{"id":14190,"date":"2012-09-25T23:12:46","date_gmt":"2012-09-26T06:12:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=14190"},"modified":"2012-09-25T23:12:46","modified_gmt":"2012-09-26T06:12:46","slug":"commodity-currencies-already-reverse-qe3-gains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/09\/25\/commodity-currencies-already-reverse-qe3-gains\/","title":{"rendered":"Commodity Currencies Already Reverse QE3 Gains"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 17, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/872611-commodity-currencies-already-reverse-qe3-gains\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I am still working on a revision for <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/278697-profiting-from-physical-assets-in-a-resource-constrained-world-rules-and-picks\" target=\"_blank\">the commodity crash playbook<\/a> to take into account the new QE3 regime, but the trading action is already moving faster than I can reformulate.<\/p>\n<p>The Canadian dollar (FXC) and the Australian dollar (FXA) have already reversed their QE3 gains against the U.S. dollar in just two trading days. <\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_14196\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-14196\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_AUDUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_AUDUSD.png\" alt=\"The Australian dollar&#039;s QE3 reversal has it retesting support\/resistance from the April highs\" title=\"The Australian dollar&#039;s QE3 reversal has it retesting support\/resistance from the April highs\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-14196\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_AUDUSD.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_AUDUSD-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-14196\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Australian dollar&#039;s QE3 reversal has it retesting support\/resistance from the April highs<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_14197\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-14197\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_AUDUSD-weekly.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_AUDUSD-weekly.png\" alt=\"The Australian dollar&#039;s reversal leaves intact the downtrend starting from 2011&#039;s historic highs\" title=\"The Australian dollar&#039;s reversal leaves intact the downtrend starting from 2011&#039;s historic highs\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-14197\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_AUDUSD-weekly.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_AUDUSD-weekly-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-14197\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Australian dollar&#039;s reversal leaves intact the downtrend starting from 2011&#039;s historic highs<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_14199\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-14199\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_USDCAD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_USDCAD.png\" alt=\"The U.S. dollar retakes losses to the Canadian dollar from the immediate aftermath of QE3\" title=\"The U.S. dollar retakes losses to the Canadian dollar from the immediate aftermath of QE3\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-14199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_USDCAD.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_USDCAD-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-14199\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The U.S. dollar retakes losses to the Canadian dollar from the immediate aftermath of QE3<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source of charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>This reversal is potentially an important signal that many commodities will also soon reverse whatever gains were achieved in the immediate aftermath of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/press\/monetary\/20120913a.htm\" target=\"_blank\">the official announcement of QE3 last Thursday, September 13th<\/a>. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Note well that the Australian and Canadian dollars also quickly reversed their gains after Ben Bernanke unofficially announced QE2 on August 27, 2010. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_14195\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-14195\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_XAD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_XAD.png\" alt=\"The Australian dollar in the immediate aftermath of QE2\" title=\"The Australian dollar in the immediate aftermath of QE2\" width=\"520\" height=\"318\" class=\"size-full wp-image-14195\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_XAD.png 520w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_XAD-300x183.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 520px) 100vw, 520px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-14195\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Australian dollar in the immediate aftermath of QE2<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_14194\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-14194\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_CAD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_CAD.png\" alt=\"The Canadian dollar in the immediate aftermath of QE2&#039;s announcement\" title=\"The Canadian dollar in the immediate aftermath of QE2&#039;s announcement\" width=\"520\" height=\"318\" class=\"size-full wp-image-14194\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_CAD.png 520w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120917_CAD-300x183.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 520px) 100vw, 520px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-14194\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Canadian dollar in the immediate aftermath of QE2&#039;s announcement<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui\" target=\"_blank\">Stockcharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>For now, the simple trading signal going forward is to avoid getting bullish until these currencies regain their QE3 lift. The lows from the current reversal can serve as a convenient trigger for stopping out of these trades.  <\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 17, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/872611-commodity-currencies-already-reverse-qe3-gains\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: no positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I am still working on a revision for the commodity crash playbook to take into account the new QE3 regime, but the trading action is already moving faster than I can &#8230; <a title=\"Commodity Currencies Already Reverse QE3 Gains\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/09\/25\/commodity-currencies-already-reverse-qe3-gains\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,235,199,58,20],"tags":[308,309,297,1033,1032,469],"class_list":["post-14190","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-canada","category-commodities","category-federal-reserve","category-forex","tag-audusd","tag-fxa","tag-fxc","tag-qe2","tag-qe3","tag-usdcad"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Commodity Currencies Already Reverse QE3 Gains - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/09\/25\/commodity-currencies-already-reverse-qe3-gains\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Commodity Currencies Already Reverse QE3 Gains - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 17, 2012. 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Click here to read the entire piece.) I am still working on a revision for the commodity crash playbook to take into account the new QE3 regime, but the trading action is already moving faster than I can ... 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