" salign=\"lt\" src=\"http:\/\/plus.cnbc.com\/rssvideosearch\/action\/player\/id\/3000120964\/code\/cnbcplayershare\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" \/><\/object><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Of course, when monetary authorities are manipulating rates lower, it is hard to use them as an indicative signal. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>This extension of lean years is sure to test the nation&#8217;s resolve to try to cut its way to prosperity. It is interesting, and not unexpected, that the government&#8217;s response to austerity&#8217;s failure is to prescribe more austerity. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 10, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/914741-austere-trouble-brewing-for-the-british-pound\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: no positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 10, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Just a few days after writing that the U.S. dollar&#8217;s post-QE3 rally was giving way to meandering, the U.S. dollar (UUP) surged back to the top of the recent relief rally &#8230; <a title=\"Austere Trouble Brewing for the British Pound\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/10\/19\/austere-trouble-brewing-for-british-pound\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59,20,266,237],"tags":[951,127,384,895],"class_list":["post-14662","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-forex","category-government","category-united-kingdom","tag-austerity","tag-fxb","tag-gbpusd","tag-rydex-currency-shares-british-pound-sterling-trust-etf"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Austere Trouble Brewing for the British Pound - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/10\/19\/austere-trouble-brewing-for-british-pound\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Austere Trouble Brewing for the British Pound - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 10, 2012. 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Click here to read the entire piece.) Just a few days after writing that the U.S. dollar&#8217;s post-QE3 rally was giving way to meandering, the U.S. dollar (UUP) surged back to the top of the recent relief rally ... 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