{"id":14084,"date":"2012-09-18T02:56:03","date_gmt":"2012-09-18T09:56:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=14084"},"modified":"2012-09-18T02:56:03","modified_gmt":"2012-09-18T09:56:03","slug":"swiss-national-bank-strikes-dour-note","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/09\/18\/swiss-national-bank-strikes-dour-note\/","title":{"rendered":"Swiss National Bank Strikes A Dour Note As Franc Remains Over-Valued"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 14, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/867061-swiss-national-bank-strikes-a-dour-note-as-franc-remains-overvalued\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Swiss National Bank (SNB) struck a very dour note in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.snb.ch\/en\/mmr\/reference\/pre_20120913\/source\/pre_20120913.en.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">its latest statement on monetary policy<\/a>. Blaming in part the continued over-valuation of the Swiss Franc (FXF) &#8211; &#8220;the Swiss franc is still high and is weighing on the Swiss economy&#8221; &#8211; the SNB lowered its expectations for GDP growth and inflation. Moreover, it warned that &#8220;Downside risks to the Swiss economy will also stay high in the near term.&#8221; The SNB accentuated its dour tone with a gloomy review of global economic performance in the second quarter: <\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>In what I think is a new twist, the SNB also acknowledged that its booming residential real estate market threatens the stability of its financial system. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>With the Swiss franc finally losing a bit of ground to the euro (FXE), it appears the market is finally starting to accept that the franc is over-valued. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>The following charts show a close-up and overall look at the EUR\/CHF currency pair.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_14085\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-14085\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120913_EURCHF.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120913_EURCHF.png\" alt=\"EUR\/CHF springs to life and continues to creep higher\" title=\"EUR\/CHF springs to life and continues to creep higher\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-14085\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120913_EURCHF.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120913_EURCHF-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-14085\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">EUR\/CHF springs to life and continues to creep higher<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_14086\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-14086\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120913_EURCHF-weekly.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120913_EURCHF-weekly.png\" alt=\"The overall downtrend in EUR\/CHF is ending with this nascent move upward\" title=\"The overall downtrend in EUR\/CHF is ending with this nascent move upward\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-14086\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120913_EURCHF-weekly.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/120913_EURCHF-weekly-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-14086\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The overall downtrend in EUR\/CHF is ending with this nascent move upward<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 14, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/867061-swiss-national-bank-strikes-a-dour-note-as-franc-remains-overvalued\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: no positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 14, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Swiss National Bank (SNB) struck a very dour note in its latest statement on monetary policy. Blaming in part the continued over-valuation of the Swiss Franc (FXF) &#8211; &#8220;the Swiss &#8230; <a title=\"Swiss National Bank Strikes A Dour Note As Franc Remains Over-Valued\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/09\/18\/swiss-national-bank-strikes-dour-note\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,990],"tags":[385,28,115,335,333,334],"class_list":["post-14084","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forex","category-switzerland","tag-eurchf","tag-euro","tag-monetary-policy","tag-snb","tag-swiss-franc","tag-swiss-national-bank"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Swiss National Bank Strikes A Dour Note As Franc Remains Over-Valued - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/09\/18\/swiss-national-bank-strikes-dour-note\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Swiss National Bank Strikes A Dour Note As Franc Remains Over-Valued - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 14, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Swiss National Bank (SNB) struck a very dour note in its latest statement on monetary policy. Blaming in part the continued over-valuation of the Swiss Franc (FXF) &#8211; &#8220;the Swiss ... 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